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Tirana vs Skenderbeu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 94-67
25-15 24-19 18-17 27-16
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game101.0
Tirana 🏆
Albania
vs
Skenderbeu
Albania
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game78.5
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati i Sportit Farie Hoti
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tirana v Skenderbeu
18 Oct 2025
TIRA94
SKEN67
09 Mar 2024
TIRA151
SKEN42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Skenderbeu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#6
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A08/03
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
54avg 75
H12/03
Liga Unike
Vllaznia
#5
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
73avg 75
A15/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 75
H23/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
87avg 75
A29/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
59avg 75
A05/04
Superliga
Elbasani
#7
W
140-58
140
58
+82
168avg 75
H12/04
Superliga
Elbasani
#7
W
103-55
103
55
+48
102avg 75
A16/04
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 75
H04/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
76-118
76
118
-42
54avg 75
A12/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
17-18
15-23
5-23
26-13
23-23
24-21
20-13
10-20
20-18
17-23
27-26
10-15
23-19
16-22
27-22
18-21
10-27
24-25
14-16
22-20
29-11
30-9
36-22
45-16
41-11
20-16
20-14
22-14
30-11
17-17
29-21
18-35
23-22
18-31
9-39
26-26
157.4Avg total
82.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.0101.0186.0-16.050%
Season at home (1)94.084.0178.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)76.0118.0194.0-42.00%
Last 10 (10)82.674.8157.4+7.850%
Last 5 (5)96.680.6177.2+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.189.6158.7-20.518%
vs Similar (4)83.285.0168.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.172.3153.4+8.760%
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkenderbeu
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#9
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
H10/02
Superliga
Fieri
#10
L
53-93
53
93
-40
no box
A02/03
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
42-151
42
151
-109
no box
A09/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
72-115
72
115
-43
no box
H13/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
49-103
49
103
-54
no box
A15/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
79-98
79
98
-19
no box
A03/04
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
no box
H06/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
H11/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
H05/10
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 81
A11/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
14-31
17-25
27-18
13-21
14-24
10-27
16-21
6-42
5-43
18-32
13-34
19-24
17-28
17-31
19-32
10-29
13-17
14-29
12-28
27-32
16-20
19-20
17-26
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17-12
24-16
22-29
24-19
166.2Avg total
64.3Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)68.081.0149.0-13.00%
Season away (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)64.3101.9166.2-37.610%
Last 5 (5)70.692.2162.8-21.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)62.1106.5168.6-44.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -10.6-10.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -10.9-10.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -10.9-10.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -7.1-7.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -10.6-10.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -10.9-10.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -10.9-10.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -7.1-7.1
TiranaSkenderbeu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/03
Liga Unike
Vllaznia
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H23/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A29/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A05/04
Superliga
Elbasani
#7
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H12/04
Superliga
Elbasani
#7
W
61-27
61
27
+34
A16/04
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/10
Superliga
82.7Avg total
44.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.939.777.6-1.834%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 away (14)37.141.578.6-4.429%-
Last 10 (9)44.138.682.7+5.644%-
Last 5 (5)48.436.084.4+12.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.345.679.9-11.49%-
vs Similar (4)43.241.584.8+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.234.573.7+4.743%-
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#9
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/02
Superliga
Fieri
#10
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A02/03
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
11-85
11
85
-74
A09/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H13/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A15/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A03/04
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A11/10
Superliga
81.7Avg total
30.1Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)27.555.482.9-27.86%-
Last 30 at home (6)29.849.779.5-19.80%-
Last 30 away (11)26.358.584.7-32.29%-
Last 10 (7)30.151.681.7-21.414%-
Last 5 (5)30.852.683.4-21.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)26.757.183.8-30.40%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)41.028.069.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.7
53.6%
56.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.614.6
67.6%
67.8%14.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Skenderbeutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Skenderbeu: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.2
43.4%
56.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.1
24.1%
34.4%18.3
🏀 Free throws11.17.3
65.8%
67.8%7.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana
LWWWLLLWLW
Skenderbeu
WLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#7
+4.4
Net rating
-49.8
107.3
Offensive rating
74.8
103.0
Defensive rating
124.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
40.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
23.2%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.17
32.3%
3-point %
24.1%
59.6%
Assist %
53.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 74.8Defence103.0 · 124.6Shooting51.7% · 40.6%3-point %32.3% · 24.1%Ball care17.0% · 23.2%Off. rebounds28.4% · 19.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Tirana   ■ Skenderbeu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tirana wins
0
Skenderbeu wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Tirana v Skenderbeu151-42
04/11/23Skenderbeu v Tirana47-92
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ABeselidhja76-118
04/10/25HFieri94-84
16/04/25AElbasani103-55
12/04/25HElbasani140-58
05/04/25ABeselidhja70-88
29/03/25AApolonia Fier103-104 OT
23/03/25HTeuta Durres74-82
15/03/25AVllaznia83-82 OT
12/03/25HSigal Prishtina63-77
08/03/25AKamza Basket20-0
Skenderbeulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25APartizani Tirana87-76
05/10/25HApolonia Fier68-81
11/04/24HApolonia Fier64-89
06/04/24HBeselidhja55-117
03/04/24APBC Flamurtari79-98
15/03/24AKamza Basket49-103
13/03/24HTeuta Durres72-115
09/03/24ATirana42-151
02/03/24AFieri53-93
10/02/24HElbasani74-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.094.076.0
Allowed / game101.084.0118.0
Point differential-16.0+10.0-42.0
Avg total186.0178.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Skenderbeu
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game77.568.087.0
Allowed / game78.581.076.0
Point differential-1.0-13.0+11.0
Avg total156.0149.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja330100%123.373.7+49.7
2 Teuta Durres220100%85.058.0+27.0
3 Apolonia Fier220100%85.575.0+10.5
4 Vllaznia32167%89.379.0+10.3
5 Kamza Basket21150%95.582.0+13.5
6 Fieri21150%87.588.0-0.5
7 Skenderbeu21150%77.578.5-1.0
8 Tirana21150%85.0101.0-16.0
9 Elbasani31233%84.799.7-15.0
10 Partizani Tirana3030%74.794.0-19.3
11 Pogradeci2020%69.5104.0-34.5
12 PBC Flamurtari2020%52.590.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana2524182794
Skenderbeu1519171667
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