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Toulouse W vs Nice W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-50
19-13 12-14 18-12 24-11
Position#1
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game51.5
Allowed / game55.0
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Nice W
France
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game54.0
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 3· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2024-25
Meetings · Toulouse W v Nice W
12 Apr 2025
TOUL60
NICE47
19 Oct 2024
TOUL73
NICE50
24 Feb 2024
TOUL71
NICE66
03 Apr 2016
TOUL74
NICE84
30 Nov 2013
TOUL77
NICE51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nice W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Mondeville W
#5
W
68-40
68
40
+28
69avg 63
A06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
85-54
85
54
+31
89avg 63
H10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
74-67
74
67
+7
72avg 63
A20/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
76avg 63
H24/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 63
A04/05
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 63
H12/05
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
65-73
65
73
-8
58avg 63
A18/05
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
55-61
55
61
-6
49avg 63
A28/09
French Cup Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
48avg 63
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
36avg 63
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
17-12
13-4
11-15
20-9
22-17
22-8
21-20
20-15
14-20
20-14
20-18
20-22
19-17
20-10
17-23
16-20
17-17
22-20
11-17
20-22
20-23
23-12
23-14
14-23
24-25
15-10
12-15
15-15
17-18
11-15
12-13
19-6
13-15
10-17
14-14
8-15
6-17
15-16
18-10
130.0Avg total
67.8Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)51.555.0106.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)56.052.0108.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)47.058.0105.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)67.862.2130.0+5.660%
Last 5 (5)61.863.0124.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.081.0137.0-25.00%
vs Similar (11)70.971.5142.5-0.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)70.763.6134.4+7.165%
This opponent (Nice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
59-46
59
46
+13
50avg 59
H09/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
58avg 59
A16/03
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 59
H23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
75-56
75
56
+19
68avg 59
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
61-68
61
68
-7
51avg 59
A06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 59
H10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#11
L
57-71
57
71
-14
46avg 59
A25/09
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
75-51
75
51
+24
70avg 59
A05/10
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
61-57
61
57
+4
55avg 59
H12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
18-8
11-12
11-15
13-25
19-8
18-14
22-17
31-16
24-15
17-21
17-16
12-12
28-17
14-11
21-16
21-17
12-15
14-20
14-16
24-16
22-18
16-15
23-28
14-17
12-28
22-15
17-17
17-15
16-19
7-21
17-16
21-12
19-9
19-10
16-20
18-15
18-13
11-14
14-15
133.4Avg total
69.9Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.054.0122.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)61.057.0118.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.963.5133.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)68.666.6135.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.974.1141.0-7.225%
vs Similar (14)69.269.9139.1-0.650%
vs Weaker (7)74.454.1128.6+20.3100%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Toulouse WNice W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mondeville W
#5
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H24/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/05
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H12/05
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/05
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A28/09
French Cup Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
L
14-32
14
32
-18
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
68.5Avg total
34.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.667.7+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.233.469.6+2.850%-
Last 30 away (16)32.233.866.0-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.768.5+1.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.044.068.0-20.00%-
vs Similar (11)34.637.271.8-2.518%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)34.530.765.2+3.859%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/03
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/09
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A05/10
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H12/10
Ligue 2 Women
68.4Avg total
37.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.370.1+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.970.4+6.780%-
Last 30 away (15)35.134.869.9+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.830.668.4+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.468.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.836.670.4-2.950%-
vs Similar (14)36.834.971.6+1.964%-
vs Weaker (7)40.926.467.3+14.4100%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.417.6
44.7%
44.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.96.2
32.8%
28.2%18.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
70.7%13.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.4
46.0%
44.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.3
26.4%
28.2%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
70.7%12.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWLLWLWWWW
Nice W
WWLLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#8
+7.2
Net rating
+6.9
90.8
Offensive rating
87.2
83.6
Defensive rating
80.4
46.1%
Effective FG%
43.6%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
25.0%
Turnover %
25.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
26.4%
68.5%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 87.2Defence83.6 · 80.4Shooting46.1% · 43.6%3-point %32.8% · 26.4%Ball care25.0% · 25.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Nice W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toulouse W wins
3
Nice W wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Toulouse W v Nice W71-66
18/11/23Nice W v Toulouse W70-65
03/04/16Toulouse W v Nice W74-84
05/12/15Nice W v Toulouse W77-35
29/03/14Nice W v Toulouse W54-65
30/11/13Toulouse W v Nice W77-51
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AMontbrison W47-58
05/10/24HUnion Hainaut W56-52
28/09/24AFeytiat W55-61
18/05/24AChartres W65-73
12/05/24HChartres W86-71
04/05/24AChartres W66-74
24/04/24HAulnoye AS W76-72
20/04/24AAulnoye AS W74-67
10/04/24HMondeville W85-54
06/04/24AMondeville W68-40
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HUSBD Alencon W61-57
05/10/24ACentre Federal BB W75-51
25/09/24AMonaco W57-71
13/04/24AAulnoye AS W65-77
10/04/24HAulnoye AS W85-77
06/04/24AAulnoye AS W61-68
30/03/24HFeytiat W75-56
23/03/24HChartres W89-68
16/03/24APays Voironnais W72-64
09/03/24HGraffenstaden W59-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game51.556.047.0
Allowed / game55.052.058.0
Point differential-3.5+4.0-11.0
Avg total106.5108.0105.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game68.061.075.0
Allowed / game54.057.051.0
Point differential+14.0+4.0+24.0
Avg total122.0118.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nice W220100%68.054.0+14.0
2 Feytiat W220100%83.071.0+12.0
3 Mondeville W32167%78.067.7+10.3
4 Pays Voironnais W21150%77.073.5+3.5
5 Montbrison W21150%58.555.5+3.0
6 USBD Alencon W21150%60.560.0+0.5
7 Aulnoye AS W21150%71.573.5-2.0
8 Toulouse W21150%51.555.0-3.5
9 Tronche Meylan W21150%70.576.5-6.0
10 Le Havre W21150%63.570.5-7.0
11 Union Hainaut W2020%58.563.0-4.5
12 Centre Federal BB W3030%56.373.3-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W1912182473
Nice W1314121150
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