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Thorl vs Akranes IA Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 105-75
26-20 32-21 23-19 24-15
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game99.1
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#12
Record3-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game100.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akranes IA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
60avg 87
H09/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 87
A16/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
117-119 OT
117
119
-2
109avg 87
H23/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 87
A30/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
100-98
100
98
+2
92avg 87
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 87
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
91avg 87
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
85-110
85
110
-25
79avg 87
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 87
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 87
H18/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
13-20
20-22
21-25
19-19
20-25
17-27
19-24
25-17
26-27
25-27
23-28
26-18
17-28
21-13
18-27
23-18
29-31
22-23
26-26
22-22
18-21
26-37
16-16
25-22
25-31
24-30
25-14
26-34
19-25
19-20
21-31
27-33
26-18
20-19
20-22
23-19
28-26
24-26
19-35
188.5Avg total
89.7Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.999.1189.0-9.227%
Season at home (5)96.0101.8197.8-5.840%
Season away (6)84.896.8181.7-12.017%
Last 10 (10)89.798.8188.5-9.130%
Last 5 (5)90.6100.2190.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)89.798.9188.6-9.229%
vs Similar (8)97.499.2196.6-1.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.898.0187.8-8.250%
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Akranes IAIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIA
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
L
119-130 OT
119
130
-11
114avg 76
H16/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
76-74
76
74
+2
71avg 76
H24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
75-109
75
109
-34
64avg 76
A30/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 76
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 76
A13/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
H21/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 76
A05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
85-115
85
115
-30
66avg 76
H11/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
71-102
71
102
-31
62avg 76
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 76
A19/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
23-23
25-30
29-26
17-21
14-18
23-13
22-22
22-24
16-28
19-32
18-25
22-24
16-25
22-15
21-19
21-22
13-29
26-32
12-13
22-15
27-15
22-16
25-43
27-30
15-25
26-28
19-19
19-36
24-31
20-26
22-22
18-29
18-20
21-22
14-31
15-27
22-28
26-25
20-22
184.7Avg total
84.5Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.6100.7189.4-12.127%
Season at home (6)93.297.2190.3-4.050%
Season away (5)83.2105.0188.2-21.80%
Last 10 (10)84.5100.2184.7-15.720%
Last 5 (5)84.4102.0186.4-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)89.2100.6189.8-11.430%
vs Similar (1)83.0102.0185.0-19.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
ThorlAkranes IA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H09/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H23/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/12
Premier league
92.9Avg total
45.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.349.997.2-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.945.992.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)47.753.9101.6-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)45.347.692.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.850.298.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)44.848.293.1-3.435%-
vs Similar (8)50.551.9102.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)51.252.0103.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H16/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A30/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A13/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H11/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/12
Premier league
90.3Avg total
40.3Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)41.250.992.2-9.717%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.048.791.7-5.729%-
Last 30 away (5)38.854.092.8-15.20%-
Last 10 (10)40.350.090.3-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.451.292.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.250.792.9-8.520%-
vs Similar (1)37.055.092.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.7
49.4%
54.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.6
36.9%
34.0%43.8
🏀 Free throws15.111.5
76.2%
74.2%11.5
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.7
52.2%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.5
30.8%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
74.2%14.9
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LWLWLWLLLL
Akranes IA
LLLLWLLLWL
#11
League position
#12
-11.0
Net rating
-21.5
107.5
Offensive rating
99.7
118.5
Defensive rating
121.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.9%
3-point %
30.8%
61.7%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 99.7Defence118.5 · 121.3Shooting52.6% · 49.3%3-point %36.9% · 30.8%Ball care14.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds23.6% · 24.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Thorl   ■ Akranes IA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Thorl wins
1
Akranes IA wins
DateGameScore
02/10/25Akranes IA v Thorl102-92
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HGrindavik94-106
12/12/25ANjardvik93-92
06/12/25AArmann85-110
20/11/25HStjarnan99-97
14/11/25ATindastoll82-96
06/11/25HIR Reykjavik100-98
30/10/25AKeflavik82-86
23/10/25HValur117-119 OT
16/10/25AKR Basket75-95
09/10/25HAlftanes70-89
Akranes IAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25AArmann83-102
14/12/25HKeflavik71-102
11/12/25HStjarnan85-115
05/12/25ATindastoll87-102
21/11/25HIR Reykjavik96-89
13/11/25AKeflavik72-96
06/11/25HValur81-83
30/10/25AKR Basket75-109
24/10/25HAlftanes76-74
16/10/25HNjardvik119-130 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game89.996.084.8
Allowed / game99.1101.896.8
Point differential-9.2-5.8-12.0
Avg total189.0197.8181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Akranes IA
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game88.693.283.2
Allowed / game100.797.2105.0
Point differential-12.1-4.0-21.8
Avg total189.4190.3188.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1110191%93.885.4+8.5
2 Tindastoll119282%103.487.1+16.3
3 Keflavik118373%94.188.7+5.4
4 Valur118373%91.689.3+2.4
5 Stjarnan116555%100.592.5+8.0
6 KR Basket115645%97.395.4+1.9
7 Njardvik114736%97.696.5+1.2
8 Alftanes114736%90.391.8-1.5
9 IR Reykjavik114736%89.294.1-4.9
10 Thorl113827%89.999.1-9.2
11 Akranes IA113827%88.6100.7-12.1
12 Armann112918%86.8102.6-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl26322324105
Akranes IA2021191575
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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