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Texas State vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 72-62
27-25 45-37
Position#214
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#314
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game86.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v UTSA Roadrunners
12 Nov 2025
TEXA80
UTSA69
17 Nov 2023
TEXA72
UTSA62
07 Dec 2019
TEXA71
UTSA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
44-41
33-38
34-38
29-41
40-38
41-31
40-45
32-14
33-22
37-38
34-30
25-34
33-30
34-38
32-33
40-31
35-34
22-45
32-48
138.7Avg total
68.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.076.3141.3-11.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)65.076.3141.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)68.470.3138.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)64.872.2137.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.170.9134.1-7.819%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.164.6132.7+3.567%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#250
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A17/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
66-106
66
106
-40
A24/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
78-68 OT
78
68
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
76-102
76
102
-26
A11/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
36-41
32-28
52-51
41-35
37-48
32-45
34-61
42-56
53-35
38-37
40-36
33-42
38-30
28-28
37-37
30-54
46-48
40-42
42-48
161.5Avg total
77.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.786.7165.3-8.033%
Season at home (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)77.484.1161.5-6.740%
Last 5 (5)77.081.0158.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)69.880.3150.1-10.521%
vs Similar ◀ (1)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
Texas StateUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A15/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.463.0-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.733.564.2-2.829%-
Last 30 away (16)30.631.461.9-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.467.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.268.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.434.463.8-5.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.029.661.6+2.458%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#250
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A17/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/03
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A11/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/11
NCAA
74.9Avg total
34.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.938.069.9-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.134.465.5-3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)32.741.574.3-8.813%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.374.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.674.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)31.338.069.3-6.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.038.087.0+11.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
2
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AOklahoma54-93
11/11/23AMiami (Ohio)75-65
07/11/23AUALR66-71
06/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette58-64
04/03/23AMarshall71-68
02/03/23AOld Dominion65-36
01/03/23HGeorgia State81-76
25/02/23HSouthern Miss69-79
23/02/23HSouth Alabama67-76
18/02/23ACoastal Carolina78-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ALamar82-90
11/11/23AMinnesota76-102
07/11/23HWestern Illinois78-68 OT
09/03/23ARice71-72
03/03/23HCharlotte78-73
26/02/23AFlorida International95-91
24/02/23AFlorida Atlantic66-106
18/02/23HUAB78-83
17/02/23ARice84-79
11/02/23HUTEP66-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
Home--
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game65.0-65.0
Allowed / game76.3-76.3
Point differential-11.3--11.3
Avg total141.3-141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.778.079.0
Allowed / game86.768.096.0
Point differential-8.0+10.0-17.0
Avg total165.3146.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%93.885.8+8.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette32167%85.768.3+17.3
3 Southern Miss32167%64.753.0+11.7
4 Troy42250%88.265.5+22.8
5 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
6 South Alabama52340%73.883.6-9.8
7 Appalachian State31233%78.773.7+5.0
8 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
9 Georgia State31233%76.076.3-0.3
10 Coastal Carolina31233%81.787.0-5.3
11 Texas State31233%65.076.3-11.3
12 Louisiana Monroe31233%56.073.7-17.7
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern3030%63.379.7-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic220100%87.559.5+28.0
2 Tulane330100%90.369.7+20.7
3 Tulsa330100%75.758.7+17.0
4 Wichita State440100%82.065.5+16.5
5 Memphis330100%85.369.0+16.3
6 Temple330100%75.365.7+9.7
7 East Carolina32167%83.069.0+14.0
8 Charlotte32167%63.356.0+7.3
9 South Florida21150%79.560.0+19.5
10 North Texas42250%68.065.0+3.0
11 UAB42250%73.272.5+0.8
12 Rice31233%80.375.3+5.0
13 UTSA Roadrunners31233%78.786.7-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State274572
UTSA Roadrunners253762
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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