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CHAMP1ON vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 85-68
24-15 16-23 22-16 23-14
Position#9
Record7-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#8
Record12-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · CHAMP1ON v ChelSU Kostanay
02 May 2026
CHAM79
CHEL81
04 Mar 2026
CHAM88
CHEL93
02 Mar 2026
CHAM85
CHEL68
07 Apr 2025
CHAM44
CHEL85
01 Mar 2025
CHAM63
CHEL67
17 Dec 2024
CHAM71
CHEL74
12 Nov 2024
CHAM57
CHEL90
18 Oct 2024
CHAM64
CHEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CHAMP1ON winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCHAMP1ON
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
81avg 58
H09/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
79avg 58
A10/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
60-71
60
71
-11
63avg 58
H11/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
72avg 58
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 58
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
42avg 58
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 58
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
89avg 58
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
73avg 58
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
65avg 58
A09/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-14
20-15
11-22
19-18
21-9
23-21
18-16
11-22
13-14
17-16
19-19
17-20
5-29
21-21
22-10
17-14
20-29
18-13
16-20
15-21
12-17
15-24
17-19
22-9
19-16
20-20
14-13
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
142.7Avg total
73.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.472.4142.8-2.144%
Season at home (8)67.676.0143.6-8.438%
Season away (8)73.168.9142.0+4.250%
Last 10 (10)73.169.6142.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)74.864.8139.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)60.679.0139.6-18.55%
vs Similar ◀ (5)66.455.0121.4+11.480%
vs Weaker (4)78.552.0130.5+26.5100%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 63
H14/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 63
H15/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
99-57
99
57
+42
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
75-45
75
45
+30
67avg 63
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
92avg 63
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
80-59
80
59
+21
82avg 63
A25/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A18/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
62-55
62
55
+7
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
66avg 63
A20/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
85avg 63
H21/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
16-29
23-29
16-15
26-15
21-17
18-18
18-28
25-15
27-15
31-14
16-13
23-13
19-14
14-7
19-11
22-15
26-29
19-17
28-11
24-12
19-13
11-19
26-15
16-17
12-19
22-17
27-20
18-12
15-20
16-16
13-7
19-15
16-15
18-20
18-19
16-21
26-13
32-19
9-15
147.5Avg total
79.7Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.775.9151.7-0.267%
Season at home (10)81.176.4157.5+4.780%
Season away (8)69.075.4144.4-6.450%
Last 10 (10)79.767.8147.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)74.664.8139.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.484.6151.0-18.114%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.372.0143.3-0.767%
vs Weaker (10)71.855.9127.7+15.990%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
CHAMP1ONChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A10/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H11/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
71.8Avg total
35.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.838.870.6-6.928%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.537.868.3-7.333%-
Last 30 away (14)33.339.873.1-6.521%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.171.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.072.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)29.041.170.1-12.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.238.875.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (4)42.226.268.5+16.0100%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H14/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H15/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A25/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/01
Higher League
75.1Avg total
40.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.039.975.0-4.945%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.540.879.3-2.360%-
Last 30 away (14)31.339.070.3-7.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.875.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.467.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.148.779.8-17.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.035.770.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker (9)41.229.170.3+12.189%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.5
57.0%
49.5%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.0
23.0%
28.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.3%
63.9%16.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ChelSU Kostanay: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀14%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.0
51.1%
49.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.03.5
16.7%
28.5%10.5
🏀 Free throws28.018.5
66.1%
63.9%18.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/2 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CHAMP1ON
WWWWLLLLWL
ChelSU Kostanay
WWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#8
+25.1
Net rating
+10.5
110.0
Offensive rating
95.5
84.9
Defensive rating
85.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
43.0%
38.2%
Opp. effective FG%
37.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.41
23.0%
3-point %
16.7%
67.5%
Assist %
78.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 95.5Defence84.9 · 85.0Shooting49.2% · 43.0%3-point %23.0% · 16.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ CHAMP1ON   ■ ChelSU Kostanay
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CHAMP1ON wins
5
ChelSU Kostanay wins
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75
06/01/26HAiRom75-58
07/12/25HAktobe59-81
06/12/25AAktobe71-76
12/11/25ABC Almaty 265-80
11/11/25HAtyrau 260-71
10/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 281-64
09/11/25HAtyrau 280-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HAiRom83-68
20/01/26AArlans71-69
19/01/26HAiRom62-55
18/01/26AArlans77-73
25/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 280-59
24/11/25HAtyrau 295-72
23/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 275-45
22/11/25HAtyrau 299-57
15/11/25HTobol Kostanay 283-78
14/11/25HShymkent72-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game70.467.673.1
Allowed / game72.476.068.9
Point differential-2.1-8.4+4.2
Avg total142.8143.6142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game75.781.169.0
Allowed / game75.976.475.4
Point differential-0.2+4.7-6.4
Avg total151.7157.5144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent2017385%94.669.6+25.0
3 Aktobe2016480%81.867.2+14.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
9 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1941521%65.277.9-12.7
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CHAMP1ON2416222385
ChelSU Kostanay1523161468
← all games of the day
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