PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tobol Kostanay 2 vs CHAMP1ON Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 51-85
20-22 14-30 17-21 0-12
Position#12
Record4-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#9
Record8-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game72.2
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay 2 v CHAMP1ON
05 Mar 2026
TOBO86
CHAM92
03 Mar 2026
TOBO51
CHAM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CHAMP1ON winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
60avg 55
A15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
57avg 55
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
65-54
65
54
+11
50avg 55
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
86-49
86
49
+37
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
66-93
66
93
-27
no box
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
64avg 55
A20/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
88-56
88
56
+32
86avg 55
H21/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-70
45
70
-25
26avg 55
A02/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
17-21
18-18
28-18
31-23
22-8
23-13
24-11
15-20
25-20
17-17
14-15
19-19
12-15
10-9
24-11
18-17
15-13
21-18
9-21
23-6
24-4
22-21
17-18
20-20
13-30
27-27
6-16
18-19
22-13
17-13
8-20
25-19
23-15
22-9
18-13
4-29
9-20
9-11
23-10
140.3Avg total
73.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.280.4150.6-10.221%
Season at home (8)71.178.8149.9-7.638%
Season away (11)69.581.6151.2-12.19%
Last 10 (10)73.067.3140.3+5.740%
Last 5 (5)70.668.0138.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.185.6150.7-20.60%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.469.8139.1-0.438%
vs Weaker (4)79.857.5137.2+22.275%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCHAMP1ON
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
79avg 59
A10/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
60-71
60
71
-11
63avg 59
H11/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
72avg 59
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 59
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
42avg 59
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 59
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
89avg 59
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
73avg 59
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
65avg 59
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 59
H02/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-9
23-21
18-16
11-22
13-14
17-16
19-19
17-20
5-29
21-21
22-10
17-14
20-29
18-13
16-20
15-21
12-17
15-24
17-19
22-9
19-16
20-20
14-13
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
24-15
16-23
22-16
23-14
141.9Avg total
73.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.272.2143.4-0.947%
Season at home (9)69.675.1144.7-5.644%
Season away (8)73.168.9142.0+4.250%
Last 10 (10)73.668.3141.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)80.062.2142.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)60.679.0139.6-18.55%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.055.0123.0+13.080%
vs Weaker (4)78.552.0130.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
Tobol Kostanay 2CHAMP1ON
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
47-10
47
10
+37
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A20/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
13-49
13
49
-36
A02/03
Higher League
72.7Avg total
37.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.642.076.6-7.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.240.376.5-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)33.143.576.6-10.421%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.772.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.147.479.5-15.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.236.873.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker (4)42.826.869.5+16.075%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A10/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H11/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/03
Higher League
71.8Avg total
35.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.938.770.6-6.831%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.137.868.9-6.838%-
Last 30 away (13)32.839.872.6-6.923%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.371.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.075.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)29.041.170.1-12.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.538.274.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)42.226.268.5+16.0100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tobol Kostanay 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tobol Kostanay 2: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.3
43.0%
49.5%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.77.7
24.2%
28.5%23.0
🏀 Free throws15.79.3
59.6%
63.9%9.3
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.424.2
57.1%
49.5%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.6
24.6%
28.5%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
63.9%14.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/5 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tobol Kostanay 2
LWLLWLWLWL
CHAMP1ON
WWWWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#9
+1.2
Net rating
+24.9
83.7
Offensive rating
111.8
82.5
Defensive rating
87.0
40.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
35.8%
Opp. effective FG%
40.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.2%
3-point %
24.6%
74.7%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 111.8Defence82.5 · 87.0Shooting40.0% · 50.0%3-point %24.2% · 24.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Tobol Kostanay 2   ■ CHAMP1ON
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
0
CHAMP1ON wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26ABC Almaty 245-70
21/01/26HArlans88-56
20/01/26AAiRom68-72 OT
19/01/26HArlans66-93
18/01/26AAiRom86-49
25/11/25AAtyrau 263-69
24/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 265-54
23/11/25AAtyrau 271-72
22/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 2100-55
15/11/25AChelSU Kostanay78-83
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-68
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75
06/01/26HAiRom75-58
07/12/25HAktobe59-81
06/12/25AAktobe71-76
12/11/25ABC Almaty 265-80
11/11/25HAtyrau 260-71
10/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 281-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %21%38%9%
Points / game70.271.169.5
Allowed / game80.478.881.6
Point differential-10.2-7.6-12.1
Avg total150.6149.9151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %11%0%18%
CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game71.269.673.1
Allowed / game72.275.168.9
Point differential-0.9-5.6+4.2
Avg total143.4144.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent2017385%94.669.6+25.0
3 Aktobe2016480%81.867.2+14.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay2012860%76.577.8-1.2
7 BC Almaty 21810856%79.273.7+5.5
8 CHAMP1ON178947%71.272.2-0.9
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21941521%70.280.4-10.2
13 AiRom1941521%65.277.9-12.7
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay 2201417051
CHAMP1ON2230211285
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.