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Tirana vs Elbasani Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 140-58
29-11 30-9 36-22 45-16
Position#3
Record8-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.4
Tirana 🏆
Albania
vs
Elbasani
Albania
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AlbaniaSuperligaSuperliga - Final· Pallati i Sportit Farie Hoti
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tirana v Elbasani
04 Apr 2026
TIRA139
ELBA89
12 Apr 2025
TIRA140
ELBA58
29 Oct 2023
TIRA101
ELBA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
87-71
87
71
+16
92avg 71
H31/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
82avg 71
A11/02
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
69avg 71
H01/03
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
62-87
62
87
-25
57avg 71
H05/03
Liga Unike
Kamza Basket
#6
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A08/03
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
54avg 71
H12/03
Liga Unike
Vllaznia
#5
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
73avg 71
A15/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 71
H23/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
87avg 71
A29/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
59avg 71
A05/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-20
21-17
27-20
17-12
12-19
26-25
22-13
17-21
17-19
25-32
14-16
11-30
20-24
14-25
17-8
–
–
–
–
17-18
15-23
5-23
26-13
23-23
24-21
20-13
10-20
20-18
17-23
27-26
10-15
23-19
16-22
27-22
18-21
10-27
24-25
14-16
22-20
146.0Avg total
71.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.079.4153.4-5.540%
Season at home (10)78.682.5161.1-3.940%
Season away (10)69.376.3145.6-7.040%
Last 10 (10)71.274.8146.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)78.686.6165.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.588.5158.9-18.015%
vs Similar (4)83.285.0168.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)75.174.0149.1+1.154%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Partizani Tirana
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
H26/01
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
no box
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
100-130
100
130
-30
no box
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
58-103
58
103
-45
no box
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
86-108
86
108
-22
no box
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-148
74
148
-74
no box
H03/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
93-144
93
144
-51
no box
A07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
98-113
98
113
-15
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-22
14-21
12-14
18-20
22-19
23-16
22-23
22-16
31-14
25-17
18-27
25-31
23-23
27-43
25-33
6-38
22-28
15-16
15-21
21-24
20-33
26-25
19-26
17-17
30-22
14-35
10-15
13-35
17-33
25-45
19-35
20-38
26-40
25-27
22-39
22-35
20-23
24-31
32-24
189.1Avg total
82.7Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.7106.4189.1-23.720%
Last 5 (5)84.4120.4204.8-36.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.0105.4182.4-28.46%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)100.566.0166.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -8.6-8.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -8.6-8.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
TiranaElbasani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H31/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A11/02
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/03
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H05/03
Liga Unike
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/03
Liga Unike
Vllaznia
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H23/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A29/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A05/04
Superliga
77.8Avg total
35.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.941.878.6-4.931%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.340.877.1-4.529%-
Last 30 away (15)37.442.780.1-5.333%-
Last 10 (9)35.842.077.8-6.222%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.881.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.645.881.4-10.215%-
vs Similar (4)43.241.584.8+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.137.573.6-1.433%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizani Tirana
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H26/01
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
30-68
30
68
-38
H03/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
46-78
46
78
-32
A07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H12/04
Superliga
94.6Avg total
41.5Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)41.947.289.1-5.440%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.644.889.4-0.240%-
Last 30 away (10)39.149.688.7-10.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.553.194.6-11.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.260.0101.2-18.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.952.090.9-13.125%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)53.828.081.8+25.8100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.6
47.6%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.4
30.8%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
68.8%15.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.826.1
57.0%
52.7%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.75.2
22.9%
32.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws21.714.1
65.0%
68.8%14.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana
LLLWLWLLWW
Elbasani
LLLLLLLWWL
#3
League position
#7
-7.7
Net rating
-27.6
95.8
Offensive rating
93.9
103.5
Defensive rating
121.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
22.9%
59.2%
Assist %
40.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 93.9Defence103.5 · 121.6Shooting47.1% · 49.5%3-point %30.8% · 22.9%Ball care20.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 21.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Tirana   ■ Elbasani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tirana wins
0
Elbasani wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24Elbasani v Tirana100-130
29/10/23Tirana v Elbasani101-72
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABeselidhja70-88
29/03/25AApolonia Fier103-104 OT
23/03/25HTeuta Durres74-82
15/03/25AVllaznia83-82 OT
12/03/25HSigal Prishtina63-77
08/03/25AKamza Basket20-0
05/03/25HGolden Eagle Ylli62-87
01/03/25HBeselidhja73-88
11/02/25ASigal Prishtina77-69
31/01/25HApolonia Fier87-71
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HVllaznia98-113
07/04/24AApolonia Fier93-144
03/04/24HBeselidhja74-148
24/03/24APBC Flamurtari71-89
13/03/24HKamza Basket86-108
09/03/24ATeuta Durres58-103
01/03/24HTirana100-130
10/02/24ASkenderbeu96-74
03/02/24AFieri85-78
26/01/24HPartizani Tirana66-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game74.078.669.3
Allowed / game79.482.576.3
Point differential-5.5-3.9-7.0
Avg total153.3161.1145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %15%10%20%
Elbasani
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja2120195%93.774.2+19.4
2 Teuta Durres2112957%83.582.8+0.7
3 Apolonia Fier2191243%84.588.5-4.0
4 Tirana2081240%74.079.4-5.5
5 Vllaznia2181338%84.084.7-0.7
6 Kamza Basket2051525%75.486.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana29303645140
Elbasani119221658
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