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Toulouse W vs La Roche W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-62
22-12 21-15 22-16 10-19
Position#9
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game77.2
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
La Roche W
France
Position#12
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.9
FranceLFB WRound 1· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2025-26
Meetings · Toulouse W v La Roche W
04 Apr 2026
TOUL75
LA R62
04 Oct 2025
TOUL66
LA R65
17 Dec 2022
TOUL79
LA R82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Roche W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lyon W
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
77avg 58
H10/01
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 58
A24/01
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 58
A28/01
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
40avg 58
H01/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 58
A07/02
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
43avg 58
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 58
A21/02
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
38avg 58
H07/03
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 58
A24/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 58
H28/03
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
27-19
21-14
15-18
25-11
33-21
18-14
15-17
21-32
18-19
20-21
26-12
17-25
9-27
15-17
13-19
15-25
15-21
19-17
21-24
6-18
18-13
15-9
13-11
22-17
22-19
21-29
13-14
19-30
8-20
18-18
10-16
12-21
12-22
11-4
28-25
12-25
18-23
11-16
25-18
145.5Avg total
69.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)66.977.2144.0-10.327%
Season at home (11)62.976.2139.1-13.336%
Season away (11)70.878.2149.0-7.418%
Last 10 (10)69.076.5145.5-7.540%
Last 5 (5)62.873.6136.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.379.4144.7-14.119%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.071.3142.3-0.350%
vs Weaker (7)67.760.4128.1+7.3100%
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Toulouse W
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 61
H07/01
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
68-70
68
70
-2
62avg 61
A10/01
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
85-67
85
67
+18
86avg 61
H23/01
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 61
H01/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
86avg 61
H07/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
58avg 61
A15/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
42avg 61
H22/02
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 61
A06/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 61
H24/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 61
H28/03
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
14-23
23-19
28-18
14-22
24-11
15-20
15-17
29-16
19-14
20-22
17-15
14-21
19-20
15-12
26-30
18-18
16-21
27-16
21-17
18-15
20-24
13-17
15-23
13-19
24-19
12-20
18-21
10-18
19-17
19-28
15-27
16-29
24-17
16-21
14-18
18-25
26-24
21-16
18-27
153.2Avg total
74.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.274.9145.1-4.632%
Season at home (11)74.776.0150.7-1.345%
Season away (11)65.773.7139.5-8.018%
Last 10 (10)74.179.1153.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)69.885.0154.8-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.374.1140.4-7.818%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.772.8145.5-0.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Toulouse WLa Roche W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon W
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/01
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A24/01
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A28/01
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H01/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/02
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/02
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H07/03
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A24/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H28/03
LFB W
77.4Avg total
34.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.338.571.8-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.337.369.5-5.040%-
Last 30 away (15)34.339.874.1-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.243.277.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)29.841.671.4-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.942.774.6-10.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.035.573.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (7)32.430.963.3+1.671%-
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toulouse W
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/01
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/01
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/01
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/02
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A06/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
LFB W
76.0Avg total
37.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.171.0-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.037.872.8-2.813%-
Last 30 away (15)34.734.569.1+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.776.0-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.036.070.0-2.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.236.272.3+0.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.720.9
46.8%
46.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.15.5
30.4%
31.0%16.5
🏀 Free throws15.410.7
69.5%
74.3%10.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Roche Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Roche W: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.4
53.6%
46.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.7
30.2%
31.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
74.3%16.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LLLLWLLWWW
La Roche W
LLLLLWLWLW
#9
League position
#12
-8.2
Net rating
-6.3
79.5
Offensive rating
86.4
87.7
Defensive rating
92.7
46.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.4%
3-point %
30.2%
59.8%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence79.5 · 86.4Defence87.7 · 92.7Shooting46.4% · 50.4%3-point %30.4% · 30.2%Ball care19.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds- · 18.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Toulouse W   ■ La Roche W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toulouse W wins
2
La Roche W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/26La Roche W v Toulouse W83-74
04/10/25Toulouse W v La Roche W66-65
25/03/23La Roche W v Toulouse W73-76
17/12/22Toulouse W v La Roche W79-82
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HLattes Montpellier W66-82
24/03/26ALanderneau Bretagne W63-72
07/03/26HBourges W55-84
21/02/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W78-79
15/02/26HAngers W52-51
07/02/26AFlammes Carolo W70-87
01/02/26HLandes W54-88
28/01/26AESB Villeneuve W85-84
24/01/26AChartres W91-63
10/01/26HLyon W76-75
La Roche Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HChartres W83-92
24/03/26HFlammes Carolo W70-85
06/03/26ALyon W63-90
22/02/26HLandes W67-79
15/02/26AESB Villeneuve W66-79
07/02/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W82-72
01/02/26HBourges W74-83
23/01/26HLanderneau Bretagne W85-67
10/01/26ALattes Montpellier W68-70
07/01/26HToulouse W83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWLWLL36%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game66.962.970.8
Allowed / game77.276.278.2
Point differential-10.3-13.3-7.4
Avg total144.0139.1149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Roche W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game70.274.765.7
Allowed / game74.976.073.7
Point differential-4.6-1.3-8.0
Avg total145.1150.7139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W2320387%73.161.5+11.6
2 Bourges W2217577%74.165.4+8.8
3 Flammes Carolo W2215768%76.965.6+11.3
4 Lattes Montpellier W2314961%73.069.3+3.6
5 Landerneau Bretagne W2314961%68.768.4+0.3
6 ESB Villeneuve W22111150%71.572.0-0.5
7 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W22111150%72.575.5-3.0
8 Lyon W2271532%70.672.0-1.4
9 La Roche W2271532%70.274.9-4.6
10 Chartres W2371630%70.978.3-7.4
11 Toulouse W2261627%66.977.2-10.3
12 Angers W2251723%63.872.6-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W2221221075
La Roche W1215161962
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