PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toyama vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 88-78
20-27 22-18 30-16 16-17
Position#24
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game95.0
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#25
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game90.0
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toyama v Brave Thunders
06 Dec 2026
TOYA v BRAV
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
TOYA88
BRAV78
11 Oct 2025
TOYA65
BRAV100
27 Mar 2024
TOYA63
BRAV75
30 Apr 2023
TOYA79
BRAV100
29 Apr 2023
TOYA95
BRAV76
14 Dec 2022
TOYA70
BRAV93
13 Dec 2020
TOYA96
BRAV78
12 Dec 2020
TOYA101
BRAV102
29 Mar 2020
TOYA v BRAV
upcoming
28 Mar 2020
TOYA v BRAV
upcoming
25 Dec 2019
TOYA90
BRAV98
16 Dec 2018
TOYA84
BRAV71
15 Dec 2018
TOYA107
BRAV108
07 Nov 2018
TOYA78
BRAV87
19 Nov 2017
TOYA85
BRAV88
18 Nov 2017
TOYA91
BRAV82
03 May 2017
TOYA70
BRAV91
22 Feb 2017
TOYA88
BRAV95
27 Nov 2016
TOYA67
BRAV87
26 Nov 2016
TOYA69
BRAV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H03/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
H04/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H05/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
79avg 83
A10/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
97avg 83
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
98-92
98
92
+6
95avg 83
A17/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 83
A18/05
B2.League
Kyoto
#20
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 83
A04/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
96-91
96
91
+5
94avg 83
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
65-100
65
100
-35
50avg 83
H11/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
23-20
20-12
22-15
18-26
20-20
15-18
22-18
27-16
18-22
21-19
24-17
33-31
22-19
14-12
15-15
27-20
21-19
24-29
32-27
24-23
27-24
23-15
24-30
18-29
21-25
18-21
14-17
15-23
18-24
31-26
21-21
23-28
28-21
17-20
28-22
12-26
26-22
17-27
10-25
170.9Avg total
84.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.095.0177.0-13.033%
Season at home (1)65.0100.0165.0-35.00%
Season away (2)90.592.5183.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.986.0170.9-1.160%
Last 5 (5)83.093.8176.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.296.2179.3-13.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.888.0173.8-2.262%
vs Weaker (16)86.678.9165.5+7.675%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 74
A19/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
64-66
64
66
-2
60avg 74
A20/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
104avg 74
A23/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 74
A26/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
72avg 74
A27/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
82avg 74
H03/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
65-100
65
100
-35
52avg 74
H04/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 74
H04/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
88-114
88
114
-26
82avg 74
H05/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
100-65
100
65
+35
98avg 74
A11/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
25-7
19-32
17-13
19-11
21-23
9-14
15-18
24-21
17-19
27-32
23-19
12-23
22-20
20-22
13-15
25-18
24-24
14-20
17-22
21-21
25-18
22-13
16-30
21-28
16-21
16-28
12-23
16-24
17-19
25-17
25-31
31-27
18-26
15-28
24-33
26-12
22-26
27-17
25-10
166.9Avg total
81.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.390.0180.3+0.333%
Season at home (2)85.5102.5188.0-17.00%
Season away (1)100.065.0165.0+35.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.485.5166.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)84.090.4174.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)80.990.3171.3-9.419%
vs Similar ◀ (2)99.079.0178.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker (2)101.588.5190.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
ToyamaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A10/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A17/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A18/05
B2.League
Kyoto
#20
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A04/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/10
B League
89.1Avg total
43.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.287.6+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.840.984.7+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)46.943.590.4+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.489.1-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.449.091.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.849.094.8-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.243.989.1+1.475%-
vs Weaker (16)45.238.884.1+6.469%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A19/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/04
B League
Alvark
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H04/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H05/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/10
B League
82.7Avg total
42.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.786.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.343.788.0+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)40.843.784.5-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.482.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)41.644.786.3-3.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.535.580.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)57.039.096.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.6
55.9%
53.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.3
27.9%
33.7%15.9
🏀 Free throws25.919.9
76.8%
73.1%19.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.1
50.3%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.8
37.4%
33.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws13.710.0
73.0%
73.1%10.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWLLWWWWLW
Brave Thunders
WLLLWLLLLW
#24
League position
#25
-1.7
Net rating
-5.5
118.1
Offensive rating
107.9
119.8
Defensive rating
113.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.20
27.9%
3-point %
37.4%
58.4%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 107.9Defence119.8 · 113.4Shooting51.4% · 52.8%3-point %27.9% · 37.4%Ball care13.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.44 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Toyama   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toyama wins
8
Brave Thunders wins
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HBrave Thunders65-100
05/10/25AKyoto96-91
04/10/25AKyoto85-94
18/05/25AAltiri Chiba71-92
17/05/25AAltiri Chiba98-92
11/05/25AFukuoka104-95
10/05/25AFukuoka84-77
05/05/25HShizuoka90-74
04/05/25HShizuoka75-82
03/05/25HShizuoka81-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AToyama100-65
05/10/25HHiroshima D.88-114
04/10/25HHiroshima D.83-91
04/05/25HNeoPhoenix65-100
03/05/25HNeoPhoenix84-82
27/04/25AAlvark80-84
26/04/25AAlvark67-80
23/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa101-105 OT
20/04/25ASun Rockers Shibuya64-66
19/04/25ASun Rockers Shibuya82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game82.065.090.5
Allowed / game95.0100.092.5
Point differential-13.0-35.0-2.0
Avg total177.0165.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game90.385.5100.0
Allowed / game90.0102.565.0
Point differential+0.3-17.0+35.0
Avg total180.3188.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba330100%94.377.7+16.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex330100%82.767.0+15.7
3 Sun Rockers Shibuya330100%81.770.3+11.3
4 Nagasaki43175%89.276.2+13.0
5 Hokkaido43175%82.278.8+3.5
6 Diamond Dolphins32167%76.767.7+9.0
7 Shimane32167%87.078.7+8.3
8 Sendai32167%78.079.0-1.0
9 Yokohama32167%75.780.0-4.3
10 Altiri Chiba32167%80.786.3-5.7
11 Hiroshima D.42250%93.890.8+3.0
12 Saga42250%82.280.0+2.2
13 Kyoto21150%92.590.5+2.0
14 Ryukyu31233%77.774.7+3.0
15 SeaHorses Mikawa31233%78.075.0+3.0
16 Brave Thunders31233%90.390.0+0.3
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31233%81.785.0-3.3
18 Ibaraki Robots31233%74.378.3-4.0
19 Osaka31233%78.783.0-4.3
20 Gunma31233%75.080.3-5.3
21 NeoPhoenix31233%79.084.3-5.3
22 Akita31233%72.380.0-7.7
23 Toyama31233%82.095.0-13.0
24 Alvark3030%62.776.7-14.0
25 Shiga2020%79.594.5-15.0
26 Koshigaya Alphas3030%66.085.7-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2022301688
Brave Thunders2718161778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.