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Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-77
22-14 20-24 14-21 15-18
Position#9
Record17-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#10
Record16-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game85.5
SpainACBRound 34
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes
24 Sep 2020
MUR93
EST80
03 Jan 2019
MUR73
EST88
24 May 2018
MUR71
EST77
30 Dec 2016
MUR100
EST91
17 Jan 2016
MUR83
EST70
09 Nov 2014
MUR79
EST65
23 Mar 2014
MUR85
EST84
30 Dec 2012
MUR68
EST91
28 Dec 2011
MUR88
EST75
29 Nov 2009
MUR83
EST89
25 Jan 2009
MUR78
EST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A04/05
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A06/05
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A20/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
25-17
30-24
19-23
23-16
20-21
14-9
25-16
11-23
19-19
22-15
19-26
15-16
17-16
28-18
24-23
19-21
24-21
21-23
11-27
19-26
22-21
18-21
26-19
17-18
17-22
20-15
21-22
18-17
24-15
18-21
25-21
12-18
13-13
18-16
18-16
22-19
23-13
21-22
16-19
157.3Avg total
80.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.476.1153.5+1.252%
Season at home (16)74.071.8145.8+2.256%
Season away (17)80.580.2160.8+0.347%
Last 10 (10)80.277.1157.3+3.150%
Last 5 (5)77.674.8152.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.273.0147.2+1.238%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.776.4153.1+0.250%
vs Weaker (10)78.874.0152.8+4.870%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H29/04
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H01/05
Liga A
Atenas
#4
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H03/05
Liga A
Tenerife
#8
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H06/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A09/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/05
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A13/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H14/05
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#5
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H20/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
15-23
20-30
24-18
13-18
26-17
19-24
18-18
23-16
19-16
9-13
15-17
28-19
25-29
21-19
23-25
15-21
22-24
22-14
15-21
24-32
9-18
12-33
21-18
26-17
13-18
15-21
27-19
17-21
19-28
23-22
10-22
29-9
12-21
13-21
19-28
17-18
25-15
19-19
27-23
159.1Avg total
76.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)84.485.5169.8-1.148%
Season at home (17)83.980.3164.2+3.665%
Season away (16)84.991.0175.9-6.131%
Last 10 (10)76.582.6159.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)75.484.6160.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.081.0155.0-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.080.4161.4+0.656%
vs Weaker (2)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
MurciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/05
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A06/05
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A20/05
ACB
76.3Avg total
38.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.672.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.334.869.1-0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)38.936.275.1+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.576.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.473.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.234.870.0+0.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.935.771.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H29/04
ACB
Quimsa
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H01/05
Liga A
Atenas
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H03/05
Liga A
Tenerife
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H06/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H12/05
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A13/05
ACB
Quimsa
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H14/05
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/05
ACB
79.4Avg total
39.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.578.0-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.836.275.9+3.671%-
Last 30 away (13)36.943.880.7-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.179.4-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.477.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.438.775.1-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.440.478.8-2.044%-
vs Weaker (2)52.537.089.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.5
48.0%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.0
39.5%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.9
67.1%
74.6%13.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.0
48.4%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
74.6%16.1
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLLLWLWW
Estudiantes
WLLWLLWWLL
#9
League position
#10
+6.3
Net rating
+0.9
111.0
Offensive rating
113.7
104.8
Defensive rating
112.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.5%
3-point %
36.4%
53.7%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 113.7Defence104.8 · 112.8Shooting52.1% · 51.2%3-point %39.5% · 36.4%Ball care16.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds34.5% · 31.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
03/12/17Estudiantes v Murcia79-91
09/04/17Estudiantes v Murcia109-84
30/12/16Murcia v Estudiantes100-91
10/05/16Estudiantes v Murcia67-82
17/01/16Murcia v Estudiantes83-70
08/02/15Estudiantes v Murcia90-79
09/11/14Murcia v Estudiantes79-65
23/03/14Murcia v Estudiantes85-84
02/11/13Estudiantes v Murcia69-77
28/04/13Estudiantes v Murcia94-85
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/18ABilbao82-73
12/05/18HReal Madrid61-63
06/05/18ALudwigsburg85-74
04/05/18AAEK Athens75-77
29/04/18ABaskonia85-87
25/04/18HJoventut Badalona75-92
22/04/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza84-73
15/04/18AGran Canaria71-83
12/04/18HFuenlabrada82-62
08/04/18AReal Betis102-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/18HGran Canaria88-75
14/05/18HQuimsa73-79
13/05/18AValencia69-93
12/05/18HQuimsa81-75
09/05/18AQuimsa66-101
07/05/18AQuimsa74-80
06/05/18HTenerife97-92
03/05/18HAtenas66-62
01/05/18HQuimsa76-77
29/04/18HReal Madrid75-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayWWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%56%47%
Points / game77.474.080.5
Allowed / game76.171.880.2
Point differential+1.2+2.2+0.3
Avg total153.5145.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW48%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %48%65%31%
Points / game84.483.984.9
Allowed / game85.580.391.0
Point differential-1.1+3.6-6.1
Avg total169.8164.2175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3330391%90.178.5+11.6
2 Baskonia3324973%86.878.5+8.2
3 Barcelona33231070%88.879.0+9.8
4 Valencia33221167%83.075.6+7.4
5 Unicaja33191458%81.877.2+4.7
6 Gran Canaria33191458%83.781.9+1.8
7 MoraBanc Andorra33181555%85.282.4+2.8
8 Tenerife33181555%78.077.3+0.7
9 Murcia33171652%77.476.1+1.2
10 Estudiantes33161748%84.485.5-1.1
11 Fuenlabrada33161748%77.582.9-5.4
12 Obradoiro CAB33141942%78.080.6-2.6
13 Gipuzkoa33132039%81.083.9-3.0
14 San Pablo Burgos33122136%81.487.1-5.8
15 Joventut Badalona33112233%79.583.4-3.9
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza33102330%81.788.1-6.4
17 Bilbao3382524%75.983.4-7.5
18 Real Betis3372621%77.890.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2220141571
Estudiantes1424211877
← all games of the day
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