Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 95-86

28-27 24-17 20-26 23-16

Position#3

Record14-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game84.5

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Atyrau

Position#2

Record12-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game72.5

National League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atyrau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

93-77

+16

H13/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

74-78

-4

H14/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

88-87

A23/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

85-102

102

-17

A24/12

National League

Astana

45-95

-50

A28/12

National League

Astana

56-114

114

-58

A29/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

80-75

H14/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

82-74

H15/01

National League

Aktobe

83-78

H21/01

National League

Aktobe

82-79

H22/01

National League

29-22

17-14

25-18

22-23

17-18

17-24

19-19

21-17

20-24

24-20

21-15

23-28

25-21

26-26

19-35

15-20

11-39

16-20

8-20

10-16

15-28

17-25

11-23

13-38

23-23

24-11

18-14

15-27

21-21

17-16

27-16

17-21

19-19

20-15

25-18

19-26

21-18

30-17

13-22

18-22

162.7Avg total

76.8Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	80.0	84.5	164.5	-4.6	64%
Season at home (12)	85.3	78.8	164.2	+6.5	83%
Season away (10)	73.5	91.4	164.9	-17.9	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	85.9	162.7	-9.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	84.0	160.6	-7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	71.5	87.4	158.9	-15.9	33%
vs Similar (12)	84.3	79.2	163.5	+5.2	83%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

88-75

+13

A20/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-90

-2

A21/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

102-80

102

+22

H29/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-59

+20

H30/11

National League

Aktobe

77-69

A07/12

National League

Aktobe

66-56

+10

A08/12

National League

Aktobe

70-54

+16

H23/12

National League

Aktobe

72-66

H24/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

77-71

H19/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

71-64

H20/01

National League

12-17

23-19

35-13

18-26

20-18

33-28

22-25

13-19

27-22

20-17

35-27

20-14

23-13

21-14

12-19

23-13

19-15

18-16

18-18

22-20

16-12

31-13

3-18

16-13

20-12

16-12

13-20

21-10

14-25

23-11

22-22

13-8

22-6

22-20

8-26

25-19

16-13

16-17

25-16

14-18

147.4Avg total

79.0Scored

68.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.2	72.5	150.7	+5.7	67%
Season at home (8)	81.4	68.0	149.4	+13.4	88%
Season away (10)	75.6	76.1	151.7	-0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	68.4	147.4	+10.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	62.2	133.4	+9.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	57.8	84.0	141.8	-26.2	0%
vs Similar (4)	77.8	70.5	148.2	+7.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	79.8	69.2	149.0	+10.6	81%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	24.2	42.2	-6.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.3	43.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	28%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.8	20.3	43.2	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.3	34.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	13.6	31.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	19.2	33.0	-5.4	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	13.0	35.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.1	41.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	15.9	35.7	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	16.7	39.0	+5.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.6	36.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	22.4	38.8	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	19.8	37.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.7	76%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

46-36

+10

H13/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

34-42

-8

H14/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

44-44

A23/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

51-47

A24/12

National League

Astana

27-59

-32

A28/12

National League

Astana

32-53

-21

A29/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

47-34

+13

H14/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

38-37

H15/01

National League

Aktobe

39-34

H21/01

National League

Aktobe

51-35

+16

H22/01

National League

83.0Avg total

40.9Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	43.4	83.3	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	41.4	85.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	45.5	81.4	-9.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.6	80.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	36.2	45.2	81.4	-8.9	22%	-
vs Similar (12)	45.3	40.8	86.2	+4.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

35-36

-1

A20/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

53-46

A21/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-39

H29/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

44-27

+17

H30/11

National League

Aktobe

37-31

A07/12

National League

Aktobe

47-25

+22

A08/12

National League

Aktobe

36-24

+12

H23/12

National League

Aktobe

37-36

H24/12

National League

Irbis Almaty

44-26

+18

H19/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

32-30

H20/01

National League

73.2Avg total

41.2Scored

32.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	36.1	74.8	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	33.7	73.3	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	38.5	76.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	32.0	73.2	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	28.2	67.4	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	30.2	41.6	71.8	-11.4	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.2	32.8	73.0	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.4	35.4	75.8	+5.0	71%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.8	38.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	20.4	34.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	22.0	35.8	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.9	17.3	37.2	+2.6	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	21.1	39.1	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.4	40.3	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	23.8	41.1	-6.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	26.8	43.2	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.1	21.3	38.3	-4.2	44%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.9	40.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	16.1	36.5	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	13.6	31.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	20.4	34.2	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.4	77.0	-3.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	37.5	75.0	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	43.2	79.0	-7.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	43.8	79.7	-7.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	45.4	80.6	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.1	41.7	76.8	-6.7	39%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	34.9	75.3	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.0	36.7	70.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	34.0	66.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	27.6	42.4	70.0	-14.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	37.8	75.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.4	33.8	73.2	+5.6	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/22	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	79-59
29/11/22	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	102-80
21/11/22	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	90-88
20/11/22	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	75-88
12/10/22	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	73-83
11/10/22	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	107-67
04/04/22	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	98-90
03/04/22	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	92-78
19/12/21	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	77-91
18/12/21	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	73-88

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/23	H	Aktobe	82-79
21/01/23	H	Aktobe	83-78
15/01/23	H	Irbis Almaty	82-74
14/01/23	H	Irbis Almaty	80-75
29/12/22	A	Astana	56-114
28/12/22	A	Astana	45-95
24/12/22	A	Irbis Almaty	85-102
23/12/22	A	Irbis Almaty	88-87
14/12/22	H	Irbis Almaty	74-78
13/12/22	H	Irbis Almaty	93-77

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/23	H	Irbis Almaty	71-64
19/01/23	H	Irbis Almaty	77-71
24/12/22	H	Aktobe	72-66
23/12/22	H	Aktobe	70-54
08/12/22	A	Aktobe	66-56
07/12/22	A	Aktobe	77-69
30/11/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	79-59
29/11/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	102-80
21/11/22	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-90
20/11/22	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	64%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	64%	83%	40%
Points / game	80.0	85.3	73.5
Allowed / game	84.5	78.8	91.4
Point differential	-4.6	+6.5	-17.9
Avg total	164.5	164.2	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	25%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	80% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	67%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	67%	88%	50%
Points / game	78.2	81.4	75.6
Allowed / game	72.5	68.0	76.1
Point differential	+5.7	+13.4	-0.5
Avg total	150.7	149.4	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	50%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Atyrau	18	12	6	67%	78.2	72.5	+5.7
2	Astana	14	9	5	64%	84.4	74.4	+10.0
3	Tobol Kostanay	22	14	8	64%	80.0	84.5	-4.6
4	Irbis Almaty	21	9	12	43%	78.2	80.4	-2.2
5	Aktobe	23	5	18	22%	74.8	78.9	-4.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	28	24	20	23	95
Atyrau	27	17	26	16	86

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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