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Alvark vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 80-67
23-12 20-22 22-20 15-13
Position#4
Record40-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game70.5
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#21
Record17-39
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game86.6
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Brave Thunders
14 Mar 2027
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
27 Apr 2025
ALVA84
BRAV80
26 Apr 2025
ALVA80
BRAV67
07 Jan 2024
ALVA99
BRAV76
06 Jan 2024
ALVA94
BRAV79
08 Jan 2023
ALVA88
BRAV73
07 Jan 2023
ALVA75
BRAV64
05 Dec 2021
ALVA96
BRAV90
04 Dec 2021
ALVA66
BRAV85
14 Apr 2021
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
03 Oct 2020
ALVA52
BRAV55
02 Oct 2020
ALVA85
BRAV79
22 Mar 2020
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
21 Mar 2020
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
21 Oct 2018
ALVA66
BRAV46
20 Oct 2018
ALVA89
BRAV67
11 Feb 2018
ALVA86
BRAV54
10 Feb 2018
ALVA65
BRAV94
25 Oct 2017
ALVA99
BRAV91
16 Nov 2014
ALVA53
BRAV69
15 Nov 2014
ALVA103
BRAV78
10 Nov 2013
ALVA84
BRAV91
09 Nov 2013
ALVA65
BRAV73
26 Feb 2012
ALVA79
BRAV67
25 Feb 2012
ALVA71
BRAV78
22 Oct 2011
ALVA81
BRAV61
21 Oct 2011
ALVA81
BRAV61
12 Dec 2010
ALVA62
BRAV65
11 Dec 2010
ALVA72
BRAV54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 71
H30/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 71
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 71
H06/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
65avg 71
A09/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
66avg 71
H12/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
82-47
82
47
+35
85avg 71
H13/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 71
H16/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
86-56
86
56
+30
91avg 71
A19/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
68-64
68
64
+4
69avg 71
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
54avg 71
A23/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
11-25
22-15
29-15
26-19
32-25
8-19
20-18
19-22
22-17
13-23
21-10
10-23
20-24
17-22
20-20
20-11
18-14
17-18
11-25
24-10
16-15
29-11
13-11
15-14
18-22
11-10
29-21
22-9
20-16
24-14
20-17
18-16
18-20
17-12
15-16
15-7
11-11
15-29
14-14
141.1Avg total
73.4Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)76.170.5146.6+5.671%
Season at home (28)75.070.2145.3+4.871%
Season away (28)77.170.7147.9+6.471%
Last 10 (10)73.467.7141.1+5.770%
Last 5 (5)72.859.0131.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.770.3132.0-8.733%
vs Similar (13)74.872.0146.8+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.668.8145.4+7.971%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 74
A30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
77-88
77
88
-11
74avg 74
H05/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
73-82
73
82
-9
68avg 74
H06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 74
H09/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
95avg 74
A12/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 74
A13/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
90avg 74
H16/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 74
A19/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
64-66
64
66
-2
60avg 74
A20/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
104avg 74
A23/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
18-27
15-18
16-27
20-14
21-20
21-27
15-27
29-12
23-23
3-25
18-22
23-16
20-20
13-23
14-14
26-23
18-25
28-30
24-13
28-18
17-20
14-19
9-28
19-12
22-21
23-28
19-22
21-16
25-7
19-32
17-13
19-11
21-23
9-14
15-18
24-21
17-19
27-32
23-19
165.2Avg total
79.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)79.186.6165.7-7.530%
Season at home (28)80.485.7166.1-5.236%
Season away (28)77.887.5165.2-9.825%
Last 10 (10)79.785.5165.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)82.683.4166.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)81.488.0169.4-6.629%
vs Similar (4)74.880.0154.8-5.250%
vs Weaker (2)101.588.5190.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
AlvarkBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H30/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A09/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H16/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A19/04
B League
Shiga
#24
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A23/04
B League
70.6Avg total
36.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.272.0+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.236.272.4+0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)37.534.071.5+3.546%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.770.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.063.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.330.357.7-3.033%-
vs Similar (13)38.238.877.0-0.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.433.070.4+4.457%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A12/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A13/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H16/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A19/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/04
B League
81.0Avg total
43.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.184.4-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.386.1-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.643.082.6-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.081.0+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.676.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.244.085.2-2.838%-
vs Similar (4)33.540.073.5-6.550%-
vs Weaker (2)57.039.096.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.3
50.3%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
33.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
72.7%13.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.6
51.2%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.0
36.2%
33.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws11.17.5
67.6%
72.7%7.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LWWWWLLWWW
Brave Thunders
LLWWLWLLLL
#4
League position
#21
+9.0
Net rating
-8.1
103.7
Offensive rating
105.8
94.7
Defensive rating
113.9
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.16
30.7%
3-point %
36.2%
78.3%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 105.8Defence94.7 · 113.9Shooting48.6% · 52.5%3-point %30.7% · 36.2%Ball care17.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Alvark   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alvark wins
3
Brave Thunders wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex55-61
20/04/25AShiga68-64
19/04/25AShiga86-56
16/04/25HSeaHorses Mikawa73-67
13/04/25HOsaka82-47
12/04/25HOsaka66-68
09/04/25ANeoPhoenix67-89
06/04/25HChiba75-72
05/04/25HChiba86-81
30/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa101-105 OT
20/04/25ASun Rockers Shibuya64-66
19/04/25ASun Rockers Shibuya82-68
16/04/25HYokohama98-93 OT
13/04/25AShimane68-85
12/04/25AShimane96-91
09/04/25HDiamond Dolphins70-73
06/04/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-82
05/04/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles77-88
30/03/25AChiba68-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game76.175.077.1
Allowed / game70.570.270.7
Point differential+5.6+4.8+6.4
Avg total146.6145.3147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)80% (10)86% (7)
Overtime %9%7%11%
Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %30%36%25%
Points / game79.180.477.8
Allowed / game86.685.787.5
Point differential-7.5-5.2-9.8
Avg total165.7166.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %7%11%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex57461181%84.575.3+9.2
2 NeoPhoenix56451180%91.080.0+11.0
3 Ryukyu57441377%85.876.4+9.3
4 Alvark56401671%76.170.5+5.6
5 Chiba57391868%82.376.8+5.5
6 Gunma57372065%77.671.6+6.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa57372065%81.675.9+5.7
8 Shimane57352261%79.774.9+4.8
9 Diamond Dolphins57342360%82.479.3+3.1
10 Kyoto57302753%82.180.4+1.7
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya56292752%73.271.2+2.0
12 Osaka57292851%82.283.2-1.0
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles57282949%78.279.4-1.2
14 Akita57273047%73.374.6-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.57273047%79.982.9-3.0
16 Nagasaki57243342%75.678.4-2.8
17 Yokohama56233341%75.879.8-4.1
18 Saga57213637%76.178.8-2.7
19 Hokkaido57193833%75.480.3-4.9
20 Koshigaya Alphas57183932%75.180.5-5.4
21 Brave Thunders56173930%79.186.6-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots57144325%72.479.7-7.3
23 Sendai57114619%73.083.1-10.1
24 Shiga5674912%76.889.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2320221580
Brave Thunders1222201367
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