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Toledo vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-85 (OT)
39-35 37-41 14-9
Position#167
Record17-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.4
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#205
Record16-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Ohio
13 Jan 2026
TOLE101
OHIO85
13 Mar 2025
TOLE90
OHIO85
07 Mar 2025
TOLE96
OHIO82
16 Feb 2024
TOLE85
OHIO83
10 Mar 2023
TOLE82
OHIO75
17 Jan 2023
TOLE90
OHIO75
08 Feb 2022
TOLE77
OHIO62
12 Mar 2021
TOLE80
OHIO87
08 Jan 2021
TOLE95
OHIO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
65-105
65
105
-40
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
45-42
38-41
34-28
30-45
50-47
33-43
40-37
28-35
39-31
37-41
31-28
30-54
35-51
32-32
42-55
24-45
63-51
47-41
49-41
158.9Avg total
76.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.279.4157.5-1.255%
Season at home (16)79.276.7155.9+2.669%
Season away (15)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 10 (10)76.982.0158.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)78.087.8165.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.383.7158.0-9.540%
vs Similar (9)76.675.6152.1+1.067%
vs Weaker (6)91.073.3164.3+17.783%
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H05/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
48-24
46-45
34-28
25-44
32-34
54-47
40-44
35-32
38-41
46-41
43-29
41-38
33-36
40-46
40-33
35-33
38-38
41-45
41-47
41-49
156.5Avg total
79.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.676.1155.7+3.552%
Season at home (15)83.270.3153.5+12.980%
Season away (16)76.381.5157.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)79.177.4156.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)78.678.8157.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.074.5151.5+2.550%
vs Similar (14)73.975.4149.3-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.978.7164.6+7.255%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.6-1.6
ToledoOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H05/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/03
NCAA
75.0Avg total
34.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.674.7-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.836.173.9+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.339.475.7-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.140.975.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.676.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.540.574.9-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)36.736.773.3+0.056%-
vs Weaker (6)44.332.076.3+12.383%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A08/03
NCAA
74.1Avg total
38.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.973.3+3.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.032.574.5+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.372.2-2.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.474.1+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.675.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.535.269.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (14)36.135.371.4+0.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.035.177.1+6.955%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Toledo wins
1
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Toledo v Ohio96-82
29/01/25Ohio v Toledo83-86
17/02/24Toledo v Ohio85-83
03/01/24Ohio v Toledo77-86
10/03/23Toledo v Ohio82-75
18/01/23Toledo v Ohio90-75
09/02/22Toledo v Ohio77-62
21/01/22Ohio v Toledo69-87
12/03/21Toledo v Ohio80-87
08/01/21Toledo v Ohio95-78
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HOhio96-82
05/03/25HAkron87-96
01/03/25ABuffalo74-87
26/02/25AKent State65-105
21/02/25HBowling Green68-69
19/02/25HBall State67-66
15/02/25AEastern Michigan73-80
12/02/25AMiami (Ohio)80-92
08/02/25HJames Madison72-69
05/02/25HBuffalo87-74
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AToledo82-96
05/03/25HEastern Michigan79-83
01/03/25HMiami (Ohio)75-66
26/02/25AWestern Michigan73-82
22/02/25HAkron84-67
19/02/25HCentral Michigan84-82
15/02/25AKent State75-76
12/02/25ABowling Green86-81
08/02/25HAppalachian State59-72
05/02/25HWestern Michigan94-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%69%40%
Points / game78.279.277.0
Allowed / game79.476.782.2
Point differential-1.2+2.6-5.2
Avg total157.5155.9159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)86% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%80%25%
Points / game79.683.276.3
Allowed / game76.170.381.5
Point differential+3.5+12.9-5.2
Avg total155.7153.5157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron3226681%84.474.0+10.4
2 Miami (Ohio)3123874%81.172.8+8.2
3 Kent State31211068%74.168.3+5.7
4 Toledo31171455%78.279.4-1.2
5 Ohio31161552%79.676.1+3.5
6 Eastern Michigan31161552%73.576.4-2.8
7 Central Michigan31141745%75.572.2+3.4
8 Ball State31141745%75.474.2+1.2
9 Bowling Green32141844%73.573.9-0.4
10 Western Michigan31121939%72.376.1-3.9
11 UMass32122038%72.975.0-2.1
12 Buffalo3192229%71.880.9-9.1
13 Northern Illinois3162519%70.976.9-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Toledo39371490
Ohio3541985
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