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Tofas vs Lokomotiv Kuban Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-105 (OT)
16-18 25-26 30-24 19-22 9-15
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H31/10
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
H07/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A13/11
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#15
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-20
14-26
20-27
22-28
28-26
9-25
26-17
21-17
16-31
23-19
21-22
26-27
22-21
26-20
23-14
20-25
30-28
24-14
20-22
24-16
14-22
25-17
19-23
17-24
15-28
32-16
28-24
20-20
21-24
20-17
27-22
28-32
28-15
12-15
19-15
17-20
21-25
25-9
10-15
172.4Avg total
86.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.991.7180.6-2.943%
Season at home (3)97.091.3188.3+5.767%
Season away (4)82.892.0174.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.086.4172.4-0.460%
Last 5 (5)86.282.6168.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.496.9176.3-17.411%
vs Similar (9)87.381.1168.4+6.278%
vs Weaker (12)85.372.6157.9+12.892%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H17/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H20/10
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A24/10
Eurocup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A27/10
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H31/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H03/11
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H07/11
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H11/11
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A14/11
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#12
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H18/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-20
26-14
27-20
30-17
22-10
17-16
23-20
29-20
22-17
9-26
25-18
26-25
23-16
20-16
19-18
17-25
22-24
19-18
17-16
21-27
27-24
22-22
10-12
25-23
23-21
14-14
34-14
18-32
21-18
22-22
15-21
14-17
19-20
21-14
18-13
21-26
25-14
24-18
23-17
161.5Avg total
85.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.672.7156.3+10.986%
Season at home (4)87.072.8159.8+14.275%
Season away (3)79.072.7151.7+6.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.276.3161.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)83.477.8161.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.586.0161.5-10.50%
vs Similar (3)83.777.3161.0+6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.473.3155.7+9.168%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
TofasLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H31/10
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H07/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A13/11
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.9Avg total
42.8Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.284.3-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.342.386.6+2.062%-
Last 30 away (17)40.342.282.5-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.847.189.9-4.310%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.286.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.347.385.7-9.011%-
vs Similar (9)43.044.187.1-1.133%-
vs Weaker (12)44.137.081.1+7.175%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H20/10
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A24/10
Eurocup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A27/10
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H31/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/11
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H07/11
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/11
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/11
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H18/11
VTB United League
86.1Avg total
44.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.678.7+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.180.8+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.536.176.7+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.486.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.487.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.542.079.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (3)46.345.391.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.035.277.1+6.876%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.2
53.4%
51.9%44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.59.5
44.2%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
74.9%12.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.2
56.3%
51.9%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.5
40.2%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
79.7%
74.9%14.8
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWLWWWLLL
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWLWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#3
-4.2
Net rating
+16.9
112.3
Offensive rating
113.0
116.5
Defensive rating
96.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
57.7%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
20.5%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
44.2%
3-point %
40.2%
66.3%
Assist %
64.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 113.0Defence116.5 · 96.1Shooting57.8% · 57.7%3-point %44.2% · 40.2%Ball care15.0% · 20.5%Off. rebounds19.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Lokomotiv Kuban
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
DateGameScore
17/10/18Lokomotiv Kuban v Tofas95-72
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18ASakarya BB73-69
13/11/18AGdynia87-77
10/11/18HBanvit88-83
07/11/18HAlba Berlin101-106 OT
04/11/18ADarussafaka82-78
31/10/18HCedevita94-89
27/10/18HGalatasaray97-82
23/10/18ALimoges81-89
20/10/18AAfyon Belediye85-96
17/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban72-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HParma Perm93-75
14/11/18ALimoges72-64
11/11/18HCSKA Moscow76-93
07/11/18HGdynia96-72
03/11/18HBC Kalev/Cramo80-85
31/10/18HAlba Berlin75-83
27/10/18ANizhny Novgorod88-75
24/10/18ACedevita85-81
20/10/18HVEF Riga92-63
17/10/18HTofas95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game88.997.082.8
Allowed / game91.791.392.0
Point differential-2.9+5.7-9.2
Avg total180.6188.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game83.687.079.0
Allowed / game72.772.872.7
Point differential+10.9+14.2+6.3
Avg total156.3159.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban76186%83.672.7+10.9
2 Unics Kazan76186%87.977.3+10.6
3 Unicaja76186%89.381.0+8.3
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%79.072.5+6.5
5 Monaco86275%80.074.9+5.1
6 Valencia75271%83.675.1+8.4
7 Alba Berlin75271%93.687.4+6.1
8 MoraBanc Andorra85362%87.984.5+3.4
9 Zenit Petersburg74357%84.080.4+3.6
10 Cedevita74357%84.481.1+3.3
11 Frankfurt74357%80.479.1+1.3
12 Crvena zvezda84450%77.877.2+0.5
13 Rytas73443%78.479.7-1.3
14 Tofas73443%88.991.7-2.9
15 Galatasaray73443%80.984.1-3.3
16 Ulm83538%83.085.1-2.1
17 Turk Telekom83538%76.281.9-5.6
18 Partizan72529%75.779.3-3.6
19 Brescia72529%77.982.4-4.6
20 Limoges72529%77.383.3-6.0
21 Trento72529%70.980.3-9.4
22 Mornar Bar72529%78.090.9-12.9
23 Gdynia71614%73.985.3-11.4
24 Torino7070%83.489.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tofas16253019999
Lokomotiv Kuban1826242215105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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