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Toulouse W vs Nice W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-66
24-16 13-22 18-14 16-14
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game67.1
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Nice W
France
Position#6
Record8-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game68.3
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 17· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2023-24
Meetings · Toulouse W v Nice W
12 Apr 2025
TOUL60
NICE47
19 Oct 2024
TOUL73
NICE50
24 Feb 2024
TOUL71
NICE66
03 Apr 2016
TOUL74
NICE84
30 Nov 2013
TOUL77
NICE51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nice W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
55-53
55
53
+2
44avg 61
A24/11
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
75-64
75
64
+11
73avg 61
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
no box
A08/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 61
H16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
66avg 61
A06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 61
A13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
53avg 61
H20/01
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 61
A27/01
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
H03/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
70avg 61
A17/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-6
11-13
18-17
8-17
28-16
15-7
21-24
11-17
18-14
16-24
20-18
21-19
14-14
13-25
22-17
15-16
22-18
8-25
19-12
17-24
12-22
14-22
21-21
24-26
13-10
14-25
16-25
22-11
24-16
17-15
15-21
18-9
19-10
19-22
21-11
29-16
18-14
8-19
27-12
16-22
141.7Avg total
72.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.367.1139.4+5.262%
Season at home (7)80.366.1146.4+14.171%
Season away (9)66.167.9134.0-1.856%
Last 10 (10)72.069.7141.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)73.469.8143.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.082.7151.7-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.672.7148.2+2.956%
vs Weaker (10)72.165.0137.1+7.170%
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
66-48
66
48
+18
60avg 58
A02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tarbes GB W
#2
L
55-77
55
77
-22
40avg 58
H06/12
French Cup Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
H09/12
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
57avg 58
A16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
no box
A06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
78-53
78
53
+25
67avg 58
H13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 58
A20/01
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
W
83-73
83
73
+10
64avg 58
H27/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 58
A03/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
63avg 58
H17/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
19-14
10-15
19-5
15-16
10-20
14-18
16-23
14-15
24-24
21-24
10-15
19-20
12-26
16-19
21-15
22-22
22-18
13-12
18-23
21-12
18-11
19-18
20-12
13-18
17-23
19-22
16-21
21-26
27-14
13-6
22-27
18-19
23-26
13-17
22-16
24-20
18-20
12-14
17-14
143.2Avg total
71.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.768.3139.0+2.450%
Season at home (8)68.467.6136.0+0.850%
Season away (8)73.069.0142.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)71.371.9143.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.671.2145.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)58.973.4132.3-14.67%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.071.5141.5-1.545%
vs Weaker (4)78.056.5134.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Toulouse WNice W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A24/11
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H20/01
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/01
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A17/02
Ligue 2 Women
65.8Avg total
32.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.469.9+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.973.3+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)32.533.966.5-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.765.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.066.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.343.775.0-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.436.173.4+1.362%-
vs Weaker (10)34.229.763.9+4.560%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tarbes GB W
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H06/12
French Cup Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H09/12
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A16/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H13/01
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A20/01
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H17/02
Ligue 2 Women
75.3Avg total
37.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.534.067.5-0.552%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.632.966.4+0.764%-
Last 30 away (15)33.435.168.5-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.875.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.235.362.5-8.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.235.572.6+1.764%-
vs Weaker (4)42.229.071.2+13.2100%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.621.1
47.3%
45.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.44.3
23.4%
29.5%12.9
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
71.3%14.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.1
51.1%
45.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.95.1
24.4%
29.5%15.3
🏀 Free throws17.813.0
73.0%
71.3%13.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
WWWLLLLWWW
Nice W
WLWLWWLLLW
#4
League position
#6
+0.5
Net rating
+2.3
89.7
Offensive rating
90.2
89.2
Defensive rating
87.9
43.7%
Effective FG%
46.2%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
21.9%
Turnover %
27.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
23.4%
3-point %
24.4%
65.7%
Assist %
46.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 90.2Defence89.2 · 87.9Shooting43.7% · 46.2%3-point %23.4% · 24.4%Ball care21.9% · 27.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Nice W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toulouse W wins
3
Nice W wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Nice W v Toulouse W70-65
03/04/16Toulouse W v Nice W74-84
05/12/15Nice W v Toulouse W77-35
29/03/14Nice W v Toulouse W54-65
30/11/13Toulouse W v Nice W77-51
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24APays Voironnais W69-67
03/02/24HFeytiat W88-59
27/01/24AGraffenstaden W74-61
20/01/24HChartres W65-71
13/01/24AAulnoye AS W71-91
06/01/24AMondeville W66-79
16/12/23HTronche Meylan W64-72
08/12/23AChampagne W93-80 OT
02/12/23HMontbrison W75-64
24/11/23ACentre Federal BB W55-53
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HMondeville W71-68
03/02/24ATronche Meylan W76-78
27/01/24HChampagne W83-73
20/01/24AMontbrison W65-84
13/01/24HCentre Federal BB W78-53
06/01/24AFeytiat W82-80 OT
16/12/23AChartres W68-80
09/12/23HPays Voironnais W69-78
06/12/23HTarbes GB W55-77
02/12/23AGraffenstaden W66-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game72.380.366.1
Allowed / game67.166.167.9
Point differential+5.2+14.1-1.8
Avg total139.4146.4134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%71%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.768.473.0
Allowed / game68.367.669.0
Point differential+2.4+0.8+4.0
Avg total139.0136.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aulnoye AS W1614288%75.163.2+11.9
2 Montbrison W1612475%66.661.2+5.3
3 Chartres W1611569%64.157.6+6.6
4 Toulouse W1610662%72.367.1+5.2
5 Pays Voironnais W1710759%68.866.2+2.5
6 Tronche Meylan W168850%67.263.8+3.4
7 Nice W168850%70.768.3+2.4
8 Mondeville W168850%65.263.2+2.1
9 Feytiat W1661038%62.970.8-7.9
10 Champagne W1761135%72.671.9+0.8
11 Graffenstaden W1731418%64.270.7-6.5
12 Centre Federal BB W1721512%50.674.6-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W2413181671
Nice W1622141466
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