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Thorl vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 117-119 (OT)
25-17 26-27 25-27 23-28 18-20
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game95.3
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game88.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 4· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Thorl v Valur
23 Oct 2025
THOR117
VALU119
10 Jan 2025
THOR94
VALU69
06 Oct 2023
THOR81
VALU96
30 Apr 2023
THOR94
VALU103
24 Apr 2023
THOR92
VALU83
10 Feb 2023
THOR106
VALU74
26 Apr 2022
THOR65
VALU82
20 Apr 2022
THOR84
VALU89
16 Mar 2022
THOR90
VALU85
10 Mar 2022
THOR88
VALU69
30 Apr 2021
THOR98
VALU96
09 Jan 2020
THOR87
VALU70
20 Dec 2018
THOR114
VALU98
20 Nov 2017
THOR78
VALU68
14 Feb 2014
THOR91
VALU84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
100-99
100
99
+1
95avg 85
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 85
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
96avg 85
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
95avg 85
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 85
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 85
A13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
108avg 85
H27/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 85
A02/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
60avg 85
H09/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 85
A16/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
33-15
21-20
21-27
23-21
14-29
33-24
25-30
15-34
30-28
28-18
23-29
23-26
18-18
19-23
18-11
28-30
30-32
26-13
11-28
11-21
32-33
19-26
34-28
25-24
30-31
29-36
30-28
31-25
23-24
17-28
21-25
16-22
13-20
20-22
21-25
19-19
20-25
17-27
19-24
194.6Avg total
92.7Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.095.3174.3-16.30%
Season at home (1)70.089.0159.0-19.00%
Season away (2)83.598.5182.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)92.7101.9194.6-9.220%
Last 5 (5)89.4102.6192.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)87.297.1184.2-9.933%
vs Similar (14)95.896.6192.4-0.836%
vs Weaker (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
93avg 82
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
96-78
96
78
+18
96avg 82
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 82
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 82
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 82
A06/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
59avg 82
H10/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 82
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 82
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 82
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
95avg 82
H16/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
30-16
26-14
14-18
22-15
27-14
21-24
26-25
24-28
13-25
22-20
15-15
29-26
26-19
24-25
15-19
18-23
18-20
17-24
23-13
16-15
25-25
11-16
23-30
24-13
23-24
15-22
12-23
21-25
20-26
20-13
24-23
34-26
12-27
20-22
25-19
26-18
18-23
20-23
30-19
168.4Avg total
85.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.088.0178.0+2.033%
Season at home (2)89.585.0174.5+4.550%
Season away (1)91.094.0185.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 5 (5)83.886.4170.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.485.6170.0-1.240%
vs Similar (13)89.285.0174.2+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.881.5169.3+6.464%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
ThorlValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H27/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H09/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/10
Premier league
97.3Avg total
45.9Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.249.695.8-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.345.590.7-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)47.153.7100.8-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)45.951.497.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.892.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.348.090.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (14)47.950.698.4-2.736%-
vs Weaker (3)53.349.7103.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A06/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/10
Premier league
87.4Avg total
44.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.687.4+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.243.489.6+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.443.885.2-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.787.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.048.491.4-5.420%-
vs Similar (13)43.443.086.4+0.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.942.187.0+2.845%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.2
54.2%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.3
34.6%
34.0%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
74.2%14.2
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.2
47.4%
54.6%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.2
35.1%
34.0%36.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.8
71.2%
74.2%14.8
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLLLLLWLLW
Valur
WLLLLLWLWW
#11
League position
#4
-11.3
Net rating
+1.5
108.2
Offensive rating
105.2
119.5
Defensive rating
103.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
35.1%
64.9%
Assist %
65.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 105.2Defence119.5 · 103.7Shooting53.0% · 50.0%3-point %34.6% · 35.1%Ball care15.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds23.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Thorl   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Thorl wins
5
Valur wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Thorl v Valur94-69
10/10/24Valur v Thorl88-95 OT
04/01/24Valur v Thorl90-82
06/10/23Thorl v Valur81-96
02/05/23Valur v Thorl102-95
30/04/23Thorl v Valur94-103
27/04/23Valur v Thorl91-65
24/04/23Thorl v Valur92-83
21/04/23Valur v Thorl75-83
10/02/23Thorl v Valur106-74
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/25AKR Basket75-95
09/10/25HAlftanes70-89
02/10/25AAkranes IA92-102
27/03/25HKeflavik114-119
13/03/25AAlftanes96-108
06/03/25AHottur95-103
28/02/25HStjarnan94-91 OT
13/02/25ATindastoll96-109
06/02/25HGrindavik95-104
02/02/25AHaukar100-99
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/25HArmann94-83
11/10/25AStjarnan91-94
06/10/25HTindastoll85-87
14/04/25AGrindavik74-82
10/04/25HGrindavik75-86
06/04/25AGrindavik76-80
02/04/25HGrindavik94-89
27/03/25ATindastoll74-88
22/03/25AKR Basket96-78
19/03/25AKeflavik91-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.070.083.5
Allowed / game95.389.098.5
Point differential-16.3-19.0-15.0
Avg total174.3159.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game90.089.591.0
Allowed / game88.085.094.0
Point differential+2.0+4.5-3.0
Avg total178.0174.5185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll330100%100.377.7+22.7
2 KR Basket330100%104.087.3+16.7
3 Grindavik330100%101.388.3+13.0
4 Alftanes32167%93.372.7+20.7
5 Keflavik32167%88.385.0+3.3
6 Valur31233%90.088.0+2.0
7 Njardvik31233%108.7110.0-1.3
8 Akranes IA31233%106.7112.7-6.0
9 Stjarnan31233%87.795.0-7.3
10 IR Reykjavik31233%84.0101.7-17.7
11 Thorl3030%79.095.3-16.3
12 Armann3030%80.3110.0-29.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Thorl2526252318117
Valur1727272820119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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