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Tobol Kostanay 2 vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 66-93
20-20 13-30 27-27 6-16
Position#12
Record3-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#11
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay 2 v Arlans
21 Jan 2026
TOBO88
ARLA56
19 Jan 2026
TOBO66
ARLA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#2
L
68-112
68
112
-44
59avg 54
A11/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
55-85
55
85
-30
45avg 54
H12/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
79-112
79
112
-33
65avg 54
A13/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
50avg 54
H14/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
60avg 54
A15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
57avg 54
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
65-54
65
54
+11
50avg 54
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
86-49
86
49
+37
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-31
22-32
11-23
17-23
10-26
13-15
15-21
24-36
22-28
14-26
19-22
20-28
13-25
17-15
16-23
15-26
17-21
18-18
28-18
31-23
22-8
23-13
24-11
15-20
25-20
17-17
14-15
19-19
12-15
10-9
24-11
18-17
15-13
21-18
9-21
23-6
24-4
22-21
17-18
151.3Avg total
73.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.182.5153.6-11.320%
Season at home (6)69.280.2149.3-11.033%
Season away (9)72.484.0156.4-11.611%
Last 10 (10)73.178.2151.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)77.059.8136.8+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)64.685.3149.9-20.70%
vs Similar ◀ (6)66.868.2135.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (3)83.752.7136.3+31.0100%
This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
62avg 64
H15/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
70-56
70
56
+14
58avg 64
A16/10
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
82avg 64
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
79avg 64
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
45avg 64
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 64
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 64
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 64
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 64
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
8-18
21-17
24-23
27-14
11-13
15-9
17-20
29-12
16-14
18-22
16-18
22-19
20-27
21-31
21-17
11-19
15-20
18-22
12-15
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
17-16
19-12
17-22
20-27
155.8Avg total
72.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.280.5154.7-6.333%
Season at home (6)70.079.0149.0-9.017%
Season away (6)78.382.0160.3-3.750%
Last 10 (10)72.283.6155.8-11.420%
Last 5 (5)73.093.0166.0-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.589.5164.0-15.017%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.382.7153.0-12.30%
vs Weaker (3)77.360.3137.7+17.0100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
Tobol Kostanay 2Arlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A11/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A13/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H14/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
47-10
47
10
+37
A18/01
Higher League
79.2Avg total
37.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.042.176.1-8.122%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.539.173.6-4.633%-
Last 30 away (15)33.644.578.1-10.913%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.579.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.829.069.8+11.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.546.278.8-13.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.034.268.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)43.725.068.7+18.767%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H15/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A16/10
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Higher League
78.3Avg total
36.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)36.139.775.8-3.642%-
Last 30 at home (6)31.237.068.2-5.833%-
Last 30 away (6)41.042.383.3-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.078.3-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.848.686.4-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.347.278.5-15.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.338.076.3+0.367%-
vs Weaker (3)43.326.369.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tobol Kostanay 2their own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.5
49.4%
49.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.85.8
24.2%
28.5%17.2
🏀 Free throws24.514.8
60.2%
63.9%14.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
0
Arlans wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AAiRom86-49
25/11/25AAtyrau 263-69
24/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 265-54
23/11/25AAtyrau 271-72
22/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 2100-55
15/11/25AChelSU Kostanay78-83
14/11/25HTuran66-91
13/11/25AShymkent79-112
12/11/25HTuran55-85
11/11/25AShymkent68-112
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HChelSU Kostanay73-77
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113
09/11/25HAktobe56-76
08/11/25AAktobe84-94
17/10/25AAiRom79-66
16/10/25AKaspiy Aktau 270-56
15/10/25HAtyrau 268-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW20%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %20%33%11%
Points / game71.169.272.4
Allowed / game82.580.284.0
Point differential-11.3-11.0-11.6
Avg total153.6149.3156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%17%50%
Points / game74.270.078.3
Allowed / game80.579.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.0-3.7
Avg total154.7149.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1514193%86.967.7+19.3
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay1610662%75.676.9-1.3
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans124833%74.280.5-6.3
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda1541127%76.582.5-5.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21531220%71.182.5-11.3
13 Pavlodar1421214%53.689.1-35.5
14 AiRom131128%59.979.1-19.2
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay 2201327666
Arlans2030271693
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