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Toulouse W vs Montbrison W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 61-57
15-15 22-13 15-15 9-14
Position#1
Record22-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game59.5
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Montbrison W
France
Position#2
Record19-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game61.2
FranceLigue 2 WomenLigue 2 Women - Final· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2024-25
Meetings · Toulouse W v Montbrison W
11 May 2025
TOUL61
MONT57
25 Jan 2025
TOUL71
MONT57
02 Dec 2023
TOUL75
MONT64
02 Apr 2022
TOUL78
MONT60
30 Oct 2021
TOUL80
MONT47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montbrison W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#4
W
68-51
68
51
+17
62avg 64
H01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
54avg 64
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
81-45
81
45
+36
75avg 64
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 64
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 64
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 64
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
57avg 64
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
27avg 64
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
81avg 64
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
73avg 64
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-5
18-15
17-18
20-13
14-17
18-16
19-16
22-20
22-11
17-11
17-12
25-11
29-11
21-11
11-17
11-20
29-17
16-15
19-23
21-24
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
16-13
9-7
22-7
13-20
10-17
14-20
12-10
24-11
17-18
14-10
20-18
22-16
18-16
15-18
22-12
19-15
131.8Avg total
71.9Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.059.5128.5+9.585%
Season at home (13)70.157.0127.1+13.192%
Season away (13)67.862.0129.8+5.877%
Last 10 (10)71.959.9131.8+12.0100%
Last 5 (5)68.059.2127.2+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)72.372.7145.0-0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)69.059.5128.5+9.585%
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 61
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
78-53
78
53
+25
80avg 61
A22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
59-79
59
79
-20
56avg 61
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
81-52
81
52
+29
no box
H29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 61
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 61
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
63-76
63
76
-13
46avg 61
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
H19/04
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
61-57
61
57
+4
no box
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
46avg 61
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
21-15
14-17
17-15
23-8
20-18
16-13
19-14
14-18
14-20
24-20
7-21
16-12
22-17
25-11
18-12
23-21
25-19
13-20
14-13
26-21
21-20
16-14
17-17
16-27
13-19
17-10
17-20
10-17
14-8
24-17
10-13
16-19
17-16
18-5
10-17
16-11
14-15
12-7
15-12
130.2Avg total
67.8Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.761.2127.9+5.570%
Season at home (14)68.659.1127.7+9.686%
Season away (13)64.663.5128.2+1.154%
Last 10 (10)67.862.4130.2+5.480%
Last 5 (5)63.861.0124.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)57.559.0116.5-1.550%
vs Similar (12)66.269.8135.9-3.650%
vs Weaker (15)67.756.2123.9+11.580%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
Toulouse WMontbrison W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#4
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
62.6Avg total
34.6Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.730.965.6+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.727.863.5+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)33.833.667.4+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.628.062.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.260.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.043.380.3-6.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)34.529.463.9+5.169%-
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H19/04
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
69.1Avg total
35.5Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.532.466.0+1.152%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.429.965.3+5.471%-
Last 30 away (15)31.834.866.6-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.669.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.667.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.526.054.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (11)32.537.369.8-4.727%-
vs Weaker (15)34.229.964.1+4.367%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.0
53.3%
44.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.75.5
31.1%
28.2%16.5
🏀 Free throws13.910.7
77.0%
70.7%10.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montbrison Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montbrison W: 54.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.515.0
44.8%
44.5%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.24.5
26.2%
28.2%13.5
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
70.7%11.2
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
WWWWWWWWWW
Montbrison W
WWWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#2
+16.8
Net rating
+3.7
98.0
Offensive rating
87.4
81.2
Defensive rating
83.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
42.9%
40.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
23.8%
Turnover %
23.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.1%
3-point %
26.2%
73.8%
Assist %
62.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 87.4Defence81.2 · 83.7Shooting51.3% · 42.9%3-point %31.1% · 26.2%Ball care23.8% · 23.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Montbrison W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toulouse W wins
2
Montbrison W wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Toulouse W v Montbrison W71-57
12/10/24Montbrison W v Toulouse W58-47
09/03/24Montbrison W v Toulouse W68-66
02/12/23Toulouse W v Montbrison W75-64
09/04/22Montbrison W v Toulouse W63-71
02/04/22Toulouse W v Montbrison W78-60
19/02/22Montbrison W v Toulouse W69-77
30/10/21Toulouse W v Montbrison W80-47
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25AMondeville W74-61
27/04/25HMondeville W73-62
16/04/25ANice W60-58
12/04/25HNice W60-47
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68
29/03/25AAulnoye AS W85-79
26/03/25HCentre Federal BB W72-59
22/03/25HUSBD Alencon W81-45
08/03/25APays Voironnais W73-69
01/03/25HFeytiat W68-51
Montbrison Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25AUSBD Alencon W57-45
27/04/25HUSBD Alencon W61-57
19/04/25HTronche Meylan W58-55
16/04/25ATronche Meylan W63-76
12/04/25HTronche Meylan W80-72
05/04/25HFeytiat W75-73
29/03/25HLe Havre W81-52
26/03/25HMondeville W59-79
22/03/25AUnion Hainaut W78-53
08/03/25ANice W66-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %85%92%77%
Points / game69.070.167.8
Allowed / game59.557.062.0
Point differential+9.5+13.1+5.8
Avg total128.5127.1129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montbrison W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%86%54%
Points / game66.768.664.6
Allowed / game61.259.163.5
Point differential+5.5+9.6+1.1
Avg total127.9127.7128.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Graffenstaden W110100%63.059.0+4.0
2 Toulouse W2622485%69.059.5+9.5
3 Montbrison W2719870%66.761.2+5.5
4 Pays Voironnais W2516964%67.064.1+2.9
5 Feytiat W24141058%69.566.4+3.2
6 Mondeville W26151158%70.966.2+4.7
7 Tronche Meylan W25131252%69.966.6+3.3
8 USBD Alencon W27131448%57.659.1-1.5
9 Nice W2491538%63.866.2-2.4
10 Aulnoye AS W2281436%71.575.3-3.7
11 Union Hainaut W2281436%62.767.1-4.4
12 Le Havre W2371630%62.166.3-4.2
13 Centre Federal BB W222209%54.171.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W152215961
Montbrison W1513151457
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