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Texas State vs McNeese State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 48-59
20-26 28-33
Position#214
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#7
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game58.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v McNeese State
22 Nov 2026
TEXA v MCNE
upcoming
21 Nov 2023
TEXA48
MCNE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
34-38
29-41
40-38
41-31
40-45
32-14
33-22
37-38
34-30
25-34
33-30
34-38
32-33
40-31
35-34
22-45
32-48
27-25
45-37
136.8Avg total
67.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.872.8139.5-6.050%
Season at home (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)65.076.3141.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)67.869.0136.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)65.071.0136.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.170.9134.1-7.819%
vs Similar (12)68.262.8131.0+5.375%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H02/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A07/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A07/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#485
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
110-46
110
46
+64
H14/11
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H15/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
35-47
29-42
51-31
35-35
44-43
41-32
36-39
28-36
35-44
41-29
35-36
53-32
43-23
50-12
60-34
44-27
37-22
33-38
41-38
148.2Avg total
81.1Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.458.2145.6+29.280%
Season at home (3)95.750.0145.7+45.7100%
Season away (2)75.070.5145.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.167.1148.2+14.070%
Last 5 (5)87.458.2145.6+29.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.577.0144.5-9.524%
vs Similar (8)75.975.5151.4+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.458.2145.6+29.280%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +6.0+6.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +6.0+6.0
Texas StateMcNeese State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.531.962.4-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.532.462.9-1.936%-
Last 30 away (16)30.631.461.9-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)32.033.565.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.664.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.434.463.8-5.112%-
vs Similar (12)31.828.360.1+3.467%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#485
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
50-12
50
12
+38
H14/11
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
38.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.670.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.533.872.3+4.654%-
Last 30 away (17)33.435.268.5-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)38.830.569.3+8.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.227.671.8+16.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.835.369.1-1.547%-
vs Similar (8)34.037.571.5-3.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.227.671.8+16.680%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
McNeese State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners72-62
15/11/23AOklahoma54-93
11/11/23AMiami (Ohio)75-65
07/11/23AUALR66-71
06/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette58-64
04/03/23AMarshall71-68
02/03/23AOld Dominion65-36
01/03/23HGeorgia State81-76
25/02/23HSouthern Miss69-79
23/02/23HSouth Alabama67-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AWestern Carolina74-76
15/11/23HLe Tourneau81-49
14/11/23HChampion Christian Tigers110-46
10/11/23HCBS Ambassadors96-55
07/11/23AVCU Rams76-65
07/03/23ATexas A&M-CC63-80
06/03/23ANicholls State77-71
05/03/23ATX A&M Commerce79-78
02/03/23HNew Orleans80-73
25/02/23ASE Louisiana75-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game66.872.065.0
Allowed / game72.862.076.3
Point differential-6.0+10.0-11.3
Avg total139.5134.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McNeese State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game87.495.775.0
Allowed / game58.250.070.5
Point differential+29.2+45.7+4.5
Avg total145.6145.7145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%93.885.8+8.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette42250%85.574.0+11.5
3 Appalachian State42250%80.569.2+11.2
4 Georgia State42250%79.076.5+2.5
5 Marshall42250%72.872.8+0.0
6 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
7 Texas State42250%66.872.8-6.0
8 South Alabama63350%75.882.0-6.2
9 Troy52340%87.870.0+17.8
10 Southern Miss52340%65.260.0+5.2
11 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern5050%69.283.4-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State54180%87.458.2+29.2
2 Stephen F. Austin54180%86.469.8+16.6
3 Texas A&M-CC42250%82.261.5+20.8
4 Lamar42250%86.875.8+11.0
5 New Orleans42250%86.077.0+9.0
6 Incarnate Word42250%82.879.2+3.5
7 TX A&M Commerce73443%69.174.4-5.3
8 UTRGV52340%80.482.0-1.6
9 Nicholls State52340%77.481.0-3.6
10 SE Louisiana41325%68.081.8-13.8
11 Northwestern St.61517%76.079.0-3.0
12 Houston Christian3030%74.794.0-19.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State202848
McNeese State263359
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