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Toledo vs Wright State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-79
29-32 43-47
Position#198
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game64.1
vs
Position#21
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Toledo v Wright State
10 Nov 2026
TOLE v WRIG
upcoming
13 Nov 2024
TOLE86
WRIG77
21 Dec 2019
TOLE72
WRIG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wright State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#7
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A20/03
NIT
George Washington
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A15/03
CBI
Xavier
#9
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A20/03
NIT
Notre Dame
#117
L
62-64 OT
62
64
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#510
W
100-41
100
41
+59
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#275
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H01/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#277
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A05/12
NCAA
Marshall
#132
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
NCAA
Detroit
#314
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/12
NCAA
UMKC
#139
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
19-34
0-0
40-32
0-0
29-35
0-0
40-38
0-0
27-27
0-0
37-51
0-0
27-24
0-0
28-31
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-13
0-0
36-33
0-0
29-30
0-0
37-28
0-0
43-37
0-0
33-29
0-0
49-43
0-0
33-36
0-0
47-36
0-0
20-32
0-0
37-40
138.4Avg total
71.8Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.164.1139.3+11.071%
Season at home (3)82.358.7141.0+23.7100%
Season away (4)69.868.2138.0+1.550%
Last 10 (10)71.866.6138.4+5.250%
Last 5 (5)72.868.8141.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)51.069.0120.0-18.00%
vs Similar (3)67.069.3136.3-2.333%
vs Weaker (3)75.066.7141.7+8.3100%
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#29
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A18/03
CIT
Ohio
#7
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A22/03
CIT
Clemson
#13
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A19/03
NIT
Weber State
#270
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H25/11
NCAA
La Salle
#190
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
H07/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#169
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H13/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#353
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H18/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-24
0-0
42-35
0-0
21-20
0-0
33-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
36-42
0-0
39-23
0-0
33-34
0-0
30-35
0-0
40-37
0-0
34-33
0-0
37-33
0-0
34-36
0-0
42-38
0-0
33-38
0-0
40-35
0-0
44-33
0-0
41-29
0-0
49-22
0-0
43-28
139.4Avg total
73.9Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.666.4144.0+11.171%
Season at home (7)77.666.4144.0+11.171%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.965.5139.4+8.460%
Last 5 (5)80.267.2147.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)69.081.0150.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)72.763.6136.2+9.167%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +4.0+4.0
ToledoWright State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#7
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A20/03
NIT
George Washington
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/03
CBI
Xavier
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A20/03
NIT
Notre Dame
#117
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#510
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#275
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#277
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A05/12
NCAA
Marshall
#132
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Detroit
#314
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/12
NCAA
UMKC
#139
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A18/12
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)30.230.861.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (5)34.030.864.8+3.280%-
Last 30 away (7)27.430.958.3-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)31.030.661.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.663.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)16.030.046.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (3)26.728.355.0-1.767%-
vs Weaker (3)35.332.367.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#29
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/03
CIT
Ohio
#7
W
21-20
21
20
+1
A22/03
CIT
Clemson
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A19/03
NIT
Weber State
#270
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H25/11
NCAA
La Salle
#190
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#169
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#353
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H18/12
NCAA
64.5Avg total
34.8Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)33.829.263.0+4.562%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.430.365.7+5.160%-
Last 30 away (3)28.325.754.0+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)34.829.764.5+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.471.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.034.070.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.129.663.7+4.656%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Wright State wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19AUMKC57-72
14/12/19ADetroit80-72
08/12/19HMarshall82-72
05/12/19ACleveland State80-65
01/12/19HOakland65-63
23/11/19HNorthwestern Ohio100-41
22/11/19ANotre Dame62-64 OT
20/03/19AXavier64-78
15/03/17AGeorge Washington69-73
20/03/14ASouthern Miss59-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19HMiss. Valley St.92-50
13/12/19HSouthern Univ.85-62
07/12/19HIndiana State77-84 OT
04/12/19HWestern Kentucky76-74
27/11/19HMiami (Ohio)71-66
27/11/19HLa Salle70-72
25/11/19HWeber State72-57
19/03/19AClemson69-75
22/03/14AOhio54-56
18/03/14AEast Carolina73-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game75.182.369.8
Allowed / game64.158.768.2
Point differential+11.0+23.7+1.5
Avg total139.3141.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Wright State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW71%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %71%71%-
Points / game77.677.6-
Allowed / game66.466.4-
Point differential+11.1+11.1-
Avg total144.0144.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%14%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron76186%77.361.4+15.9
2 Eastern Michigan65183%62.760.2+2.5
3 Toledo75271%75.164.1+11.0
4 Ohio75271%76.667.7+8.9
5 Bowling Green75271%73.371.4+1.9
6 Kent State64267%75.864.2+11.7
7 Buffalo85362%76.978.0-1.1
8 Ball State53260%77.461.8+15.6
9 Northern Illinois63350%62.260.0+2.2
10 Western Michigan73443%62.965.3-2.4
11 Central Michigan83538%77.578.0-0.5
12 Miami (Ohio)72529%67.175.1-8.0
13 UMass71614%65.075.3-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State75271%77.666.4+11.1
2 Northern Kentucky64267%78.865.8+13.0
3 IPFW85362%66.560.5+6.0
4 Youngstown State95456%70.968.2+2.7
5 Robert Morris73443%71.769.9+1.9
6 Cleveland State73443%61.366.0-4.7
7 Wisc. Green Bay93633%82.181.7+0.4
8 IUPUI82625%67.676.5-8.9
9 Wisc. Milwaukee61517%63.870.7-6.8
10 Oakland61517%60.269.2-9.0
11 Detroit81712%67.682.1-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo294372
Wright State324779
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