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Toledo vs Wright State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-77
41-33 45-44
Position#167
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.0
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#239
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Wright State
10 Nov 2026
TOLE v WRIG
upcoming
13 Nov 2024
TOLE86
WRIG77
21 Dec 2019
TOLE72
WRIG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wright State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#120
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
46-39
32-22
40-42
38-39
30-37
37-28
35-47
37-33
48-46
54-24
43-39
36-26
50-45
24-28
35-39
29-43
45-41
47-41
43-39
153.0Avg total
78.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)81.273.0154.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.885.3164.2-6.517%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.373.0151.3+5.373%
vs Weaker (9)81.476.2157.7+5.267%
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#76
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H11/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H17/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A23/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A25/02
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H29/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
62-103
62
103
-41
A05/11
NCAA
Ohio Christian
#464
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
36-38
53-32
48-39
43-41
50-37
37-38
59-37
34-39
40-35
45-38
49-50
40-33
49-56
24-46
38-57
43-38
46-22
42-45
39-23
164.5Avg total
85.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.377.0154.3+0.367%
Season at home (1)89.060.0149.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)71.585.5157.0-14.050%
Last 10 (10)85.079.5164.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)84.683.6168.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.086.2165.2-7.233%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.484.0170.4+2.456%
vs Weaker (13)88.977.0165.9+11.977%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +6.0+6.0
ToledoWright State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#120
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.772.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.534.269.7+1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.375.2+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.870.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.470.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.541.878.3-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.234.170.3+2.140%-
vs Weaker (9)37.734.472.1+3.256%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#76
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H11/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H17/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/02
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A05/11
NCAA
Ohio Christian
#464
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A09/11
NCAA
77.1Avg total
38.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.378.3+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.035.576.5+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.039.580.5+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.677.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.078.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.541.279.7-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.238.877.0-0.656%-
vs Weaker (13)43.535.478.8+8.177%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toledo wins
1
Wright State wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Wright State v Toledo77-78
21/12/19Toledo v Wright State72-79
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AMarshall90-80
05/11/24ATroy74-84
14/03/24HKent State59-67
09/03/24HKent State86-71
06/03/24AMiami (Ohio)97-63
02/03/24ABuffalo85-79
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
24/02/24ABowling Green68-76
21/02/24HAkron72-64
17/02/24HOhio85-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AMiami (Ohio)81-68
07/11/24HOhio Christian89-60
05/11/24AKentucky62-103
08/03/24HNorthern Kentucky97-99 OT
03/03/24HNorthern Kentucky94-88
29/02/24HIPFW77-79 OT
25/02/24AOakland96-75
23/02/24ADetroit93-78
17/02/24HRobert Morris101-71
11/02/24HOakland60-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+0.0-+0.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Wright State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.389.071.5
Allowed / game77.060.085.5
Point differential+0.3+29.0-14.0
Avg total154.3149.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State220100%84.059.5+24.5
2 Northern Illinois32167%83.061.0+22.0
3 Miami (Ohio)32167%77.771.3+6.3
4 Buffalo32167%82.382.0+0.3
5 Ball State21150%76.565.5+11.0
6 Eastern Michigan21150%63.561.0+2.5
7 Toledo21150%82.082.0+0.0
8 Bowling Green31233%86.770.3+16.3
9 Western Michigan31233%69.063.7+5.3
10 UMass31233%79.375.0+4.3
11 Akron31233%77.074.7+2.3
12 Central Michigan31233%69.371.0-1.7
13 Ohio31233%78.383.0-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 IUPUI110100%100.044.0+56.0
2 IPFW32167%86.063.7+22.3
3 Detroit32167%80.072.3+7.7
4 Wright State32167%77.377.0+0.3
5 Wisc. Milwaukee21150%93.074.5+18.5
6 Cleveland State42250%70.874.5-3.8
7 Youngstown State21150%63.570.5-7.0
8 Oakland21150%59.069.5-10.5
9 Robert Morris31233%71.773.0-1.3
10 Wisc. Green Bay2020%76.089.5-13.5
11 Northern Kentucky2020%56.073.0-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo414586
Wright State334477
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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