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Tinguiririca vs U. De Concepcion Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game58.6
ChileCopa Chile· Estadio Municipal Techado de San Fernando (San Fernando)
Other2023
Meetings · Tinguiririca v U. De Concepcion
26 Nov 2023
TING v U. D
upcoming
28 Mar 2023
TING87
U. D114
27 Mar 2022
TING78
U. D111
11 Nov 2017
TING79
U. D84
29 Oct 2017
TING80
U. D87
10 Feb 2017
TING85
U. D81
22 Jan 2017
TING87
U. D76
21 Jan 2017
TING91
U. D76
22 Dec 2016
TING74
U. D87
26 Nov 2016
TING74
U. D78
06 Dec 2015
TING100
U. D76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tinguiririca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TinguiriricaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTinguiririca
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H30/09
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
79-70
79
70
+9
50avg 65
H01/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 65
H06/10
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
70-45
70
45
+25
63avg 65
A14/10
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
86-47
86
47
+39
78avg 65
H15/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
L
55-70
55
70
-15
43avg 65
A10/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
114-70
114
70
+44
104avg 65
A15/11
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
54avg 65
A18/11
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 65
A19/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A22/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
20-26
14-21
21-20
22-14
25-19
13-21
19-16
29-9
12-19
19-19
13-13
18-7
20-10
21-3
11-25
20-23
17-7
22-4
27-13
8-16
10-22
15-18
22-14
25-16
31-14
30-18
28-22
10-25
22-22
18-25
16-14
11-24
27-15
20-25
18-34
–
–
–
–
135.6Avg total
69.8Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.865.8135.6+4.050%
Season at home (4)79.267.2146.5+12.075%
Season away (6)63.564.8128.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)69.865.8135.6+4.050%
Last 5 (5)62.268.8131.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.091.9159.9-23.95%
vs Similar (4)58.266.8125.0-8.525%
vs Weaker (5)79.658.4138.0+21.280%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#8
W
89-63
89
63
+26
88avg 101
A08/10
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
53-82
53
82
-29
35avg 101
A08/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
96-61
96
61
+35
100avg 101
A13/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
144-76
144
76
+68
148avg 101
H15/10
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 101
H11/11
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 101
H12/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
127-55
127
55
+72
138avg 101
H15/11
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
W
104-40
104
40
+64
106avg 101
H19/11
Copa Chile
Tinguiririca
#6
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H22/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
123-51
123
51
+72
125avg 101
A25/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
23-16
22-12
19-14
12-21
8-14
16-22
17-25
30-15
33-15
20-14
13-17
25-22
39-18
40-17
40-19
31-13
26-12
12-31
18-28
30-23
22-18
24-16
20-25
34-10
38-7
33-15
22-23
29-4
27-8
29-14
19-14
–
–
–
–
39-9
27-21
24-11
33-10
153.3Avg total
93.9Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.558.6150.1+32.891%
Season at home (6)96.356.2152.5+40.2100%
Season away (5)85.661.6147.2+24.080%
Last 10 (10)93.959.4153.3+34.590%
Last 5 (5)94.045.6139.6+48.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)89.268.8158.0+20.487%
This opponent (Tinguiririca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +13.0+13.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +12.7+12.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +13.0+13.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +12.7+12.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
TinguiriricaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TinguiriricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H30/09
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H01/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H06/10
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
38-17
38
17
+21
A14/10
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A10/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
A15/11
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/11
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A19/11
Copa Chile
73.8Avg total
39.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.143.679.7-7.618%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.843.581.2-5.723%-
Last 30 away (15)34.643.878.4-9.213%-
Last 10 (9)39.034.873.8+4.256%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.873.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.748.182.8-13.40%-
vs Similar (3)42.038.780.7+3.333%-
vs Weaker (5)38.028.666.6+9.480%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/10
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A08/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A13/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H15/10
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
57-25
57
25
+32
H11/11
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
72-17
72
17
+55
H15/11
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
W
56-12
56
12
+44
H19/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
66-30
66
30
+36
A25/11
Copa Chile
85.0Avg total
55.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.835.182.9+12.779%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.735.486.1+15.488%-
Last 30 away (12)43.834.878.5+9.067%-
Last 10 (9)55.329.785.0+25.789%-
Last 5 (5)60.625.085.6+35.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.835.182.9+12.779%-
This opponent (Tinguiririca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tinguiriricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tinguiririca: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.019.9
43.2%
49.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.2%
31.1%22.1
🏀 Free throws21.414.4
67.3%
68.6%14.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.2
56.6%
49.2%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.113.4
41.9%
31.1%40.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.3%
68.6%12.4
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tinguiririca
LLLWLWWWWL
U. De Concepcion
WWWWWWWWLW
#6
League position
#1
+11.1
Net rating
+45.1
96.8
Offensive rating
127.1
85.7
Defensive rating
82.0
44.4%
Effective FG%
59.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
41.9%
50.9%
Assist %
67.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 127.1Defence85.7 · 82.0Shooting44.4% · 59.3%3-point %31.2% · 41.9%Ball care17.9% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.6% · 37.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Tinguiririca   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AU. De Concepcion0-20
19/11/23APuente Alto76-98
18/11/23ALeones Quilpue66-86
15/11/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda114-70
10/11/23ACatolica55-70
15/10/23HEspanol de Talca86-47
14/10/23AEspanol de Talca70-45
06/10/23HCatolica73-60
01/10/23HPuente Alto79-70
30/09/23HLeones Quilpue79-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AEspanol de Talca123-51
22/11/23HTinguiririca20-0
19/11/23HCatolica104-40
15/11/23HEspanol de Talca127-55
12/11/23HLeones Quilpue96-82
11/11/23HPuente Alto87-84
15/10/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda144-76
13/10/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda96-61
08/10/23ALeones Quilpue53-82
08/10/23APuente Alto89-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tinguiririca
Copa Chile 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game69.879.263.5
Allowed / game65.867.264.8
Point differential+4.0+12.0-1.3
Avg total135.6146.5128.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
U. De Concepcion
Copa Chile 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game91.596.385.6
Allowed / game58.656.261.6
Point differential+32.8+40.2+24.0
Avg total150.1152.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%83%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue1211192%84.562.7+21.8
2 U. De Concepcion1110191%91.558.6+32.8
3 Ancud119282%88.174.8+13.3
4 Valdivia119282%79.871.3+8.5
5 Espanol Osorno118373%80.670.4+10.3
6 Puente Alto116555%78.671.1+7.5
7 CD Puerto Varas116555%79.174.6+4.5
8 Tinguiririca105550%69.865.8+4.0
9 Las Animas126650%79.877.5+2.3
10 Catolica114736%61.069.6-8.6
11 Liceo Pablo Neruda102820%68.194.8-26.7
12 Naviera Ulloa111109%71.583.8-12.4
13 Puerto Montt110110%61.988.6-26.7
14 Espanol de Talca110110%54.389.2-34.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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