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Tofas vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-69
22-15 24-15 14-23 22-16
Position#6
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tofas 🏆
vs
Chemnitz
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Tofas v Chemnitz
29 Sep 2026
TOF82
CHE69
25 Sep 2022
TOF82
CHE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#32
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
21-30
14-30
29-19
24-21
23-27
18-17
23-28
21-21
22-30
27-16
12-25
20-28
10-25
22-13
19-25
30-23
17-26
23-20
26-31
25-29
14-22
30-20
15-27
14-19
20-21
14-17
28-21
23-20
24-26
14-11
26-21
13-21
22-26
24-11
14-13
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
172.5Avg total
83.7Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.788.8172.5-5.130%
Last 5 (5)82.082.8164.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.487.3169.6-4.921%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.892.0177.8-6.225%
vs Weaker (8)91.587.9179.4+3.675%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A12/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H15/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H18/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
62-89
62
89
-27
H27/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A03/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A10/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#11
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A18/09
BBL
Hamburg
#18
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A25/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
H27/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
17-20
13-19
19-26
20-14
21-20
16-13
22-19
29-20
22-19
8-22
17-12
20-27
20-16
10-25
12-21
27-20
25-19
16-26
16-17
24-18
22-13
14-19
11-21
14-22
21-30
18-28
37-24
20-21
23-20
19-18
20-30
22-22
21-20
17-15
23-26
19-24
20-23
22-20
20-14
168.3Avg total
82.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.086.3168.3-4.350%
Last 5 (5)88.492.4180.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.981.7155.6-7.836%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.584.5167.0-2.146%
vs Weaker (6)84.887.5172.3-2.750%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
TofasChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#32
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.8Avg total
41.7Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.586.6-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.345.586.8-4.238%-
Last 30 away (14)43.043.486.4-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.748.189.8-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.286.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.642.182.8-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.248.990.1-7.612%-
vs Weaker (8)45.544.289.8+1.275%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A12/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H18/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A03/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/09
BBL
Hamburg
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
BBL
84.9Avg total
43.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.982.2+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.137.878.8+3.358%-
Last 30 away (18)41.443.184.5-1.639%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.484.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.041.381.3-1.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.740.082.7+2.754%-
vs Weaker (6)40.742.383.0-1.733%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.2
60.1%
54.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.3%
34.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.7
77.3%
75.6%18.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.5
32.5%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
75.6%14.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWLLLLLLL
Chemnitz
WLLLWWLWWL
#6
League position
#5
-6.6
Net rating
-4.4
97.4
Offensive rating
89.2
104.0
Defensive rating
93.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
32.5%
68.7%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 89.2Defence104.0 · 93.5Shooting54.1% · 50.5%3-point %30.3% · 32.5%Ball care16.1% · 17.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
25/09/22Tofas v Chemnitz82-78
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
10/05/26HPetkim Spor73-71
03/05/26HKarsiyaka87-78
25/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.76-78
17/04/26HBesiktas84-98
12/04/26AManisa96-100
04/04/26HTrabzonspor71-91
29/03/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
21/03/26HMerkezefendi88-93
18/03/26HAS Karditsas90-98
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HPhoenix Hagen94-93 OT
25/09/26AHamburg90-94 OT
18/09/26AAlba Berlin82-89
10/05/26ABasketball Braunschweig90-104
07/05/26HFrankfurt86-82 OT
03/05/26AAlba Berlin84-82
27/04/26HBamberg62-89
18/04/26HJena76-73
15/04/26HUlm79-66
12/04/26ABayern77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%76.073.0+3.0
2 Neptunas1010%73.076.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2224142282
Chemnitz1515231669
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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