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Torun vs Ostrow Wielkopolski Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game79.7
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 28· Arena Torun
Other2026-27
Meetings · Torun v Ostrow Wielkopolski
24 Apr 2027
TOR v OWI
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
TOR109
OWI79
07 Nov 2024
TOR90
OWI83
29 Oct 2023
TOR57
OWI76
09 Oct 2022
TOR82
OWI95
18 Feb 2022
TOR78
OWI84
30 Oct 2021
TOR105
OWI98
11 Mar 2021
TOR83
OWI96
13 Apr 2020
TOR v OWI
upcoming
03 Jan 2019
TOR87
OWI70
17 May 2018
TOR78
OWI92
15 May 2018
TOR84
OWI78
22 Mar 2018
TOR65
OWI83
09 Oct 2016
TOR81
OWI74
03 Feb 2016
TOR78
OWI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ostrow Wielkopolski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
113-106
113
106
+7
115avg 81
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
99-107
99
107
-8
104avg 81
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
82avg 81
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
55avg 81
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 81
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
W
110-96
110
96
+14
100avg 81
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 81
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 81
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
106-76
106
76
+30
no box
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-30
25-27
25-22
32-27
19-27
30-26
23-34
27-20
28-18
18-26
17-22
32-20
24-23
23-28
22-27
16-26
18-21
22-31
20-22
23-13
22-18
38-29
30-22
20-27
19-26
7-24
23-22
20-18
17-15
27-21
20-16
23-19
17-27
24-30
16-13
19-11
27-8
21-16
23-32
35-20
182.7Avg total
92.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.086.4174.4+1.643%
Season at home (4)97.086.8183.8+10.275%
Season away (3)76.086.0162.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)92.390.4182.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)89.682.8172.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)88.690.9179.6-2.343%
vs Similar (11)82.587.5170.1-5.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)100.892.8193.6+8.080%
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostrow WielkopolskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWielkopolski
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 72
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
76avg 72
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 72
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
74avg 72
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
52avg 72
H12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 72
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 72
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
80avg 72
A30/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
23-19
16-19
18-29
28-25
15-14
22-23
21-12
27-24
15-21
22-21
22-28
20-13
8-26
24-17
20-16
25-12
19-21
11-25
10-23
25-20
24-17
19-24
19-23
26-22
17-21
11-23
20-18
22-25
17-19
25-22
18-17
17-14
20-22
21-19
11-19
15-21
20-21
12-15
12-16
159.2Avg total
77.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.379.7154.0-5.429%
Season at home (3)64.376.0140.3-11.70%
Season away (4)81.882.5164.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.881.4159.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)74.279.6153.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.381.5157.8-5.225%
vs Similar (14)81.981.3163.2+0.657%
vs Weaker (4)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
TorunOstrow Wielkopolski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
92.8Avg total
45.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.690.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.045.491.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.147.689.7-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)45.747.192.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)46.947.694.5-0.643%-
vs Similar (11)38.846.585.4-7.718%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.843.890.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostrow WielkopolskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A30/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.0Avg total
41.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.083.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.682.0+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.241.584.7+1.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.881.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.638.081.6+5.675%-
vs Similar (14)43.441.584.9+1.943%-
vs Weaker (4)42.040.582.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.1
33.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
71.3%18.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostrow Wielkopolskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostrow Wielkopolski: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
54.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.3
28.2%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.218.1
71.8%
71.3%18.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
WLWLWLLWLW
Ostrow Wielkopolski
LLLLWLWLWL
#8
League position
#13
-7.4
Net rating
-2.2
97.8
Offensive rating
90.8
105.1
Defensive rating
93.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.7%
3-point %
28.2%
66.2%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 90.8Defence105.1 · 93.0Shooting51.9% · 49.2%3-point %33.7% · 28.2%Ball care13.3% · 16.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Torun   ■ Ostrow Wielkopolski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Torun wins
7
Ostrow Wielkopolski wins
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrefl Sopot106-76
07/11/26ASlask Wroclaw76-81
31/10/26HZielona Gora87-71
23/10/26AGTK Gliwice69-90
16/10/26HBydgoszcz110-96
10/10/26ADabrowa Gornicza83-87
03/10/26HSzczecin85-104
06/05/26HGdynia95-86
02/05/26AGTK Gliwice99-107
28/04/26HSlask Wroclaw113-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDziki Warszawa59-73
08/11/26HZielona Gora69-74
30/10/26AAnwil Wloclawek82-83
25/10/26ALegia74-84
19/10/26ACzarni Slupsk87-84
12/10/26HGornik Walbrzych65-81
03/10/26ALublin84-79 OT
08/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza86-94
06/05/26HGornik Walbrzych86-74
02/05/26ATrefl Sopot86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game88.097.076.0
Allowed / game86.486.886.0
Point differential+1.6+10.2-10.0
Avg total174.4183.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostrow Wielkopolski
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%0%50%
Points / game74.364.381.8
Allowed / game79.776.082.5
Point differential-5.4-11.7-0.8
Avg total154.0140.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Dziki Warszawa76186%88.972.3+16.6
3 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Bydgoszcz74357%86.188.0-1.9
8 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
9 Gornik Walbrzych73443%85.084.4+0.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski72529%74.379.7-5.4
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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