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Keflavik vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 86-82
18-26 28-17 13-21 27-18
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game101.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 5· Blue-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik v Thorl
30 Oct 2025
KEFL86
THOR82
19 Dec 2024
KEFL105
THOR86
15 Dec 2023
KEFL102
THOR103
17 Feb 2023
KEFL83
THOR104
04 Nov 2021
KEFL80
THOR89
22 Jun 2021
KEFL97
THOR83
16 Jun 2021
KEFL73
THOR91
15 Jan 2021
KEFL115
THOR87
13 Mar 2020
KEFL78
THOR63
09 Dec 2018
KEFL91
THOR75
03 Nov 2017
KEFL98
THOR79
12 Jan 2017
KEFL82
THOR85
07 Jan 2016
KEFL91
THOR83
23 Jan 2015
KEFL114
THOR97
07 Nov 2013
KEFL97
THOR88
07 Mar 2013
KEFL106
THOR100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#2
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 85
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
52avg 85
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
112avg 85
A27/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
86avg 85
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 85
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
59avg 85
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 85
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-101
81
101
-20
72avg 85
A09/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 85
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
107-94
107
94
+13
106avg 85
A23/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
31-25
23-21
23-29
19-21
16-30
14-26
18-14
24-25
31-30
36-29
28-30
23-25
29-23
17-25
18-21
25-23
20-25
26-22
22-26
14-22
20-30
19-23
22-25
26-16
20-25
22-23
24-19
28-24
20-29
14-22
19-26
21-23
27-16
18-19
26-13
27-22
30-26
26-17
24-29
186.2Avg total
92.0Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.087.2180.2+5.875%
Season at home (2)92.077.0169.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)94.097.5191.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)92.094.2186.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)89.489.8179.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)90.395.5185.8-5.231%
vs Similar (11)91.593.9185.5-2.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)106.491.0197.4+15.4100%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 87
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
96avg 87
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
95avg 87
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 87
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 87
A13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
108avg 87
H27/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 87
A02/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
60avg 87
H09/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 87
A16/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
117-119 OT
117
119
-2
109avg 87
H23/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
14-29
33-24
25-30
15-34
30-28
28-18
23-29
23-26
18-18
19-23
18-11
28-30
30-32
26-13
11-28
11-21
32-33
19-26
34-28
25-24
30-31
29-36
30-28
31-25
23-24
17-28
21-25
16-22
13-20
20-22
21-25
19-19
20-25
17-27
19-24
25-17
26-27
25-27
23-28
198.3Avg total
94.4Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.5101.2189.8-12.80%
Season at home (2)93.5104.0197.5-10.50%
Season away (2)83.598.5182.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)94.4103.9198.3-9.510%
Last 5 (5)93.6104.8198.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)89.598.8188.2-9.331%
vs Similar (13)95.896.9192.8-1.131%
vs Weaker (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
KeflavikThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A27/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A09/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/10
Premier league
96.4Avg total
48.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.148.998.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.646.896.5+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)48.551.7100.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.148.396.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.693.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)46.949.596.5-2.638%-
vs Similar (11)49.150.099.1-0.927%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)54.845.8100.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H27/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H09/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H23/10
Premier league
95.8Avg total
45.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.349.595.8-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.545.390.8+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)47.153.7100.8-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)45.250.695.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.892.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.047.790.7-4.731%-
vs Similar (13)47.850.998.8-3.131%-
vs Weaker (3)53.349.7103.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.0
55.9%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.9
33.0%
34.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws26.820.5
76.5%
74.2%20.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.1
51.6%
54.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.213.5
35.3%
34.0%40.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.7
79.0%
74.2%14.7
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WWLWLLLWLW
Thorl
LLLLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#11
-2.5
Net rating
-11.1
112.7
Offensive rating
109.3
115.2
Defensive rating
120.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.0%
3-point %
35.3%
58.9%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 109.3Defence115.2 · 120.5Shooting52.8% · 52.3%3-point %33.0% · 35.3%Ball care16.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 24.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Keflavik   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keflavik wins
7
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
27/03/25Thorl v Keflavik114-119
19/12/24Keflavik v Thorl105-86
04/04/24Thorl v Keflavik106-100
15/12/23Keflavik v Thorl102-103
17/02/23Keflavik v Thorl83-104
21/11/22Thorl v Keflavik116-102
11/02/22Thorl v Keflavik114-89
04/11/21Keflavik v Thorl80-89
25/06/21Thorl v Keflavik81-66
22/06/21Keflavik v Thorl97-83
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25AArmann107-94
17/10/25HStjarnan92-71
09/10/25ATindastoll81-101
02/10/25HIR Reykjavik92-83
10/04/25ATindastoll75-100
06/04/25HTindastoll93-96
02/04/25ATindastoll87-94
27/03/25AThorl119-114
19/03/25HValur67-91
14/03/25HStjarnan107-98
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HValur117-119 OT
16/10/25AKR Basket75-95
09/10/25HAlftanes70-89
02/10/25AAkranes IA92-102
27/03/25HKeflavik114-119
13/03/25AAlftanes96-108
06/03/25AHottur95-103
28/02/25HStjarnan94-91 OT
13/02/25ATindastoll96-109
06/02/25HGrindavik95-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game93.092.094.0
Allowed / game87.277.097.5
Point differential+5.8+15.0-3.5
Avg total180.2169.0191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game88.593.583.5
Allowed / game101.2104.098.5
Point differential-12.8-10.5-15.0
Avg total189.8197.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik440100%95.585.5+10.0
2 Tindastoll43175%97.882.8+15.0
3 KR Basket43175%97.285.0+12.2
4 Keflavik43175%93.087.2+5.8
5 Alftanes42250%88.573.5+15.0
6 Valur42250%97.295.2+2.0
7 Njardvik42250%106.0105.0+1.0
8 Akranes IA42250%99.0103.0-4.0
9 IR Reykjavik42250%86.299.0-12.8
10 Stjarnan41325%88.594.5-6.0
11 Thorl4040%88.5101.2-12.8
12 Armann4040%83.8109.2-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik1828132786
Thorl2617211882
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