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Tofas vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-89
20-25 30-28 24-14 20-22
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game92.5
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record2-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
91-107
91
107
-16
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
82-55
82
55
+27
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-28
21-21
17-24
12-25
14-20
22-24
16-25
19-30
35-25
21-19
16-33
19-11
24-8
18-11
21-25
18-14
26-27
13-17
39-21
8-16
24-10
22-12
19-23
18-22
20-20
14-26
20-27
22-28
28-26
9-25
26-17
21-17
16-31
23-19
21-22
26-27
22-21
26-20
23-14
167.1Avg total
81.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.092.5177.5-7.525%
Season at home (1)96.079.0175.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)81.397.0178.3-15.70%
Last 10 (10)81.885.3167.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)81.684.6166.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.895.8172.5-19.012%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.183.8170.9+3.356%
vs Weaker (13)88.275.4163.6+12.892%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#5
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H07/10
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H10/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#4
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A14/10
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A21/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H22/10
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H28/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-12
22-10
17-15
22-21
16-15
18-14
19-23
23-27
24-20
21-26
18-22
25-18
17-14
19-11
16-18
14-19
21-14
20-16
23-12
21-14
21-22
15-19
18-23
25-21
18-13
26-24
34-17
20-29
17-22
26-9
18-25
22-30
36-15
18-20
27-28
9-25
11-11
16-12
27-10
156.1Avg total
82.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.575.2150.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)78.079.0157.0-1.050%
Season away (2)73.071.5144.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)82.373.8156.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)85.077.8162.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.779.0153.7-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (5)69.872.0141.8-2.240%
vs Weaker (21)86.870.2157.0+16.681%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
TofasCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.9Avg total
41.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.583.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.840.886.6+4.977%-
Last 30 away (17)39.542.081.5-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.883.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.684.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.146.885.9-7.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.843.084.8-1.244%-
vs Weaker (13)44.537.281.7+7.277%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/10
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/10
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/10
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H28/10
ABA League
78.9Avg total
40.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.879.6+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.980.9+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.535.778.3+6.887%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.478.9+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.044.078.0-10.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.838.670.4-6.840%-
vs Weaker (21)45.236.882.0+8.586%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.3%
51.9%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.5
41.8%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.814.5
69.9%
74.9%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.7
47.1%
51.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.5
32.1%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.112.3
58.3%
74.9%12.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLLLWWWLLL
Cedevita
WWLWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#18
-11.0
Net rating
-1.9
108.0
Offensive rating
101.1
119.0
Defensive rating
103.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
47.5%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.8%
3-point %
32.1%
71.4%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 101.1Defence119.0 · 103.0Shooting55.4% · 47.5%3-point %41.8% · 32.1%Ball care15.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds20.7% · 34.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
0
Cedevita wins
No previous meetings.
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18HGalatasaray97-82
23/10/18ALimoges81-89
20/10/18AAfyon Belediye85-96
17/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban72-95
13/10/18HIstanbul BB73-61
10/10/18HGdynia96-79
06/10/18AKarsiyaka82-55
02/10/18AAlba Berlin91-107
13/06/18AFenerbahce64-94
11/06/18HFenerbahce77-95
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18HBuducnost63-58
27/10/18AHermes103-93
24/10/18HLokomotiv Kuban81-85
22/10/18HAlkar103-75
21/10/18ACibona75-78
17/10/18AGdynia78-61
14/10/18ASplit77-61
13/10/18HMega Bemax86-95
10/10/18HAlba Berlin75-73
07/10/18HOsijek82-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game85.096.081.3
Allowed / game92.579.097.0
Point differential-7.5+17.0-15.7
Avg total177.5175.0178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.578.073.0
Allowed / game75.279.071.5
Point differential+0.2-1.0+1.5
Avg total150.8157.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban440100%85.572.5+13.0
2 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne54180%79.870.8+9.0
4 Valencia54180%83.074.0+9.0
5 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
6 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
7 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
8 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
9 Frankfurt43175%80.078.0+2.0
10 Zenit Petersburg53260%87.682.2+5.4
11 MoraBanc Andorra42250%91.288.8+2.5
12 Cedevita42250%75.575.2+0.2
13 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
14 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
15 Ulm52340%83.888.0-4.2
16 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
17 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
18 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
19 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
20 Mornar Bar41325%79.592.8-13.2
21 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
22 Trento51420%69.281.8-12.6
23 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2030242094
Cedevita2528142289
← all games of the day
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