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Toulouse W vs Montbrison W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-57
22-14 16-11 17-23 16-9
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game58.4
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Montbrison W
France
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game58.2
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 13· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2024-25
Meetings · Toulouse W v Montbrison W
11 May 2025
TOUL61
MONT57
25 Jan 2025
TOUL71
MONT57
02 Dec 2023
TOUL75
MONT64
02 Apr 2022
TOUL78
MONT60
30 Oct 2021
TOUL80
MONT47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montbrison W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
W
73-50
73
50
+23
79avg 67
H19/10
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
82-59
82
59
+23
82avg 67
A01/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
77-71
77
71
+6
75avg 67
H16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
59-49
59
49
+10
56avg 67
A22/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 67
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
66-57
66
57
+9
63avg 67
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
50avg 67
A14/12
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
84-55
84
55
+29
86avg 67
H21/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
57-65
57
65
-8
43avg 67
A11/01
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
56-73
56
73
-17
46avg 67
A18/01
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
12-14
18-12
24-11
24-12
19-10
23-17
16-20
13-18
27-15
23-22
14-16
12-11
17-18
10-14
20-6
24-16
11-14
21-13
16-21
25-7
14-22
12-12
15-16
18-17
14-11
10-11
18-9
22-14
20-18
20-8
22-15
18-10
11-22
16-19
12-14
13-19
15-23
18-18
10-13
127.7Avg total
68.6Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.858.4124.2+7.375%
Season at home (5)72.458.4130.8+14.0100%
Season away (7)61.058.4119.4+2.657%
Last 10 (10)68.659.1127.7+9.580%
Last 5 (5)64.659.6124.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)71.170.2141.4+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)70.960.5131.3+10.476%
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#6
L
62-65
62
65
-3
62avg 60
A26/10
French Cup Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H02/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
55-50
55
50
+5
54avg 60
A16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
68-45
68
45
+23
64avg 60
H23/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
68-50
68
50
+18
67avg 60
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 60
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
63avg 60
H14/12
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
62-56
62
56
+6
62avg 60
A21/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
83-59
83
59
+24
82avg 60
A11/01
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
65-52
65
52
+13
62avg 60
H18/01
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
14-23
11-14
11-6
–
–
–
–
16-15
6-13
9-18
24-4
17-11
16-12
20-11
15-11
30-16
7-8
19-13
12-13
15-21
15-20
13-17
19-21
13-12
20-11
16-15
19-9
9-18
19-16
23-14
11-8
23-16
16-13
25-16
19-14
13-15
16-10
10-15
26-12
125.6Avg total
67.6Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.258.2124.4+8.175%
Season at home (6)68.353.0121.3+15.3100%
Season away (6)64.263.3127.5+0.850%
Last 10 (10)67.658.0125.6+9.680%
Last 5 (5)68.058.6126.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)64.060.5124.5+3.550%
vs Similar (15)65.561.9127.4+3.567%
vs Weaker (12)65.558.0123.5+7.575%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
Toulouse WMontbrison W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H19/10
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A01/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A22/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A14/12
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A11/01
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A18/01
Ligue 2 Women
65.2Avg total
34.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.168.6+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.732.970.6+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)33.633.266.8+0.331%-
Last 10 (10)34.830.465.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.666.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)35.139.474.5-4.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.830.766.5+5.167%-
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/10
French Cup Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H23/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H14/12
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A21/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A11/01
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H18/01
Ligue 2 Women
62.6Avg total
32.3Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.729.762.4+2.959%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.525.758.2+6.780%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.066.9-1.136%-
Last 10 (9)32.330.262.6+2.156%-
Last 5 (5)31.830.462.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.527.559.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (14)31.229.460.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (12)33.630.464.0+3.258%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.4
47.8%
44.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.25.3
32.7%
28.2%15.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
70.7%14.5
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montbrison Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montbrison W: 64.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.3
46.0%
44.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.15.8
30.4%
28.2%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
70.7%12.9
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LLWWWWWWWW
Montbrison W
WWWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+14.8
Net rating
+10.2
96.7
Offensive rating
86.8
81.9
Defensive rating
76.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
45.9%
41.6%
Opp. effective FG%
39.3%
23.4%
Turnover %
28.7%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
30.4%
74.9%
Assist %
72.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 86.8Defence81.9 · 76.6Shooting48.2% · 45.9%3-point %32.7% · 30.4%Ball care23.4% · 28.7%Off. rebounds32.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Montbrison W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toulouse W wins
2
Montbrison W wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Montbrison W v Toulouse W58-47
09/03/24Montbrison W v Toulouse W68-66
02/12/23Toulouse W v Montbrison W75-64
09/04/22Montbrison W v Toulouse W63-71
02/04/22Toulouse W v Montbrison W78-60
19/02/22Montbrison W v Toulouse W69-77
30/10/21Toulouse W v Montbrison W80-47
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AUnion Hainaut W56-73
11/01/25ATronche Meylan W57-65
21/12/24HAulnoye AS W84-55
14/12/24AUSBD Alencon W60-48
07/12/24ACentre Federal BB W66-57
30/11/24HPays Voironnais W72-64
22/11/24AFeytiat W59-49
16/11/24HMondeville W77-71
01/11/24ALe Havre W82-59
19/10/24HNice W73-50
Montbrison Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HUSBD Alencon W65-52
11/01/25AFeytiat W83-59
21/12/24ALe Havre W62-56
14/12/24HUnion Hainaut W68-47
07/12/24AMondeville W62-79
30/11/24HNice W68-50
23/11/24HCentre Federal BB W68-45
16/11/24APays Voironnais W55-50
02/11/24HTronche Meylan W83-77
26/10/24AFeytiat W62-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%100%57%
Points / game65.872.461.0
Allowed / game58.458.458.4
Point differential+7.3+14.0+2.6
Avg total124.2130.8119.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montbrison W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game66.268.364.2
Allowed / game58.253.063.3
Point differential+8.1+15.3+0.8
Avg total124.4121.3127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mondeville W119282%74.365.6+8.6
2 Montbrison W129375%66.258.2+8.1
3 Toulouse W129375%65.858.4+7.3
4 Pays Voironnais W128467%69.863.8+6.0
5 Feytiat W117464%70.265.2+5.0
6 Tronche Meylan W126650%70.368.2+2.1
7 Nice W126650%66.866.8+0.0
8 USBD Alencon W126650%56.359.0-2.7
9 Aulnoye AS W125742%68.973.8-4.8
10 Union Hainaut W123925%62.166.2-4.2
11 Le Havre W1321115%62.168.2-6.1
12 Centre Federal BB W1321115%53.670.0-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W2216171671
Montbrison W141123957
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