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Torun vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 60-68
16-16 15-18 11-14 18-20
Position#37
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#23
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game66.5
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
no box
H29/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#6
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A10/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A12/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H15/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H17/05
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#4
W
117-95
117
95
+22
no box
A27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
no box
H29/05
Energa Basket Liga
Minsk
#28
W
87-61
87
61
+26
no box
H20/09
Champions League
Minsk
#28
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A22/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
15-16
22-17
17-16
26-13
23-22
19-9
16-25
17-17
24-24
21-24
14-17
22-14
17-26
21-22
21-20
17-20
22-20
24-25
21-13
14-22
24-24
19-26
21-20
23-29
27-24
21-15
46-27
23-20
20-19
23-24
17-24
29-4
23-18
15-24
20-15
18-21
23-28
14-22
18-19
163.5Avg total
83.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)83.679.9163.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)87.685.0172.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.083.7167.7+0.344%
vs Weaker (19)83.970.6154.6+13.379%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
L
66-101
66
101
-35
no box
A09/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H12/05
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
100avg 110
A13/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H14/05
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#5
W
88-75
88
75
+13
121avg 110
H20/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
102avg 110
A24/05
ACB
Norrkoping
#29
W
74-62
74
62
+12
no box
A20/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#29
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H22/09
Champions League
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#7
W
68-55
68
55
+13
no box
A25/09
Torneo Super 20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
22-24
22-14
15-21
24-32
9-18
12-33
21-18
26-17
13-18
15-21
27-19
17-21
19-28
23-22
10-22
29-9
12-21
13-21
19-28
17-18
25-15
19-19
27-23
14-22
24-20
21-14
18-15
11-22
25-17
20-12
18-11
17-18
20-20
17-17
15-16
14-13
14-15
19-17
21-10
150.1Avg total
73.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.566.5138.0+5.050%
Season at home (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Season away (1)74.062.0136.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.976.2150.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.266.8142.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.981.8154.7-8.922%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.279.8160.1+0.459%
vs Weaker (4)80.872.8153.5+8.075%
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
TorunEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H29/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H15/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/05
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/05
Energa Basket Liga
Minsk
#28
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H20/09
Champions League
Minsk
#28
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A22/09
Champions League
82.1Avg total
42.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.437.780.1+4.852%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.135.979.0+7.161%-
Last 30 away (11)41.540.582.0+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.582.1+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.886.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.241.981.1-2.711%-
vs Weaker (18)43.936.480.3+7.667%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H12/05
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A13/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H14/05
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/05
ACB
Norrkoping
#29
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A20/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#29
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/09
Champions League
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#7
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A25/09
Torneo Super 20
75.6Avg total
36.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.978.6-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.238.179.4+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)35.741.977.6-6.214%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.975.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.072.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.238.775.9-1.456%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.141.179.1-3.035%-
vs Weaker (4)44.537.882.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.2
47.9%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.0
34.8%
34.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
73.7%14.9
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Torun wins
0
Estudiantes wins
No previous meetings.
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/18AMinsk73-90
20/09/18HMinsk87-61
29/05/18HZielona Gora83-87
27/05/18AZielona Gora117-95
17/05/18HOstrow Wielkopolski78-92
15/05/18HOstrow Wielkopolski84-78
12/05/18AOstrow Wielkopolski81-82
10/05/18AOstrow Wielkopolski76-82
02/05/18ADabrowa Gornicza84-69
29/04/18HDabrowa Gornicza73-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/18AComunicaciones Mercedes68-55
22/09/18HNorrkoping69-71
20/09/18ANorrkoping74-62
24/05/18AMurcia77-71
20/05/18HGran Canaria88-75
14/05/18HQuimsa73-79
13/05/18AValencia69-93
12/05/18HQuimsa81-75
09/05/18AQuimsa66-101
07/05/18AQuimsa74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.087.073.0
Allowed / game75.561.090.0
Point differential+4.5+26.0-17.0
Avg total155.5148.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.569.074.0
Allowed / game66.571.062.0
Point differential+5.0-2.0+12.0
Avg total138.0140.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris330100%82.360.3+22.0
2 Bakken Bears220100%96.580.5+16.0
3 Antwerp Giants220100%79.564.5+15.0
4 Cantu220100%79.569.5+10.0
5 Kauhajoen Karhu330100%86.782.0+4.7
6 Nizhny Novgorod32167%80.366.3+14.0
7 Lukoil Levski32167%86.079.0+7.0
8 Spirou Charleroi21150%73.067.5+5.5
9 Estudiantes21150%71.566.5+5.0
10 Torun21150%80.075.5+4.5
11 Donar Groningen21150%72.069.5+2.5
12 Fribourg Olympic21150%83.582.5+1.0
13 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
14 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
15 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
16 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
17 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
18 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
19 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
20 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
21 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
22 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
23 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
24 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun1615111860
Estudiantes1618142068
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