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Tofas vs Besiktas Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 07 May 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#12
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 30· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Besiktas
17 Apr 2026
TOF84
BES98
05 Oct 2024
TOF99
BES95
20 Jan 2024
TOF81
BES85
29 Oct 2022
TOF80
BES72
02 Apr 2022
TOF81
BES80
13 Mar 2021
TOF89
BES86
23 Nov 2019
TOF86
BES80
23 May 2019
TOF v BES
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
TOF83
BES89
12 Jan 2019
TOF89
BES79
17 Feb 2018
TOF86
BES79
21 Oct 2017
TOF83
BES79
08 Apr 2017
TOF94
BES95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Besiktas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.884.0163.8-4.240%
Season at home (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Season away (2)79.085.0164.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.987.6167.5-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.489.7174.1-5.427%
vs Weaker (9)90.984.6175.4+6.389%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A09/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
22-29
26-20
18-15
28-20
21-31
24-20
19-13
14-24
13-27
19-19
17-18
18-22
21-21
16-32
27-25
26-17
27-18
16-23
26-29
19-22
25-17
20-21
19-20
17-29
19-28
24-11
20-21
24-31
26-21
21-19
25-29
23-25
13-17
22-19
15-20
24-24
23-30
23-20
33-27
174.8Avg total
85.7Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.688.8171.4-6.240%
Season at home (2)86.580.5167.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)80.094.3174.3-14.30%
Last 10 (10)85.789.1174.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)87.090.2177.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.890.1172.9-7.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.984.4165.3-3.643%
vs Weaker (8)89.181.4170.5+7.875%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
TofasBesiktas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.845.387.1-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.385.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.142.883.9-1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.846.686.5-6.818%-
vs Weaker (9)47.843.190.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A30/10
Euroleague
89.7Avg total
42.7Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.085.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.686.8-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.747.089.7-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.891.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.246.687.9-5.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.642.183.7-0.457%-
vs Weaker (8)45.840.986.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
54.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
75.4%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
54.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.8
38.8%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
75.4%11.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
Besiktas
WLLLWWLLWW
#11
League position
#12
-0.3
Net rating
-2.4
92.3
Offensive rating
102.7
92.6
Defensive rating
105.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.5%
3-point %
38.8%
58.0%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 102.7Defence92.6 · 105.1Shooting51.9% · 56.2%3-point %26.5% · 38.8%Ball care17.4% · 14.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Besiktas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tofas wins
6
Besiktas wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Tofas v Besiktas84-98
20/12/25Besiktas v Tofas73-72
25/01/25Besiktas v Tofas95-70
05/10/24Tofas v Besiktas99-95
20/01/24Tofas v Besiktas81-85
08/10/23Besiktas v Tofas69-54
11/03/23Besiktas v Tofas105-85
29/10/22Tofas v Besiktas80-72
02/04/22Tofas v Besiktas81-80
04/12/21Besiktas v Tofas82-83
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AVirtus Bologna103-101
28/10/26HOlympiacos73-81
24/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.96-100
22/10/26AAnadolu Efes80-89
18/10/26HGalatasaray83-80
16/10/26HBayern95-87
14/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-100
11/10/26ATurk Telekom63-88
09/10/26ABaskonia92-84
05/10/26HTrabzonspor90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game79.880.379.0
Allowed / game84.083.385.0
Point differential-4.2-3.0-6.0
Avg total163.8163.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Besiktas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game82.686.580.0
Allowed / game88.880.594.3
Point differential-6.2+6.0-14.3
Avg total171.4167.0174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%92.883.4+9.4
2 Turk Telekom54180%80.471.8+8.6
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Esenler Erokspor54180%85.682.8+2.8
5 Fenerbahce53260%88.484.2+4.2
6 Trabzonspor53260%82.281.8+0.4
7 Petkim Spor53260%83.683.4+0.2
8 Galatasaray52340%88.680.2+8.4
9 Korfez Basket52340%81.883.6-1.8
10 Karsiyaka52340%79.882.4-2.6
11 Tofas52340%79.884.0-4.2
12 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
13 Denizli Basket51420%80.885.8-5.0
14 Bordo Bandirma51420%79.085.2-6.2
15 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
16 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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