Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 109-76

26-21 22-16 27-20 34-19

Position#4

Record10-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game76.9

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Atyrau

Position#2

Record7-4

FormLLWLW

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game79.7

National League

Other2018-19

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atyrau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kokshetay

88-70

+18

A27/10

National League

Almaty

73-66

A07/11

National League

Almaty

79-82

-3

A08/11

National League

Atyrau

83-98

-15

A16/11

National League

Atyrau

109-95

109

+14

A17/11

National League

Atyrau 2

94-56

+38

A20/11

National League

Atyrau 2

97-85

+12

A21/11

National League

Kokshetay

96-74

+22

A12/12

National League

Kokshetay

92-78

+14

A13/12

National League

Atyrau

94-96

-2

H20/12

National League

20-20

20-8

21-17

27-25

18-14

15-21

18-13

22-18

12-17

18-29

25-12

24-24

19-20

25-27

26-24

13-27

25-23

23-26

36-25

25-21

28-15

26-11

21-21

19-9

22-24

33-20

17-16

25-25

29-21

20-22

21-19

26-12

20-20

26-21

23-21

23-16

31-19

16-29

29-17

18-31

170.5Avg total

90.5Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	87.4	76.9	164.3	+10.5	67%
Season at home (1)	94.0	96.0	190.0	-2.0	0%
Season away (14)	86.9	75.5	162.4	+11.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	80.0	170.5	+10.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	77.8	172.4	+16.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	76.0	88.3	164.3	-12.3	17%
vs Similar (2)	76.0	74.0	150.0	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker (16)	88.8	73.6	162.4	+15.2	81%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

110-72

110

+38

A07/11

National League

Atyrau 2

100-73

100

+27

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

98-83

+15

H16/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

95-109

109

-14

H17/11

National League

Academic Bultex

61-102

102

-41

H20/11

BIBL

Beroe

60-78

-18

H21/11

BIBL

Kozuv

73-82

-9

H22/11

BIBL

Almaty

86-80

H11/12

National League

Almaty

81-88

-7

H12/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

96-94

A20/12

National League

33-14

25-20

28-21

24-17

26-18

23-21

32-12

19-22

20-19

27-25

24-26

27-13

23-25

26-23

25-36

21-25

15-27

15-24

16-23

15-28

–

18-19

8-20

25-21

22-22

17-25

19-30

25-19

25-6

18-22

16-19

28-24

19-23

19-31

29-16

17-29

31-18

172.1Avg total

86.0Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.1	79.7	165.8	+6.4	64%
Season at home (8)	80.1	79.8	159.9	+0.4	50%
Season away (3)	102.0	79.7	181.7	+22.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	86.1	172.1	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	84.4	163.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	65.3	87.1	152.4	-21.8	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	91.0	72.7	163.8	+18.3	85%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.8	20.4	43.1	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (21)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.3	41.7	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	19.8	45.8	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.0	23.9	43.9	-3.9	42%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	15.5	30.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	20.2	42.2	+1.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	24.8	42.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	21.1	38.4	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (21)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	25.0	41.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.5	17.5	41.0	+5.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.7	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	13.6	22.2	35.8	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	19.5	41.0	+1.9	55%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kokshetay

40-28

+12

A27/10

National League

Almaty

33-35

-2

A07/11

National League

Almaty

30-46

-16

A08/11

National League

Atyrau

44-47

-3

A16/11

National League

Atyrau

48-49

-1

A17/11

National League

Atyrau 2

54-26

+28

A20/11

National League

Atyrau 2

55-44

+11

A21/11

National League

Kokshetay

49-43

A12/12

National League

Kokshetay

46-41

A13/12

National League

Atyrau

47-48

-1

H20/12

National League

85.3Avg total

44.6Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.5	39.7	82.2	+2.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	42.5	41.2	83.8	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (21)	42.5	39.1	81.6	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	40.7	85.3	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	40.4	90.6	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.6	44.8	84.4	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	31.5	40.5	72.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.3	35.5	81.7	+10.8	87%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

58-34

+24

A07/11

National League

Atyrau 2

49-39

+10

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-44

H16/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

49-48

H17/11

National League

Academic Bultex

30-51

-21

H20/11

BIBL

Kozuv

26-39

-13

H22/11

BIBL

Almaty

36-55

-19

H11/12

National League

Almaty

34-41

-7

H12/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-47

A20/12

National League

86.1Avg total

41.9Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.9	40.4	81.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.3	40.8	82.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.9	44.2	86.1	-2.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	46.6	81.4	-11.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	30.9	43.3	74.2	-12.4	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.6	39.2	84.9	+6.4	70%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.5	18.8	36.2	-1.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (21)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.5	42.2	+5.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	12.5	34.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	18.3	38.5	+1.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.6	19.4	44.1	+5.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	21.1	42.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.4	23.4	47.9	+1.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	24.1	44.1	-4.1	22%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.6	18.3	43.0	+6.3	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (21)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	52%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.2	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.0	20.7	35.7	-5.7	11%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.2	14.8	35.0	+5.4	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.0	40.0	80.1	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	35.6	40.1	75.8	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (21)	41.7	40.0	81.7	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	39.3	85.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	37.4	81.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.4	43.5	79.9	-7.1	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.5	33.5	78.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.3	38.1	80.5	+4.2	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.8	36.7	78.6	+5.1	66%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	34.4	75.9	+7.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.3	40.0	82.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	47.0	42.8	89.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.6	87.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.0	44.8	79.8	-9.8	22%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.9	33.1	78.0	+11.8	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/18	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	94-96
17/11/18	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	95-109
16/11/18	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	98-83
07/04/18	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	49-55
06/04/18	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	81-64
05/04/18	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	105-60
28/03/18	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	100-75
27/03/18	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	78-96
11/02/18	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	93-96
10/02/18	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	90-61

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/18	H	Atyrau	94-96
13/12/18	A	Kokshetay	92-78
12/12/18	A	Kokshetay	96-74
21/11/18	A	Atyrau 2	97-85
20/11/18	A	Atyrau 2	94-56
17/11/18	A	Atyrau	109-95
16/11/18	A	Atyrau	83-98
08/11/18	A	Almaty	79-82
07/11/18	A	Almaty	73-66
27/10/18	A	Kokshetay	88-70

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/18	A	Tobol Kostanay	96-94
12/12/18	H	Almaty	81-88
11/12/18	H	Almaty	86-80
22/11/18	H	Kozuv	73-82
21/11/18	H	Beroe	60-78
20/11/18	H	Academic Bultex	61-102
17/11/18	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-109
16/11/18	H	Tobol Kostanay	98-83
08/11/18	A	Atyrau 2	100-73
07/11/18	A	Atyrau 2	110-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	L	0%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	1	14
Win %	67%	0%	71%
Points / game	87.4	94.0	86.9
Allowed / game	76.9	96.0	75.5
Point differential	+10.5	-2.0	+11.4
Avg total	164.3	190.0	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	0%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	64%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	8	3
Win %	64%	50%	100%
Points / game	86.1	80.1	102.0
Allowed / game	79.7	79.8	79.7
Point differential	+6.4	+0.4	+22.3
Avg total	165.8	159.9	181.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	38%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	16	16	0	100%	94.0	53.8	+40.2
2	Tobol Kostanay	15	10	5	67%	87.4	76.9	+10.5
3	Atyrau	11	7	4	64%	86.1	79.7	+6.4
4	Almaty	14	8	6	57%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
5	Kokshetay	12	4	8	33%	73.1	83.0	-9.9
6	Atyrau 2	14	3	11	21%	70.2	87.4	-17.1
7	Kaspiy Aktau	16	1	15	6%	57.1	86.2	-29.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	26	22	27	34	109
Atyrau	21	16	20	19	76

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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