Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 87-91

22-19 24-27 22-17 19-28

Position#4

Record23-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.5

Allowed / game82.0

Tobol Kostanay

Atyrau 🏆

Position#2

Record23-10

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game73.0

National LeagueNational League - Semi-finals

Other2023-24

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atyrau winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Atyrau

66-70

-4

62avg 92

A09/03

National League

Aktobe

88-95

-7

90avg 92

A13/03

National League

Aktobe

91-87

96avg 92

A14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-51

+46

107avg 92

H19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

113-73

113

+40

120avg 92

H20/03

National League

Almaty

121-89

121

+32

128avg 92

H30/03

National League

Almaty

112-85

112

+27

120avg 92

H31/03

National League

Almaty

108-98

108

+10

101avg 92

A06/04

National League

Atyrau

82-78

91avg 92

A20/04

National League

Atyrau

86-81

93avg 92

A21/04

National League

14-18

19-21

21-13

12-18

21-19

18-28

30-25

19-23

25-23

20-22

22-24

24-18

17-12

31-7

20-17

29-15

26-18

26-24

30-18

31-13

31-26

29-22

38-25

23-16

29-28

23-23

29-14

31-20

28-29

24-25

33-24

23-20

25-21

18-19

13-26

26-12

30-19

24-15

19-24

13-23

177.1Avg total

96.4Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	90.5	82.0	172.5	+8.5	70%
Season at home (16)	99.0	83.2	182.2	+15.8	81%
Season away (17)	82.5	80.9	163.4	+1.6	59%
Last 10 (10)	96.4	80.7	177.1	+15.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	101.8	86.2	188.0	+15.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.2	89.8	162.0	-17.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	88.2	84.0	172.2	+4.2	70%
vs Weaker (16)	97.9	80.6	178.6	+17.3	88%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAtyrau

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

77-67

+10

74avg 82

A03/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

72-83

-11

69avg 82

H08/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

70-66

65avg 82

H09/03

National League

Astana 2

71-52

+19

70avg 82

H13/03

National League

Astana 2

83-60

+23

78avg 82

H14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

102-69

102

+33

113avg 82

H04/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

95-80

+15

98avg 82

H05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-66

+23

86avg 82

A07/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-82

-4

80avg 82

H20/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

81-86

-5

80avg 82

H21/04

National League

16-16

29-15

11-26

21-10

23-16

20-23

19-24

10-20

18-14

21-19

13-21

18-12

26-13

13-14

20-12

12-13

19-10

17-27

26-8

21-15

30-13

23-9

27-26

22-21

23-11

22-32

24-21

26-16

22-14

21-16

20-16

26-20

21-25

19-18

26-13

12-26

19-30

15-24

24-19

23-13

152.9Avg total

81.8Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	82.1	73.0	155.1	+9.1	70%
Season at home (16)	82.4	72.1	154.5	+10.2	69%
Season away (17)	81.8	73.8	155.6	+8.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	71.1	152.9	+10.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	76.6	165.6	+12.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.0	74.8	150.8	+1.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	82.3	84.3	166.7	-2.0	33%
vs Weaker (20)	84.2	70.3	154.5	+13.8	90%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	20.9	46.8	+4.9	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.7	43.4	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	21.3	45.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	24.6	53.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	23.5	43.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.5	20.9	45.4	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (16)	24.4	21.0	45.4	+3.4	81%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.2	17.6	40.8	+5.6	72%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	16.6	40.1	+7.0	86%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	16.2	37.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	15.5	37.0	+6.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	23.7	44.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	24.4	16.2	40.5	+8.2	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.1	44.4	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.0	20.8	46.8	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	25.0	45.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.7	43.3	+1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.8	42%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

33-39

-6

A09/03

National League

Aktobe

39-47

-8

A13/03

National League

Aktobe

45-45

A14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

48-19

+29

H19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

52-42

+10

H20/03

National League

Almaty

60-48

+12

H30/03

National League

Almaty

52-51

H31/03

National League

Almaty

52-54

-2

A06/04

National League

Atyrau

43-40

A20/04

National League

Atyrau

54-34

+20

A21/04

National League

89.7Avg total

47.8Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	42.4	89.6	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.9	41.7	93.6	+10.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	43.1	85.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	41.9	89.7	+5.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	45.4	97.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.0	48.5	89.5	-7.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	46.6	42.1	88.7	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	49.2	41.0	90.2	+8.2	81%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

45-31

+14

A03/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

43-39

H08/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-33

H09/03

National League

Astana 2

39-27

+12

H13/03

National League

Astana 2

36-37

-1

H14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

53-22

+31

H04/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-43

H05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-30

+13

A07/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-43

-3

H20/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

34-54

-20

H21/04

National League

77.6Avg total

41.7Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.9	38.6	82.5	+5.3	72%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	37.8	80.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	39.3	84.7	+6.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	35.9	77.6	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.4	81.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.2	45.2	86.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	45.8	36.8	82.6	+9.1	89%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	20.1	43.8	+3.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.1	41.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	21.0	46.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	22.6	49.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	20.5	35.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	25.3	19.2	44.5	+6.1	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	17.4	39.3	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.8	43.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.0	43.2	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.9	19.5	41.5	+2.4	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	19.4	38.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	17.8	40.9	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+2.9	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	16.3	36.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.6	35.7	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	15.5	33.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.6	84.6	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.1	41.6	88.7	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	39.5	79.9	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	38.8	87.4	+9.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	40.8	90.4	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.2	41.2	72.5	-10.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.6	41.9	83.5	-0.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (16)	48.7	39.6	88.3	+9.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.7	37.3	78.0	+3.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	35.4	75.4	+4.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	39.1	80.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.2	75.3	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	38.2	84.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	37.5	74.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.2	39.2	80.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.2	36.7	77.9	+4.5	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/24	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	81-86
20/04/24	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	78-82
09/03/24	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	70-66
08/03/24	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	72-83
16/12/23	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	95-101
15/12/23	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	94-92
26/04/23	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	81-86
23/04/23	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	71-70
22/04/23	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	77-73
07/03/23	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	64-72

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/24	A	Atyrau	86-81
20/04/24	A	Atyrau	82-78
06/04/24	A	Almaty	108-98
31/03/24	H	Almaty	112-85
30/03/24	H	Almaty	121-89
20/03/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	113-73
19/03/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	97-51
14/03/24	A	Aktobe	91-87
13/03/24	A	Aktobe	88-95
09/03/24	A	Atyrau	66-70

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	81-86
20/04/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	78-82
07/04/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	89-66
05/04/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	95-80
04/04/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	102-69
14/03/24	H	Astana 2	83-60
13/03/24	H	Astana 2	71-52
09/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	70-66
08/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	72-83
03/02/24	A	Pavlodar	77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	70%
Home	LWWWW	81%
Away	LWWWW	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	70%	81%	59%
Points / game	90.5	99.0	82.5
Allowed / game	82.0	83.2	80.9
Point differential	+8.5	+15.8	+1.6
Avg total	172.5	182.2	163.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	56%	41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	70%
Home	WWWLL	69%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	70%	69%	71%
Points / game	82.1	82.4	81.8
Allowed / game	73.0	72.1	73.8
Point differential	+9.1	+10.2	+8.0
Avg total	155.1	154.5	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	33% (6)	25% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	35	32	3	91%	88.6	72.0	+16.6
2	Atyrau	33	23	10	70%	82.1	73.0	+9.1
3	Tobol Kostanay	33	23	10	70%	90.5	82.0	+8.5
4	Aktobe	36	22	14	61%	84.2	81.1	+3.1
5	Astana 2	32	14	18	44%	76.4	76.6	-0.2
6	Almaty	31	10	21	32%	81.8	87.0	-5.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	31	6	25	19%	72.6	89.3	-16.7
8	Pavlodar	31	1	30	3%	73.4	92.4	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	22	24	22	19	87
Atyrau	19	27	17	28	91

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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