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Toyama vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 81-63
16-16 23-20 20-12 22-15
Position#3
Record38-22
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game82.3
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#6
Record34-26
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.5
JapanB2.LeagueB2.League - Quarter-finals· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Shizuoka
05 May 2025
TOYA90
SHIZ74
04 May 2025
TOYA75
SHIZ82
03 May 2025
TOYA81
SHIZ63
23 Mar 2025
TOYA88
SHIZ77
22 Mar 2025
TOYA89
SHIZ87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 83
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
100avg 83
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 83
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 83
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 83
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
100avg 83
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 83
A12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
93avg 83
A13/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 83
H19/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
98avg 83
H20/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
24-16
26-21
21-15
28-26
24-16
19-20
22-17
22-20
18-23
16-24
16-30
22-33
27-25
20-22
26-21
20-18
19-17
16-21
12-24
26-25
25-15
15-16
30-29
25-22
23-29
23-26
25-26
29-18
27-27
19-19
22-25
33-23
27-23
20-22
20-22
26-28
25-22
26-20
20-27
181.5Avg total
90.7Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)88.482.3170.8+6.163%
Season at home (30)87.781.9169.7+5.863%
Season away (30)89.182.8171.9+6.363%
Last 10 (10)90.790.8181.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)98.494.8193.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.598.2180.8-15.825%
vs Similar (6)86.590.0176.5-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.880.2170.0+9.575%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 73
A23/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
79avg 73
H26/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
83avg 73
H29/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-86
78
86
-8
76avg 73
H30/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
86-59
86
59
+27
87avg 73
H05/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
82-58
82
58
+24
85avg 73
H06/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 73
A11/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
61-75
61
75
-14
57avg 73
A12/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
63avg 73
H19/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
84avg 73
H20/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
16-24
21-26
15-21
13-19
18-19
25-16
30-24
22-11
25-14
16-15
19-23
16-24
26-20
15-18
21-24
20-18
26-13
13-11
27-17
22-18
22-20
25-8
13-12
20-12
19-23
16-23
12-18
15-23
23-19
16-13
7-20
20-5
17-19
16-27
17-24
23-16
23-20
16-18
19-20
150.2Avg total
77.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)77.775.5153.2+2.257%
Season at home (30)80.178.3158.4+1.753%
Season away (30)75.372.7148.0+2.660%
Last 10 (10)77.073.2150.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)72.271.6143.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.382.8151.2-14.50%
vs Similar (14)76.975.6152.5+1.257%
vs Weaker (10)83.271.5154.7+11.780%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
ToyamaShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H19/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H20/04
B2.League
93.8Avg total
48.7Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.985.4+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.640.185.7+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)45.439.785.1+5.760%-
Last 10 (10)48.745.193.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.246.499.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.248.294.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)43.543.086.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.037.483.3+8.675%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H29/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H05/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H19/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/04
B2.League
76.5Avg total
41.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.677.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.977.3-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.476.5+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.075.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.542.077.5-6.533%-
vs Similar (14)39.236.675.9+2.657%-
vs Weaker (10)42.036.478.4+5.670%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.127.3
58.0%
51.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.5
26.7%
32.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.418.8
74.0%
70.7%18.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.7
49.7%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
70.7%12.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWWLWLLLWW
Shizuoka
WLLLWWLWWL
#3
League position
#6
-0.1
Net rating
+6.9
111.8
Offensive rating
106.2
112.0
Defensive rating
99.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.7%
3-point %
33.6%
70.4%
Assist %
77.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 106.2Defence112.0 · 99.2Shooting52.5% · 50.0%3-point %26.7% · 33.6%Ball care16.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Toyama   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toyama wins
0
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Toyama v Shizuoka88-77
22/03/25Toyama v Shizuoka89-87 OT
01/12/24Shizuoka v Toyama84-91
30/11/24Shizuoka v Toyama71-86
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HFukui103-107 OT
19/04/25HFukui100-90
13/04/25AKumamoto97-89
12/04/25AKumamoto96-103
06/04/25HShinshu96-85
05/04/25HShinshu67-80
30/03/25AAltiri Chiba95-101
29/03/25AAltiri Chiba72-97
26/03/25AAomori93-79
23/03/25HShizuoka88-77
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HNara81-74
19/04/25HNara70-75
12/04/25AFukuoka61-75
11/04/25AFukuoka67-76
06/04/25HEhime Orange Vikings82-58
05/04/25HEhime Orange Vikings86-59
30/03/25HKobe78-86
29/03/25HKobe82-63
26/03/25HKumamoto86-78
23/03/25AToyama77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWLWWL63%
AwayWLLLW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %63%63%63%
Points / game88.487.789.1
Allowed / game82.381.982.8
Point differential+6.1+5.8+6.3
Avg total170.8169.7171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%43%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %8%10%7%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeLWWLW53%
AwayLLLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %57%53%60%
Points / game77.780.175.3
Allowed / game75.578.372.7
Point differential+2.1+1.7+2.6
Avg total153.2158.4148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba6158395%91.474.6+16.9
2 Fukuoka60421870%82.974.0+8.8
3 Toyama60382263%88.482.3+6.1
4 Shinshu61382362%83.977.8+6.1
5 Kagoshima Rebnise61372461%82.178.5+3.6
6 Shizuoka60342657%77.775.5+2.1
7 Fukui60322853%82.080.8+1.3
8 Kumamoto61273444%79.180.0-0.9
9 Nara60263443%76.180.2-4.1
10 Kobe60253542%80.082.3-2.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns60243640%78.881.2-2.4
12 Aomori60213935%77.886.0-8.2
13 Fukushima60154525%73.382.0-8.7
14 Ehime Orange Vikings605558%71.490.2-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama1623202281
Shizuoka1620121563
← all games of the day
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