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U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 127-55
34-10 38-7 33-15 22-23
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#14
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.7
Allowed / game78.3
ChileCopa Chile· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2023
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca
24 Jul 2026
U. D136
ESPA77
02 May 2026
U. D109
ESPA80
08 Mar 2025
U. D106
ESPA51
27 Apr 2024
U. D101
ESPA73
15 Nov 2023
U. D127
ESPA55
26 Mar 2023
U. D131
ESPA59
20 Nov 2022
U. D133
ESPA45
16 Mar 2022
U. D98
ESPA84
05 Jun 2021
U. D85
ESPA78
09 May 2021
U. D75
ESPA73
19 Jan 2019
U. D83
ESPA72
03 Nov 2018
U. D72
ESPA86
05 Nov 2017
U. D95
ESPA54
01 Oct 2017
U. D75
ESPA73
08 Mar 2017
U. D73
ESPA72
26 Feb 2017
U. D81
ESPA67
25 Feb 2017
U. D55
ESPA72
21 Dec 2016
U. D91
ESPA77
23 Nov 2016
U. D74
ESPA58
17 Oct 2015
U. D84
ESPA55
08 Oct 2014
U. D89
ESPA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
A09/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
A10/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H16/07
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
A29/09
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
89-63
89
63
+26
88avg 91
A08/10
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
53-82
53
82
-29
35avg 91
A08/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
96-61
96
61
+35
100avg 91
A13/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
144-76
144
76
+68
148avg 91
H15/10
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 91
H11/11
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 91
H12/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
18-19
19-12
14-18
21-17
23-17
21-29
23-11
30-17
18-23
19-16
7-16
15-13
25-12
10-10
17-16
25-21
23-16
22-12
19-14
12-21
8-14
16-22
17-25
30-15
33-15
20-14
13-17
25-22
39-18
40-17
40-19
31-13
26-12
12-31
18-28
30-23
22-18
24-16
20-25
157.6Avg total
86.7Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.371.3161.6+19.086%
Season at home (3)109.080.7189.7+28.3100%
Season away (4)76.264.2140.5+12.075%
Last 10 (10)86.770.9157.6+15.890%
Last 5 (5)95.277.0172.2+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)89.174.1163.2+14.980%
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
65-102
65
102
-37
no box
H22/04
LNB
Valdivia
#5
L
59-82
59
82
-23
no box
A29/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
H05/05
LNB
Deportes Castro
#9
L
64-90
64
90
-26
no box
H06/05
LNB
Puente Alto
#8
L
36-71
36
71
-35
no box
H29/09
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
55-89
55
89
-34
25avg 36
H01/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
L
59-90
59
90
-31
44avg 36
H08/10
Copa Chile
Tinguiririca
#6
L
45-70
45
70
-25
30avg 36
H14/10
Copa Chile
Tinguiririca
#6
L
47-86
47
86
-39
37avg 36
A15/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
46avg 36
A12/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
17-31
21-23
13-28
6-22
20-20
12-27
21-13
20-12
17-32
9-26
13-19
17-24
18-16
10-25
19-25
7-16
8-17
11-24
10-14
13-26
14-13
9-22
19-28
18-25
8-31
21-15
12-19
7-18
10-20
3-21
25-11
23-20
7-17
4-22
13-27
8-24
17-9
12-20
19-11
137.8Avg total
54.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)49.778.3128.0-28.70%
Season at home (4)48.880.0128.8-31.20%
Season away (2)51.575.0126.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)54.583.3137.8-28.80%
Last 5 (5)52.479.8132.2-27.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)64.592.8157.3-28.47%
vs Similar (2)61.546.5108.0+15.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -11.3-11.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -11.3-11.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
U. De ConcepcionEspanol de Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A10/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H16/07
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A29/09
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/10
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A08/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A13/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H15/10
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
57-25
57
25
+32
H11/11
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Copa Chile
81.7Avg total
47.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.337.784.0+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.538.186.6+10.488%-
Last 30 away (14)43.737.481.1+6.464%-
Last 10 (10)47.634.181.7+13.590%-
Last 5 (5)51.234.285.4+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.337.784.0+8.577%-
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/04
LNB
Valdivia
#5
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A29/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H05/05
LNB
Deportes Castro
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/05
LNB
Puente Alto
#8
L
15-33
15
33
-18
H29/09
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
L
26-56
26
56
-30
H08/10
Copa Chile
Tinguiririca
#6
L
17-38
17
38
-21
H14/10
Copa Chile
Tinguiririca
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A15/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A12/11
Copa Chile
68.2Avg total
26.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.045.578.5-12.514%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.543.678.1-9.127%-
Last 30 away (14)31.447.578.9-16.10%-
Last 10 (10)26.941.368.2-14.40%-
Last 5 (5)25.040.665.6-15.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)32.145.677.7-13.611%-
vs Similar (1)59.041.0100.0+18.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.2
55.5%
49.2%42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.8
40.1%
31.1%38.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.3
68.5%
68.6%12.3
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 51.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws3.8 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.010.4
40.0%
49.2%20.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.0
28.3%
31.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws6.63.8
57.6%
68.6%3.8
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WWWWLWWWWW
Espanol de Talca
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+24.7
Net rating
-35.1
119.9
Offensive rating
67.1
95.2
Defensive rating
102.2
57.6%
Effective FG%
41.3%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
30.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.11
40.1%
3-point %
28.3%
66.7%
Assist %
63.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 67.1Defence95.2 · 102.2Shooting57.6% · 41.3%3-point %40.1% · 28.3%Ball care14.2% · 30.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 18.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.11Form (last 10/10)90% · 0%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Espanol de Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HLeones Quilpue96-82
11/11/23HPuente Alto87-84
15/10/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda144-76
13/10/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda96-61
08/10/23ALeones Quilpue53-82
08/10/23APuente Alto89-63
29/09/23ACatolica67-51
16/07/23HLeones Quilpue74-72
10/07/23ALeones Quilpue88-74
09/07/23ALeones Quilpue73-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ACatolica56-64
15/10/23ATinguiririca47-86
14/10/23HTinguiririca45-70
08/10/23HCatolica59-90
01/10/23HLeones Quilpue55-89
29/09/23HPuente Alto36-71
06/05/23HDeportes Castro64-90
05/05/23HAncud59-89
29/04/23AValdivia59-82
22/04/23HLeones Quilpue65-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
Copa Chile 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game90.3109.076.2
Allowed / game71.380.764.2
Point differential+19.0+28.3+12.0
Avg total161.6189.7140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Espanol de Talca
Copa Chile 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game49.748.851.5
Allowed / game78.380.075.0
Point differential-28.7-31.2-23.5
Avg total128.0128.8126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion76186%90.371.3+19.0
2 Ancud76186%81.773.7+8.0
3 Leones Quilpue65183%92.265.0+27.2
4 Valdivia65183%77.566.7+10.8
5 CD Puerto Varas64267%83.770.3+13.3
6 Tinguiririca64267%73.764.0+9.7
7 Espanol Osorno85362%79.072.2+6.8
8 Puente Alto74357%79.971.4+8.4
9 Catolica74357%69.164.0+5.1
10 Las Animas84450%80.478.8+1.6
11 Naviera Ulloa7070%72.490.3-17.9
12 Puerto Montt6060%61.585.3-23.8
13 Espanol de Talca6060%49.778.3-28.7
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda7070%62.0101.6-39.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion34383322127
Espanol de Talca107152355
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