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Marshall vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-71
38-37 30-34
Position#38
Record24-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#236
Record15-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Marshall v Texas State
02 Jan 2025
MARS77
TEXA71
04 Mar 2023
MARS68
TEXA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
103-65
103
65
+38
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H19/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A23/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
33-39
56-29
47-36
31-24
35-34
28-36
39-41
45-28
47-46
43-37
45-40
27-38
57-45
38-30
50-48
52-51
40-32
35-28
32-43
158.1Avg total
82.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.271.3153.5+10.977%
Season at home (17)84.569.4153.9+15.188%
Season away (14)79.473.6152.9+5.864%
Last 10 (10)82.975.2158.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)83.878.4162.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)78.473.7152.1+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.669.9152.5+12.786%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
29-44
24-45
40-23
33-30
33-32
32-37
36-33
31-33
44-49
34-34
44-41
33-38
34-38
29-41
40-38
41-31
40-45
32-14
33-22
140.2Avg total
69.6Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)66.166.7132.8-0.745%
Season at home (16)67.868.5136.2-0.838%
Season away (17)64.565.1129.5-0.653%
Last 10 (10)69.670.6140.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)72.068.4140.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.669.7134.3-5.121%
vs Similar (11)67.564.5132.0+2.964%
vs Weaker (3)60.057.0117.0+3.067%
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
MarshallTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A25/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.632.170.7+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.432.271.5+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)37.532.069.5+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.871.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.337.074.3+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.430.368.7+8.177%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A02/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.130.560.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.933.063.9-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)29.328.057.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.166.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.665.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.632.161.8-2.529%-
vs Similar (11)31.329.560.7+1.855%-
vs Weaker (3)26.725.352.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marshall wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Texas State v Marshall73-81
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AOld Dominion67-71
23/02/23AJames Madison92-83
19/02/23HTroy88-78
17/02/23HGeorgia Southern84-83
11/02/23AGeorgia State88-77
10/02/23ACoastal Carolina92-74
05/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette67-77
02/02/23AAppalachian State66-58
29/01/23HGeorgia State103-65
27/01/23HLouisiana Monroe82-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AOld Dominion65-36
01/03/23HGeorgia State81-76
25/02/23HSouthern Miss69-79
23/02/23HSouth Alabama67-76
18/02/23ACoastal Carolina78-75
16/02/23AAppalachian State75-82
11/02/23HOld Dominion68-70
10/02/23HArkansas State66-62
05/02/23ATroy64-68
03/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette63-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %77%88%64%
Points / game82.284.579.4
Allowed / game71.369.473.6
Point differential+10.9+15.1+5.8
Avg total153.5153.9152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%76%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%38%53%
Points / game66.167.864.5
Allowed / game66.768.565.1
Point differential-0.7-0.8-0.6
Avg total132.8136.2129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss3225778%74.265.4+8.8
2 Marshall3124777%82.271.3+10.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette3023777%79.171.0+8.1
4 James Madison32221069%81.067.8+13.2
5 Old Dominion31191261%66.966.2+0.7
6 Troy33201361%73.266.8+6.4
7 South Alabama33181555%71.065.0+6.0
8 Georgia Southern32171553%69.066.7+2.3
9 Appalachian State32161650%70.264.6+5.7
10 Texas State33151845%66.166.7-0.7
11 Arkansas State33132039%65.767.6-1.9
12 Coastal Carolina31112035%73.374.0-0.7
13 Louisiana Monroe32112134%67.469.8-2.4
14 Georgia State31102132%66.769.4-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marshall383068
Texas State373471
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