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Tofas vs JL Bourg Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#24
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEurocupRound 9· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 79
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.782.9174.6+8.986%
Season at home (3)88.777.7166.3+11.0100%
Season away (4)94.086.8180.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 79
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 79
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#5
L
98-101
98
101
-3
93avg 79
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
29-19
24-17
22-25
28-26
24-22
20-26
18-17
19-24
34-21
22-15
15-19
33-28
15-25
18-15
23-13
19-25
13-21
17-29
28-21
31-13
25-34
18-24
24-30
27-20
20-19
14-21
27-24
24-25
22-32
19-22
12-28
21-20
15-16
18-16
12-16
16-19
28-28
17-15
16-28
173.1Avg total
84.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.184.7165.9-3.629%
Season at home (3)79.378.7158.0+0.733%
Season away (4)82.589.2171.8-6.825%
Last 10 (10)84.189.0173.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.290.0171.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.287.8168.9-6.625%
vs Similar (12)85.588.4173.9-2.933%
vs Weaker (6)87.779.0166.7+8.783%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
TofasJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#5
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/11
LNB
92.6Avg total
45.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.688.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.744.790.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.685.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.992.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.045.287.2-3.233%-
vs Similar (12)43.745.889.4-2.142%-
vs Weaker (6)46.241.387.5+4.867%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
34.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.6%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.2%
54.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
34.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.416.7
68.4%
75.6%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
JL Bourg
LLLWLLWWLL
#6
League position
#24
-1.4
Net rating
-2.9
92.8
Offensive rating
95.0
94.2
Defensive rating
98.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.2%
3-point %
30.3%
59.8%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 95.0Defence94.2 · 98.0Shooting52.7% · 51.6%3-point %29.2% · 30.3%Ball care17.6% · 14.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Tofas   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
0
JL Bourg wins
DateGameScore
06/10/26JL Bourg v Tofas82-89
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRoanne77-90
10/11/26HBuducnost66-68
08/11/26AParis77-107
04/11/26ASlask Wroclaw88-84
31/10/26HNanterre98-101
28/10/26AChemnitz77-96
24/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque89-81
21/10/26HTrento90-79
18/10/26ALe Mans90-91
13/10/26ANeptunas89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.788.794.0
Allowed / game82.977.786.8
Point differential+8.9+11.0+7.2
Avg total174.6166.3180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
JL Bourg
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game81.179.382.5
Allowed / game84.778.789.2
Point differential-3.6+0.7-6.8
Avg total165.9158.0171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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