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Valencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 May 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-69
21-17 28-19 22-23 22-10
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#10
Record15-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.6
SpainACBRound 32
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Valencia v Estudiantes
02 May 2021
VAL100
EST89
12 May 2019
VAL90
EST82
13 May 2018
VAL93
EST69
15 Jan 2017
VAL93
EST85
20 Mar 2016
VAL62
EST68
26 Oct 2014
VAL84
EST67
27 Dec 2013
VAL96
EST84
09 Mar 2013
VAL81
EST71
08 Feb 2013
VAL77
EST59
28 Jan 2012
VAL85
EST71
16 Jan 2011
VAL66
EST74
18 Feb 2010
VAL75
EST73
11 Oct 2009
VAL80
EST68
19 Oct 2008
VAL96
EST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A25/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A30/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H01/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H06/04
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A08/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H12/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A29/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A06/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
27-21
12-27
14-18
13-23
18-17
16-17
9-18
15-20
15-21
23-19
20-24
24-18
28-21
9-18
26-27
31-10
24-21
15-23
25-23
23-18
16-24
16-16
26-19
21-16
22-14
26-31
28-13
18-23
13-13
23-12
20-25
21-17
12-24
16-18
26-18
10-10
22-16
24-20
20-15
155.0Avg total
78.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.176.0159.1+7.268%
Season at home (15)86.573.7160.2+12.987%
Season away (16)79.978.1158.1+1.850%
Last 10 (10)78.576.5155.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.672.4153.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.084.0164.0-4.043%
vs Similar (9)81.382.7164.0-1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.873.6159.5+12.269%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A26/04
Liga A
San Martin
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H28/04
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H29/04
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H01/05
Liga A
Atenas
#4
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H03/05
Liga A
Tenerife
#8
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H06/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A09/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
33-14
24-19
15-16
13-19
19-18
25-14
23-33
21-12
16-16
17-20
22-29
16-21
15-23
20-30
24-18
13-18
26-17
19-24
18-18
23-16
19-16
9-13
15-17
28-19
25-29
21-19
23-25
15-21
22-24
22-14
15-21
24-32
9-18
12-33
21-18
26-17
13-18
15-21
27-19
159.9Avg total
78.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.785.6170.3-0.848%
Season at home (16)83.680.6164.2+3.062%
Season away (15)85.990.9176.8-4.933%
Last 10 (10)78.381.6159.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)76.882.0158.8-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.981.9156.8-7.027%
vs Similar (16)80.180.6160.6-0.550%
vs Weaker (3)93.378.0171.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
ValenciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A25/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H06/04
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A08/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H12/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A06/05
ACB
75.5Avg total
39.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.279.3+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.136.879.8+6.375%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.978.8-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.475.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.139.179.3+1.071%-
vs Similar (9)40.341.281.6-0.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.635.878.4+6.869%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/04
Liga A
San Martin
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/04
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H29/04
ACB
Quimsa
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H01/05
Liga A
Atenas
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H03/05
Liga A
Tenerife
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H06/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H12/05
Liga A
79.1Avg total
39.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.377.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.476.8+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)36.342.779.0-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.579.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.082.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.038.874.8-2.845%-
vs Similar (16)37.540.678.1-3.138%-
vs Weaker (3)53.034.787.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.614.3
45.3%
51.8%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.512.0
42.1%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
74.6%12.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.0
49.3%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.2
34.0%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.4
73.7%
74.6%17.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWWWWLLL
Estudiantes
WLLWWLLLLW
#4
League position
#10
+2.6
Net rating
-0.1
110.1
Offensive rating
111.0
107.5
Defensive rating
111.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.1%
3-point %
34.0%
60.5%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 111.0Defence107.5 · 111.1Shooting53.7% · 50.1%3-point %42.1% · 34.0%Ball care17.3% · 14.1%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valencia wins
2
Estudiantes wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18AFuenlabrada76-61
29/04/18AJoventut Badalona75-77
22/04/18HUnicaja74-73
14/04/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza97-74
12/04/18HBaskonia81-77
08/04/18AGipuzkoa95-77
06/04/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-84
01/04/18HMurcia73-84
30/03/18APanathinaikos56-75
25/03/18AReal Madrid71-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/18HQuimsa81-75
09/05/18AQuimsa66-101
07/05/18AQuimsa74-80
06/05/18HTenerife97-92
03/05/18HAtenas66-62
01/05/18HQuimsa76-77
29/04/18HReal Madrid75-92
28/04/18HSan Martin76-77
26/04/18AFerro80-84
24/04/18HArgentino92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %68%87%50%
Points / game83.186.579.9
Allowed / game76.073.778.1
Point differential+7.2+12.9+1.8
Avg total159.1160.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW48%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %48%62%33%
Points / game84.783.685.9
Allowed / game85.680.690.9
Point differential-0.8+3.0-4.9
Avg total170.3164.2176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3330391%90.178.5+11.6
2 Baskonia3223972%86.378.4+7.9
3 Barcelona3122971%89.679.1+10.5
4 Valencia31211068%83.176.0+7.2
5 Gran Canaria32191359%84.081.7+2.3
6 Unicaja32181456%81.776.9+4.8
7 MoraBanc Andorra32181456%85.282.2+2.9
8 Tenerife31161552%77.977.5+0.5
9 Murcia32161650%77.276.2+1.0
10 Estudiantes31151648%84.785.6-0.8
11 Fuenlabrada32151747%76.582.3-5.8
12 Obradoiro CAB32141844%78.280.8-2.6
13 Gipuzkoa32122038%80.683.8-3.2
14 San Pablo Burgos32122038%81.386.7-5.3
15 Joventut Badalona32112134%79.383.2-3.9
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza32102231%81.187.4-6.4
17 Bilbao3282425%76.083.5-7.4
18 Real Betis3372621%77.890.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2128222293
Estudiantes1719231069
← all games of the day
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