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Tirana vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 124-73
40-18 22-21 27-13 35-21
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game78.6
Tirana 🏆
Albania
vs
Pogradeci
Albania
Position#11
Record1-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game96.2
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati i Sportit Farie Hoti
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 85
H04/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
76-118
76
118
-42
54avg 85
A12/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
94-67
94
67
+27
93avg 85
H18/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 85
H25/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
103-72
103
72
+31
98avg 85
A06/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
110-66
110
66
+44
103avg 85
H08/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
71avg 85
A15/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
120-61
120
61
+59
129avg 85
H07/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
97-90
97
90
+7
79avg 85
A13/12
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
124-76
124
76
+48
119avg 85
A18/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-11
17-17
29-21
18-35
23-22
18-31
9-39
26-26
25-15
24-19
18-17
27-16
16-22
23-23
20-11
13-13
28-14
20-14
28-24
27-20
28-24
26-9
29-20
27-13
23-25
27-12
16-24
21-22
31-11
31-18
33-12
25-20
26-18
21-25
26-19
24-28
33-15
35-18
28-22
28-21
176.3Avg total
97.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.778.6176.3+19.190%
Season at home (5)98.069.4167.4+28.6100%
Season away (5)97.487.8185.2+9.680%
Last 10 (10)97.778.6176.3+19.190%
Last 5 (5)107.675.2182.8+32.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.490.2157.7-22.811%
vs Similar (2)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.272.5164.7+19.779%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
L
64-98
64
98
-34
34avg 62
A05/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-110
75
110
-35
68avg 62
H12/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 62
H19/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
76-124
76
124
-48
61avg 62
A26/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
66-111
66
111
-45
54avg 62
H01/11
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
60-80
60
80
-20
50avg 62
A08/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
82avg 62
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 62
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
67-100
67
100
-33
48avg 62
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 62
A18/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-28
14-17
20-25
19-28
17-40
21-25
17-28
20-17
13-26
17-21
23-17
19-25
16-31
26-31
13-36
21-26
10-20
14-29
18-32
24-30
11-20
18-22
15-19
16-19
19-20
17-28
24-22
24-20
24-7
25-23
20-17
24-27
18-18
21-22
10-27
18-33
15-16
21-20
18-29
18-21
169.1Avg total
72.9Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.996.2169.1-23.310%
Season at home (4)74.2100.0174.2-25.80%
Season away (6)72.093.7165.7-21.717%
Last 10 (10)72.996.2169.1-23.310%
Last 5 (5)75.286.0161.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.4100.6172.0-29.10%
vs Similar (1)64.098.0162.0-34.00%
vs Weaker (2)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.6+8.6Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.6+8.6Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
TiranaPogradeci
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A06/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H08/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A15/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H07/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/12
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
68-33
68
33
+35
A18/12
Superliga
86.8Avg total
50.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.338.680.9+3.752%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.978.8+5.150%-
Last 30 away (15)42.640.282.8+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)50.536.386.8+14.280%-
Last 5 (5)56.235.091.2+21.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.946.479.3-13.60%-
vs Similar (2)45.042.587.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.734.280.9+12.472%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A05/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
38-65
38
65
-27
H12/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H19/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A26/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H01/11
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A08/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Superliga
81.2Avg total
34.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)34.846.481.2-11.610%-
Last 30 at home (4)32.052.284.2-20.20%-
Last 30 away (6)36.742.579.2-5.817%-
Last 10 (10)34.846.481.2-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.050.484.4-16.40%-
vs Similar (1)25.045.070.0-20.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.533.075.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.327.0
59.6%
56.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
67.8%16.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.1 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.6
57.2%
56.4%43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.0
25.6%
34.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.49.1
59.0%
67.8%9.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana
WWWWWWWWLW
Pogradeci
LLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#11
+23.5
Net rating
-30.9
122.2
Offensive rating
92.5
98.7
Defensive rating
123.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
21.0%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.8%
3-point %
25.6%
50.8%
Assist %
55.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 92.5Defence98.7 · 123.4Shooting56.9% · 49.3%3-point %34.8% · 25.6%Ball care14.4% · 21.0%Off. rebounds32.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Tirana   ■ Pogradeci
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tirana wins
0
Pogradeci wins
No previous meetings.
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AElbasani124-76
13/12/25AKamza Basket97-90
07/12/25HPartizani Tirana120-61
15/11/25AApolonia Fier87-83
08/11/25HPBC Flamurtari110-66
06/11/25ATeuta Durres103-72
25/10/25HVllaznia72-69
18/10/25HSkenderbeu94-67
12/10/25ABeselidhja76-118
04/10/25HFieri94-84
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25APartizani Tirana72-86
14/12/25AApolonia Fier67-100
06/12/25APBC Flamurtari93-74
15/11/25HTeuta Durres84-90
08/11/25AVllaznia60-80
01/11/25HSkenderbeu66-111
26/10/25ABeselidhja76-124
19/10/25HFieri72-89
12/10/25HKamza Basket75-110
05/10/25AElbasani64-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game97.798.097.4
Allowed / game78.669.487.8
Point differential+19.1+28.6+9.6
Avg total176.3167.4185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL10%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%0%17%
Points / game72.974.272.0
Allowed / game96.2100.093.7
Point differential-23.3-25.8-21.7
Avg total169.1174.2165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja10100100%113.564.3+49.2
2 Apolonia Fier109190%95.972.0+23.9
3 Tirana109190%97.778.6+19.1
4 Vllaznia118373%84.574.5+9.9
5 Teuta Durres117464%80.180.9-0.8
6 Kamza Basket116555%89.878.9+10.9
7 Skenderbeu115645%87.685.6+2.0
8 Elbasani113827%84.3102.0-17.7
9 Partizani Tirana102820%74.189.5-15.4
10 Fieri102820%73.894.3-20.5
11 Pogradeci101910%72.996.2-23.3
12 PBC Flamurtari111109%64.799.0-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana40222735124
Pogradeci1821132173
← all games of the day
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