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Toledo vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 96-82
47-41 49-41
Position#167
Record16-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game79.3
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#205
Record16-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Ohio
13 Jan 2026
TOLE101
OHIO85
13 Mar 2025
TOLE90
OHIO85
07 Mar 2025
TOLE96
OHIO82
16 Feb 2024
TOLE85
OHIO83
10 Mar 2023
TOLE82
OHIO75
17 Jan 2023
TOLE90
OHIO75
08 Feb 2022
TOLE77
OHIO62
12 Mar 2021
TOLE80
OHIO87
08 Jan 2021
TOLE95
OHIO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
65-105
65
105
-40
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-35
39-50
42-32
45-42
38-41
34-28
30-45
50-47
33-43
40-37
28-35
39-31
37-41
31-28
30-54
35-51
32-32
42-55
24-45
63-51
158.5Avg total
76.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.679.3156.8-1.753%
Season at home (15)78.176.3154.5+1.867%
Season away (15)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 10 (10)76.282.3158.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)72.284.6156.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.883.9156.7-11.133%
vs Similar (9)76.675.6152.1+1.067%
vs Weaker (6)91.073.3164.3+17.783%
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A01/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H05/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
43-38
48-24
46-45
34-28
25-44
32-34
54-47
40-44
35-32
38-41
46-41
43-29
41-38
33-36
40-46
40-33
35-33
38-38
41-45
152.9Avg total
77.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.675.4155.0+4.153%
Season at home (15)83.270.3153.5+12.980%
Season away (15)75.980.5156.5-4.627%
Last 10 (10)77.875.1152.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)79.076.0155.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.074.5151.5+2.550%
vs Similar (15)74.276.2150.4-2.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.377.0163.3+9.360%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
ToledoOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H05/03
NCAA
74.7Avg total
34.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.537.774.2-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.235.772.9+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.839.775.5-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.374.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)30.241.471.6-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.340.673.9-7.327%-
vs Similar (9)36.736.773.3+0.056%-
vs Weaker (6)44.332.076.3+12.383%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/03
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.772.6+3.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.032.574.5+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.970.8-2.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.271.4+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.473.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.535.269.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (15)35.535.771.1-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.133.976.0+8.260%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Toledo wins
1
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Ohio v Toledo83-86
17/02/24Toledo v Ohio85-83
03/01/24Ohio v Toledo77-86
10/03/23Toledo v Ohio82-75
18/01/23Toledo v Ohio90-75
09/02/22Toledo v Ohio77-62
21/01/22Ohio v Toledo69-87
12/03/21Toledo v Ohio80-87
08/01/21Toledo v Ohio95-78
22/01/20Ohio v Toledo74-83
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HAkron87-96
01/03/25ABuffalo74-87
26/02/25AKent State65-105
21/02/25HBowling Green68-69
19/02/25HBall State67-66
15/02/25AEastern Michigan73-80
12/02/25AMiami (Ohio)80-92
08/02/25HJames Madison72-69
05/02/25HBuffalo87-74
01/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-85
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HEastern Michigan79-83
01/03/25HMiami (Ohio)75-66
26/02/25AWestern Michigan73-82
22/02/25HAkron84-67
19/02/25HCentral Michigan84-82
15/02/25AKent State75-76
12/02/25ABowling Green86-81
08/02/25HAppalachian State59-72
05/02/25HWestern Michigan94-69
01/02/25AMiami (Ohio)69-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game77.678.177.0
Allowed / game79.376.382.2
Point differential-1.7+1.8-5.2
Avg total156.8154.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)86% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%80%27%
Points / game79.683.275.9
Allowed / game75.470.380.5
Point differential+4.1+12.9-4.6
Avg total155.0153.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%53%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron3024680%83.974.4+9.5
2 Miami (Ohio)3123874%81.172.8+8.2
3 Kent State30201067%74.068.3+5.7
4 Ohio30161453%79.675.4+4.1
5 Toledo30161453%77.679.3-1.7
6 Eastern Michigan30161453%73.776.4-2.7
7 Central Michigan30141647%75.371.8+3.5
8 Bowling Green30141647%74.173.5+0.5
9 Ball State31141745%75.474.2+1.2
10 UMass30121840%73.774.9-1.2
11 Western Michigan30111937%72.576.6-4.0
12 Buffalo3092130%71.980.7-8.8
13 Northern Illinois3052517%70.576.7-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo474996
Ohio414182
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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