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Tivat vs Primorje Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-103
30-22 18-32 25-21 22-28
Position#12
Record5-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#3
Record11-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game78.3
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 14· Sportski centar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tivat v Primorje
11 Jan 2026
TIVA95
PRIM103
27 Jan 2025
TIVA100
PRIM95
20 Jan 2024
TIVA83
PRIM87
22 Oct 2022
TIVA92
PRIM71
29 Jan 2022
TIVA82
PRIM87
17 Oct 2020
TIVA75
PRIM68
03 Nov 2019
TIVA100
PRIM55
23 Dec 2017
TIVA120
PRIM70
23 Mar 2017
TIVA96
PRIM66
26 Nov 2016
TIVA117
PRIM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Primorje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
76avg 82
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 82
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 82
H14/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
89-132
89
132
-43
no box
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
85avg 82
H08/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 82
A13/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 82
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
94-105
94
105
-11
87avg 82
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 82
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-12
31-19
18-18
17-20
22-22
16-25
14-27
27-24
24-20
22-25
21-22
26-34
21-33
22-31
20-34
23-15
12-23
24-29
20-12
17-24
30-28
22-21
20-15
16-26
28-17
25-22
14-19
23-19
22-32
23-23
21-19
27-26
16-28
24-29
27-22
35-22
18-25
27-29
16-25
184.5Avg total
88.7Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.195.1182.2-8.038%
Season at home (6)92.789.0181.7+3.767%
Season away (7)82.3100.3182.6-18.014%
Last 10 (10)88.795.8184.5-7.140%
Last 5 (5)90.294.2184.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.295.6172.9-18.425%
vs Similar (13)85.888.2174.1-2.446%
vs Weaker (8)93.978.5172.4+15.4100%
This opponent (Primorje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrimorjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrimorje
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 85
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
56-86
56
86
-30
44avg 85
A19/11
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
85-61
85
61
+24
94avg 85
A24/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 85
H05/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 85
A09/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 85
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 85
A24/12
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
89-69
89
69
+20
91avg 85
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
91avg 85
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-12
27-17
21-20
16-27
12-16
17-19
11-24
23-10
21-14
18-26
23-11
27-17
25-18
14-29
26-22
18-20
32-20
19-10
16-22
17-18
23-29
26-18
23-28
25-19
18-12
27-17
21-20
16-21
15-18
16-22
17-23
29-10
15-24
28-21
17-14
30-19
20-20
19-19
23-20
159.4Avg total
82.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.378.3169.6+13.085%
Season at home (7)95.178.3173.4+16.9100%
Season away (6)86.878.3165.2+8.567%
Last 10 (10)82.676.8159.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)85.078.4163.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.488.2165.6-10.912%
vs Similar (3)89.787.0176.7+2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.978.6171.5+14.494%
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
TivatPrimorje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H14/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H08/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/01
Prva A Liga
91.0Avg total
43.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.545.689.1-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.742.287.9+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.348.990.3-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)43.847.291.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.847.484.1-10.60%-
vs Similar (13)44.646.390.9-1.754%-
vs Weaker (8)47.842.590.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Primorje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrimorjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A19/11
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A24/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H05/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A09/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A24/12
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A04/01
Prva A Liga
78.3Avg total
41.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.084.6+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.638.585.1+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.641.684.2+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.678.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.079.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.244.883.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (3)44.043.387.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.036.884.8+11.294%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 66.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.0
48.4%
58.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.06.9
23.6%
31.5%20.6
🏀 Free throws23.915.6
65.3%
69.7%15.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Primorjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Primorje: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.5
57.2%
58.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.3
29.3%
31.5%22.0
🏀 Free throws21.713.8
63.8%
69.7%13.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tivat
LLLLWWLWLW
Primorje
WWLWLWWWLW
#12
League position
#3
-15.1
Net rating
-10.0
90.7
Offensive rating
105.1
105.8
Defensive rating
115.1
42.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
23.6%
3-point %
29.3%
59.5%
Assist %
50.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 105.1Defence105.8 · 115.1Shooting42.1% · 51.8%3-point %23.6% · 29.3%Ball care14.4% · 15.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tivat   ■ Primorje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tivat wins
5
Primorje wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Primorje v Tivat111-90
27/01/25Tivat v Primorje100-95
13/10/24Primorje v Tivat67-74
15/04/24Primorje v Tivat67-77
20/01/24Tivat v Primorje83-87
02/02/23Primorje v Tivat61-70
22/10/22Tivat v Primorje92-71
29/01/22Tivat v Primorje82-87
31/10/21Primorje v Tivat101-85
31/03/21Primorje v Tivat85-83
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HStudentski Centar96-101
27/12/25ADanilovgrad94-105
25/12/25AVukovi Zeta89-93
20/12/25HIbar Rozaje83-84
13/12/25AUlcinj89-88
08/12/25HPodgorica101-99 OT
22/11/25ASutjeska89-132
14/11/25HKotor94-91
08/11/25ALovcen Cetinje69-94
01/11/25HMornar Bar83-71
Primorjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AVukovi Zeta92-78
28/12/25HIbar Rozaje89-69
24/12/25ASloboda64-84
20/12/25HPodgorica91-68
14/12/25ASutjeska89-93
09/12/25AUlcinj85-72
05/12/25HKotor92-86
24/11/25ALovcen Cetinje85-61
19/11/25AHelios Domzale56-86
16/11/25HMornar Bar83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game87.192.782.3
Allowed / game95.189.0100.3
Point differential-8.0+3.7-18.0
Avg total182.2181.7182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Primorje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game91.395.186.8
Allowed / game78.378.378.3
Point differential+13.0+16.9+8.5
Avg total169.6173.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1311285%91.378.3+13.0
2 Jedinstvo1411379%88.582.7+5.8
3 Sutjeska139469%92.880.9+11.8
4 Mornar Bar149564%82.177.9+4.1
5 Kotor148657%79.879.7+0.1
6 Lovcen Cetinje148657%76.676.6+0.0
7 Ibar Rozaje147750%78.078.9-0.9
8 Studentski Centar125742%77.383.2-5.8
9 Tivat135838%87.195.1-8.0
10 Podgorica145936%78.280.5-2.3
11 Ulcinj145936%78.982.0-3.1
12 Vukovi Zeta124833%82.486.2-3.8
13 Decic123925%82.585.8-3.2
14 Danilovgrad1331023%79.088.1-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tivat3018252295
Primorje22322128103
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