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Toyama vs Akita Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 15 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#21
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.4
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Toyama v Akita
15 Feb 2027
TOYA v AKIT
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
TOYA94
AKIT77
25 Apr 2026
TOYA82
AKIT72
04 Feb 2024
TOYA73
AKIT100
03 Feb 2024
TOYA74
AKIT84
29 Jan 2023
TOYA80
AKIT98
28 Jan 2023
TOYA72
AKIT86
09 Jan 2022
TOYA64
AKIT80
08 Jan 2022
TOYA99
AKIT91
31 Mar 2021
TOYA91
AKIT77
07 Feb 2021
TOYA79
AKIT76
06 Feb 2021
TOYA74
AKIT64
22 Dec 2019
TOYA78
AKIT57
21 Dec 2019
TOYA68
AKIT74
28 Oct 2018
TOYA98
AKIT80
27 Oct 2018
TOYA90
AKIT75
22 Mar 2015
TOYA94
AKIT82
21 Mar 2015
TOYA91
AKIT82
24 May 2014
TOYA94
AKIT109
08 Dec 2013
TOYA83
AKIT77
07 Dec 2013
TOYA77
AKIT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Akita win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H03/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
L
77-99
77
99
-22
H04/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H07/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
A09/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
56-99
56
99
-43
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
100-93
100
93
+7
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
16-16
23-12
15-13
22-17
16-26
18-37
21-19
20-23
17-18
17-26
23-14
16-27
21-30
17-17
31-11
21-21
28-21
25-18
20-14
18-24
14-19
16-36
8-20
17-17
22-23
36-24
30-23
20-17
29-20
14-16
19-26
19-18
17-25
9-25
16-15
27-34
30-19
24-11
19-29
167.7Avg total
82.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.886.3170.1-2.658%
Season at home (6)71.784.7156.3-13.033%
Season away (6)95.888.0183.8+7.883%
Last 10 (10)82.585.2167.7-2.760%
Last 5 (5)80.888.2169.0-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.787.2167.8-6.539%
vs Similar (9)84.486.2170.7-1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.074.3164.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H17/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H30/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
9-10
22-33
16-22
19-22
18-13
22-19
17-32
16-26
27-14
22-27
16-20
21-18
18-16
17-15
26-22
27-23
23-22
27-28
25-22
20-23
14-21
25-24
15-22
25-22
25-33
11-26
23-17
22-23
18-18
25-23
30-22
18-14
17-22
19-23
17-20
18-28
20-16
28-20
19-25
168.4Avg total
81.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.685.4164.0-6.833%
Season at home (4)90.889.2180.0+1.550%
Season away (8)72.583.5156.0-11.025%
Last 10 (10)81.387.1168.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)81.888.4170.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.885.2158.0-12.319%
vs Similar (4)90.889.2180.0+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
ToyamaAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H04/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A09/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/10
B League
85.4Avg total
41.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.940.780.6-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)45.246.491.6-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.185.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.444.384.7-3.939%-
vs Similar (9)45.842.288.0+3.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.340.785.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
B League
80.0Avg total
39.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.179.7-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.543.084.5-1.545%-
Last 30 away (19)35.341.676.9-6.321%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.980.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.842.178.8-5.327%-
vs Similar (4)42.842.585.2+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.1
48.2%
53.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.6
28.9%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.717.6
74.3%
73.7%17.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.3
52.4%
53.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
32.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
73.7%13.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WLWWLWWLLW
Akita
LLWLLWWLLL
#11
League position
#21
-5.6
Net rating
-6.7
87.9
Offensive rating
93.7
93.4
Defensive rating
100.4
46.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.9%
3-point %
36.3%
61.4%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 93.7Defence93.4 · 100.4Shooting46.3% · 53.4%3-point %28.9% · 36.3%Ball care13.5% · 14.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Toyama   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toyama wins
5
Akita wins
DateGameScore
26/04/26Toyama v Akita94-77
25/04/26Toyama v Akita82-72
04/02/24Toyama v Akita73-100
03/02/24Toyama v Akita74-84
29/01/23Toyama v Akita80-98
28/01/23Toyama v Akita72-86
09/01/22Toyama v Akita64-80
08/01/22Toyama v Akita99-91
14/04/21Akita v Toyama101-108 OT
31/03/21Toyama v Akita91-77
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AChiba100-93
26/10/26HIbaraki Robots61-83
24/10/26HShimane82-79
21/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido105-87
18/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa56-99
11/10/26AAltiri Chiba94-74
09/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers96-90 OT
07/10/26HKyoto77-81
04/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex77-99
03/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex77-67
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAltiri Chiba85-89
26/10/26AKyoto71-79
24/10/26HYokohama95-86
21/10/26AHiroshima D.84-98
19/10/26AAlvark74-90
17/10/26HShinshu102-95
11/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex82-71
08/10/26HBrave Thunders81-87
04/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers76-86
03/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%33%83%
Points / game83.871.795.8
Allowed / game86.384.788.0
Point differential-2.6-13.0+7.8
Avg total170.1156.3183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game78.690.872.5
Allowed / game85.489.283.5
Point differential-6.8+1.5-11.0
Avg total164.0180.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
13 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
14 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
15 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
16 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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