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ToPo Helsinki vs Oulu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 103-93
34-31 20-14 26-18 23-30
Position#4
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#8
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game86.4
FinlandI Divisioona A· Munkkiniemen Yhteiskoulu
Other2024-25
Meetings · ToPo Helsinki v Oulu
29 Nov 2024
TOPO103
OULU93
03 Feb 2024
TOPO87
OULU67
29 Oct 2022
TOPO81
OULU74
09 Jan 2022
TOPO89
OULU96
31 Oct 2020
TOPO114
OULU96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ToPo Helsinki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
93-100
93
100
-7
100avg 89
A05/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
65avg 89
H08/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
65avg 89
A11/04
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
90avg 89
H13/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
87-55
87
55
+32
87avg 89
A19/10
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
59avg 89
A27/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
91-111
91
111
-20
83avg 89
H03/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
88avg 89
A08/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
W
99-76
99
76
+23
102avg 89
H16/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 89
A22/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
30-28
28-25
17-18
22-21
17-20
22-12
12-27
10-28
25-17
19-15
21-27
31-12
21-23
21-19
13-18
22-19
26-11
22-16
17-9
16-26
9-24
26-22
19-20
21-22
30-32
25-29
15-28
25-23
19-10
16-22
26-24
26-20
18-19
20-19
35-18
24-24
18-21
29-28
15-20
169.1Avg total
84.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.482.6169.0+3.957%
Season at home (3)92.086.3178.3+5.767%
Season away (4)82.279.8162.0+2.550%
Last 10 (10)84.684.5169.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)86.490.2176.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.2100.8175.0-26.50%
vs Similar (6)86.789.3176.0-2.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)96.076.3172.3+19.695%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Kipina
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 74
H02/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
77avg 74
A09/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
L
68-81
68
81
-13
60avg 74
A24/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
88-97
88
97
-9
76avg 74
A11/10
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
59avg 74
H19/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
110-97
110
97
+13
114avg 74
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
101-81
101
81
+20
85avg 74
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 74
H09/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
67avg 74
A17/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 74
H23/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-29
14-22
21-17
31-17
20-21
20-23
13-30
13-15
18-12
24-28
13-26
22-12
20-20
19-28
27-37
18-18
18-19
20-23
13-27
24-27
34-19
26-27
26-24
21-22
22-13
27-25
31-21
18-27
26-19
20-17
20-19
22-24
16-24
37-19
8-14
22-18
33-17
23-24
20-21
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.486.4176.9+4.071%
Season at home (4)90.286.5176.8+3.875%
Season away (3)90.786.3177.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)95.284.2179.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.386.6163.9-9.225%
vs Similar (8)83.684.2167.9-0.650%
vs Weaker (2)90.566.5157.0+24.0100%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
ToPo HelsinkiOulu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A05/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/04
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H13/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A19/10
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A27/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H03/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A08/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A22/11
I Divisioona A
85.7Avg total
42.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.942.288.1+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.941.189.1+6.871%-
Last 30 away (16)44.143.287.2+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.985.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.285.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.852.290.0-14.525%-
vs Similar (6)42.247.789.8-5.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.638.687.2+10.080%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kipina
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A09/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/10
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A17/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H23/11
I Divisioona A
83.3Avg total
44.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.379.9-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.081.2-0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)36.841.778.5-4.950%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.083.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.089.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.642.781.3-4.130%-
vs Similar (8)37.639.677.2-2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.576.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.1
54.6%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.7
34.7%
30.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.711.3
63.8%
70.0%11.3
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.5
51.7%
52.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.0
31.1%
30.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.5
67.2%
70.0%13.5
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ToPo Helsinki
LWWLLWWLLL
Oulu
WWWWWLLLLL
#4
League position
#8
-0.1
Net rating
-0.1
100.7
Offensive rating
105.0
100.8
Defensive rating
105.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
21.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
31.1%
78.9%
Assist %
51.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 105.0Defence100.8 · 105.1Shooting53.5% · 49.7%3-point %34.7% · 31.1%Ball care21.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 37.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ ToPo Helsinki   ■ Oulu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
ToPo Helsinki wins
2
Oulu wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24ToPo Helsinki v Oulu87-67
05/11/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki82-89
28/01/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki81-71
29/10/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu81-74
09/01/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu89-96
10/10/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-103
23/01/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-125
31/10/20ToPo Helsinki v Oulu114-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24AHBA-Marsky Helsinki86-93
16/11/24HJyvaskyla99-76
08/11/24ARaiders Basket86-79
03/11/24HKipina91-111
27/10/24ALahti Basketball70-92
19/10/24ARaholan Pyrkiva87-55
13/10/24HHelsingin NMKY86-72
11/04/24AJyvaskyla75-87
08/04/24HJyvaskyla73-80
05/04/24AJyvaskyla93-100
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HRaholan Pyrkiva98-80
17/11/24AHelsingin NMKY83-81
09/11/24HPyrinto Tampere 284-82
01/11/24ALappeenranta101-81
27/10/24HHuima110-97
19/10/24HLahti Basketball69-87
11/10/24AHBA-Marsky Helsinki88-97
24/03/24AHelsingin NMKY68-81
09/03/24ARaholan Pyrkiva84-91
02/03/24HKipina80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game86.492.082.2
Allowed / game82.686.379.8
Point differential+3.9+5.7+2.5
Avg total169.0178.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oulu
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game90.490.290.7
Allowed / game86.486.586.3
Point differential+4.0+3.8+4.3
Avg total176.9176.8177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lahti Basketball880100%93.969.9+24.0
2 Kipina86275%104.487.4+17.0
3 Oulu75271%90.486.4+4.0
4 Pyrinto Tampere 285362%87.483.5+3.9
5 ToPo Helsinki74357%86.482.6+3.9
6 Jyvaskyla74357%78.679.7-1.1
7 HBA-Marsky Helsinki73443%82.086.7-4.7
8 Raholan Pyrkiva83538%77.885.0-7.2
9 Lappeenranta72529%76.984.3-7.4
10 Helsingin NMKY72529%78.487.9-9.4
11 Huima71614%79.193.1-14.0
12 Raiders Basket71614%79.093.1-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ToPo Helsinki34202623103
Oulu3114183093
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