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Toledo vs Akron Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-96
24-45 63-51
Position#167
Record16-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.7
Toledo
USA
vs
Akron 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record23-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Akron
15 Jan 2027
TOLE v AKRO
upcoming
04 Mar 2025
TOLE87
AKRO96
20 Feb 2024
TOLE72
AKRO64
21 Feb 2023
TOLE84
AKRO63
11 Mar 2022
TOLE62
AKRO70
28 Jan 2022
TOLE84
AKRO76
02 Feb 2021
TOLE91
AKRO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
65-105
65
105
-40
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-39
39-44
50-35
39-50
42-32
45-42
38-41
34-28
30-45
50-47
33-43
40-37
28-35
39-31
37-41
31-28
30-54
35-51
32-32
42-55
157.1Avg total
76.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.278.7155.9-1.455%
Season at home (14)77.574.9152.4+2.671%
Season away (15)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 10 (10)76.181.0157.1-4.950%
Last 5 (5)69.481.4150.8-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.883.0154.8-11.236%
vs Similar (10)74.874.7149.5+0.160%
vs Weaker (6)91.073.3164.3+17.783%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
105-92
105
92
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A22/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
43-37
48-31
37-40
38-36
43-37
36-30
44-35
52-42
53-50
33-36
52-46
28-31
45-32
29-43
38-41
47-39
40-43
32-39
45-33
157.4Avg total
82.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.473.9157.4+9.579%
Season at home (15)88.372.1160.4+16.3100%
Season away (14)78.275.9154.1+2.357%
Last 10 (10)82.075.4157.4+6.690%
Last 5 (5)77.876.6154.4+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)76.277.9154.1-1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.574.5158.9+10.089%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +4.6+4.6
ToledoAkron
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
76.4Avg total
36.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.537.173.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.234.671.8+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)35.839.775.5-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.776.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.940.374.2-6.429%-
vs Similar (10)35.435.871.2-0.450%-
vs Weaker (6)44.332.076.3+12.383%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H01/03
NCAA
74.0Avg total
38.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.673.8+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.433.474.8+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)36.935.972.7+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.074.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.671.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)36.936.773.6+0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.234.773.9+4.574%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toledo wins
4
Akron wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Akron v Toledo85-78
21/02/24Toledo v Akron72-64
03/02/24Akron v Toledo77-70
22/02/23Toledo v Akron84-63
08/02/23Akron v Toledo74-84
11/03/22Toledo v Akron62-70
29/01/22Toledo v Akron84-76
03/02/21Toledo v Akron91-76
16/01/21Akron v Toledo95-94 OT
18/01/20Akron v Toledo89-99
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ABuffalo74-87
26/02/25AKent State65-105
21/02/25HBowling Green68-69
19/02/25HBall State67-66
15/02/25AEastern Michigan73-80
12/02/25AMiami (Ohio)80-92
08/02/25HJames Madison72-69
05/02/25HBuffalo87-74
01/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-85
29/01/25AOhio86-83
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HKent State77-72
26/02/25ABall State87-82
22/02/25AOhio67-84
19/02/25HNorthern Illinois73-63
16/02/25ACentral Michigan85-82
12/02/25HWestern Michigan105-92
08/02/25HSouth Alabama80-65
05/02/25HBall State81-73
01/02/25AKent State85-71
29/01/25ANorthern Illinois80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%71%40%
Points / game77.277.577.0
Allowed / game78.774.982.2
Point differential-1.4+2.6-5.2
Avg total155.9152.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)86% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akron
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game83.488.378.2
Allowed / game73.972.175.9
Point differential+9.5+16.3+2.3
Avg total157.4160.4154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2923679%83.473.9+9.5
2 Miami (Ohio)2921872%81.073.2+7.8
3 Kent State29191066%73.968.0+5.9
4 Ohio29161355%79.675.2+4.4
5 Toledo29161355%77.278.7-1.4
6 Eastern Michigan29151452%73.376.3-3.0
7 Ball State29141548%76.074.2+1.8
8 Central Michigan29131645%75.672.0+3.6
9 Bowling Green29131645%74.274.1+0.1
10 UMass29121741%73.875.0-1.2
11 Western Michigan29111838%72.476.6-4.1
12 Buffalo2992031%72.080.6-8.6
13 Northern Illinois2952417%71.076.9-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo246387
Akron455196
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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