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Tindastoll vs Stjarnan Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game93.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Saudarkrokur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tindastoll v Stjarnan
11 Mar 2027
TIND v STJA
upcoming
06 May 2026
TIND100
STJA91
29 Apr 2026
TIND103
STJA88
21 Apr 2026
TIND95
STJA96
31 Oct 2025
TIND96
STJA95
21 May 2025
TIND77
STJA82
14 May 2025
TIND110
STJA97
08 May 2025
TIND93
STJA90
03 Nov 2024
TIND92
STJA87
09 Nov 2023
TIND78
STJA84
03 Nov 2022
TIND98
STJA89
04 Mar 2022
TIND94
STJA88
31 Oct 2021
TIND78
STJA79
10 May 2021
TIND96
STJA102
17 Oct 2019
TIND93
STJA81
08 Feb 2019
TIND58
STJA79
08 Mar 2018
TIND87
STJA67
20 Feb 2017
TIND92
STJA69
18 Oct 2015
TIND79
STJA68
08 Jan 2015
TIND91
STJA82
07 Oct 2012
TIND79
STJA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tindastoll win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
92avg 92
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 92
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
90avg 92
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 92
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
104avg 92
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 92
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
96avg 92
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H12/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-19
12-17
30-15
22-14
14-23
22-21
19-13
22-20
23-8
23-19
17-21
26-15
18-27
21-19
20-16
22-17
32-20
25-21
30-28
20-21
19-24
25-20
14-6
27-19
23-25
36-33
10-19
23-22
23-17
24-18
10-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
25-26
24-22
17-14
18-19
20-14
166.3Avg total
88.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.883.7175.5+8.283%
Season at home (3)102.793.7196.3+9.067%
Season away (3)81.073.7154.7+7.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.477.9166.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0108.0213.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)100.895.4196.2+5.460%
vs Weaker (24)95.685.7181.3+10.083%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
101avg 90
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
88-103
88
103
-15
86avg 90
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 90
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 90
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 90
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
98-103
98
103
-5
86avg 90
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
82avg 90
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 90
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
113-94
113
94
+19
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
17-28
29-8
19-21
23-30
13-27
25-22
27-24
26-20
29-26
21-27
21-30
22-30
17-29
26-21
26-20
22-22
19-24
18-23
18-21
18-23
28-27
20-31
32-22
24-29
22-23
22-25
24-21
21-22
23-15
37-26
21-33
27-22
25-13
24-22
27-22
25-29
30-22
35-18
23-25
193.5Avg total
96.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.593.3190.8+4.250%
Season at home (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Season away (3)90.789.0179.7+1.733%
Last 10 (10)96.696.9193.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)101.694.0195.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.497.6196.0+0.745%
vs Weaker (18)105.995.6201.6+10.383%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
TindastollStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
ENBL
83.5Avg total
44.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.091.9+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.145.294.3+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)46.442.789.1+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.883.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)52.843.496.2+9.460%-
vs Weaker (24)46.844.290.9+2.658%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/11
Premier league
94.4Avg total
45.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.248.3100.5+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.847.7102.4+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)49.349.098.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)45.349.194.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.093.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.549.296.6-1.755%-
vs Weaker (18)55.647.3102.9+8.378%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
56.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.7
31.4%
33.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.019.1
79.6%
73.9%19.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
56.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.6
32.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws29.221.2
72.6%
73.9%21.2
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tindastoll
WWWLWWWWWW
Stjarnan
WWWLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#7
+8.5
Net rating
-4.1
98.5
Offensive rating
96.2
89.9
Defensive rating
100.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.4%
3-point %
32.6%
70.9%
Assist %
65.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 96.2Defence89.9 · 100.3Shooting51.7% · 50.5%3-point %31.4% · 32.6%Ball care14.1% · 13.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Tindastoll   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tindastoll wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
06/05/26Tindastoll v Stjarnan100-91
03/05/26Stjarnan v Tindastoll97-103
29/04/26Tindastoll v Stjarnan103-88
25/04/26Stjarnan v Tindastoll105-103 OT
21/04/26Tindastoll v Stjarnan95-96
30/01/26Stjarnan v Tindastoll125-87
31/10/25Tindastoll v Stjarnan96-95
21/05/25Tindastoll v Stjarnan77-82
18/05/25Stjarnan v Tindastoll91-86
14/05/25Tindastoll v Stjarnan110-97
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLausanne Basket79-69
09/11/26HIR Reykjavik94-87
05/11/26AHottur80-73
29/10/26HAlftanes105-108 OT
23/10/26ASindri78-71
15/10/26HArmann109-86
09/10/26ANjardvik85-77
30/09/26ABristol Flyers85-68
27/09/26AJonava77-71
23/09/26ABK Liepaja92-69
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeflavik113-94
07/11/26ANjardvik103-79
29/10/26HIR Reykjavik102-96
22/10/26AGrindavik92-98
16/10/26HHottur98-103
08/10/26AValur77-90
06/05/26ATindastoll91-100
03/05/26HTindastoll97-103
29/04/26ATindastoll88-103
25/04/26HTindastoll105-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tindastoll
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.8102.781.0
Allowed / game83.793.773.7
Point differential+8.2+9.0+7.3
Avg total175.5196.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game97.5104.390.7
Allowed / game93.397.789.0
Point differential+4.2+6.7+1.7
Avg total190.8202.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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