Toyama hosts the Diamond Dolphins on 7 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model names the Dolphins the favourite, rating them at 89% to win because they are undefeated 10-0 with an average of 92.5 points scored and 73.6 points allowed, while Toyama sits 11th with an 8-5 record, 83.7 points scored and 85.7 allowed. Toyama's season overall shows a 8-5 record, 83.7 points per game and 85.7 allowed, but their home form is weak at 2-4, 71.7 points for and 84.7 against, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 100-93 win over Chiba on 31 October. The Dolphins have gone 8-0 on the road, 91.8 points for and 75.4 against, and have won all five of their most recent games, notably a 96-85 victory over Tokyo Sunrockers on 25 October. In head-to-head history the Dolphins have won all ten meetings, the last being a 91-58 win on 5 April. Pythia projects a 76-90 score, 166.1 total points, an 11% chance for Toyama to win, 89% for the Dolphins, a 12.5-point line with a 44% chance the home team covers, a 169.0 total with a 42% over probability, and a 2% overtime likelihood.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 83.7 | 85.7 | 169.4 | -2.0 | 62% |
| Season at home (6) | 71.7 | 84.7 | 156.3 | -13.0 | 33% |
| Season away (7) | 94.0 | 86.6 | 180.6 | +7.4 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.1 | 86.3 | 169.4 | -3.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 84.0 | 170.2 | +2.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 79.4 | 86.2 | 165.6 | -6.8 | 41% |
| vs Similar (11) | 85.2 | 84.4 | 169.5 | +0.8 | 64% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 88.0 | 74.5 | 162.5 | +13.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 92.5 | 73.6 | 166.1 | +18.9 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 66.5 | 162.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| Season away (8) | 91.8 | 75.4 | 167.1 | +16.4 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 92.5 | 73.6 | 166.1 | +18.9 | 100% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.4 | 72.8 | 168.2 | +22.6 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (11) | 75.4 | 82.9 | 158.3 | -7.5 | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 87.6 | 76.3 | 163.9 | +11.4 | 74% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.6 | 42.4 | 85.1 | +0.2 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.9 | 40.7 | 80.6 | -0.8 | 38% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 45.7 | 44.4 | 90.1 | +1.3 | 64% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.0 | 42.8 | 84.8 | -0.8 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 40.4 | 85.8 | +5.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 40.5 | 43.6 | 84.1 | -3.2 | 41% | 47% |
| vs Similar (11) | 46.1 | 41.0 | 87.1 | +5.1 | 64% | 55% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | +2.0 | 50% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.2 | 39.0 | 80.1 | +2.2 | 53% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 43.2 | 39.2 | 82.3 | +4.0 | 58% | 42% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 39.8 | 38.8 | 78.7 | +1.0 | 50% | 28% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.2 | 37.4 | 84.6 | +9.8 | 80% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.4 | 39.4 | 88.8 | +10.0 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (11) | 35.9 | 43.4 | 79.3 | -7.5 | 18% | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 44.2 | 36.4 | 80.6 | +7.8 | 74% | 32% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamond Dolphins -7 | 74.7% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -8 | 71.6% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Toyama under 86.5 | 85.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Toyama under 84.5 | 80.1% | 1.32 | 1.37 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Toyama under 82.5 | 74.3% | 1.43 | 1.52 | 1.39 | 1.38 | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Toyama under 83.5 | 77.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -4.5 | 80.9% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Toyama under 88.5 | 88.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Toyama under 90.5 | 92.0% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Toyama under 81.5 | 71.1% | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -5.5 | 78.3% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -6.5 | 75.4% | 1.38 | 1.50 | 1.36 | 1.28 | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins (regulation) | 87.6% | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 74.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -7.5 | 72.4% | 1.43 | 1.55 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.34 | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Toyama under 92.5 | 94.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 78.5 | 87.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Toyama under 94.5 | 96.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 80.5 | 83.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins +4.5 | 93.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 82.5 | 77.9% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins +9.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Toyama under 96.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 70.5 | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 72.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Toyama under 98.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 74.5 | 94.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 77.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 76.5 | 91.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 85.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 68.5 | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 95.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | - |
| Under 188.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins win | 89.1% | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | +5.3pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins +14.5 | 98.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins under 95.5 | 70.6% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins under 96.5 | 74.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 84.5 | 71.5% | 1.32 | 1.41 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 91.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 86.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 77.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Toyama +20.5 | 71.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Won |
| Toyama over 70.5 | 70.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -7.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 19.8 | 53.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.6 | 7.9 | 32.9% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.7 | 19.8 | 73.8% | 19.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.5 | 24.7 | 53.6% | 49.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 9.2 | 32.9% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.2 | 73.8% | 15.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 91-58 |
| 04/04/26 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 92-65 |
| 28/01/26 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 91-87 |
| 15/10/25 | Toyama v Diamond Dolphins | 69-82 |
| 31/03/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 110-70 |
| 30/03/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 102-85 |
| 04/12/22 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 93-81 |
| 03/12/22 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 91-72 |
| 19/12/21 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 101-75 |
| 18/12/21 | Diamond Dolphins v Toyama | 90-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Chiba | 83-78 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Chiba | 100-93 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 61-83 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Shimane | 82-79 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 105-87 |
| 18/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 56-99 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Altiri Chiba | 94-74 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Tokyo Sunrockers | 96-90 OT |
| 07/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 77-81 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 77-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Shiga | 87-64 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Shiga | 104-69 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Tokyo Sunrockers | 96-85 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 98-69 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Shinshu | 92-77 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 90-78 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Shimane | 90-80 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Shimane | 85-73 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 90-78 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 93-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 62% |
| Home | LLLWL | 33% |
| Away | WWWWW | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 6 | 7 |
| Win % | 62% | 33% | 86% |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 71.7 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.7 | 84.7 | 86.6 |
| Point differential | -2.0 | -13.0 | +7.4 |
| Avg total | 169.4 | 156.3 | 180.6 |
| Over 169.25 | 46% | 17% | 71% |
| Win by 10+ | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 2 | 8 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 92.5 | 95.5 | 91.8 |
| Allowed / game | 73.6 | 66.5 | 75.4 |
| Point differential | +18.9 | +29.0 | +16.4 |
| Avg total | 166.1 | 162.0 | 167.1 |
| Over 169.25 | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 73.6 | +18.9 | |
| 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 93% | 90.4 | 79.1 | +11.2 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.3 | 80.7 | +6.7 | |
| 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 93.6 | 83.9 | +9.7 | |
| 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 86.3 | 79.3 | +7.1 | |
| 6 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 89.8 | 79.3 | +10.5 | |
| 7 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 82.4 | 73.6 | +8.8 | |
| 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.6 | 76.8 | +7.8 | |
| 9 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64% | 89.4 | 79.3 | +10.1 |
| 10 | Levanga Hokkaido | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 97.4 | 95.8 | +1.5 |
| 11 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 83.7 | 85.7 | -2.0 | |
| 12 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 85.1 | 82.2 | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 79.1 | 83.1 | -4.1 | |
| 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 85.2 | 88.2 | -3.1 | |
| 15 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.6 | 79.6 | +4.0 | |
| 16 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 76.7 | 80.3 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 81.2 | 85.2 | -4.0 | |
| 18 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 83.2 | 85.9 | -2.7 | |
| 19 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 90.4 | 96.3 | -5.9 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 81.2 | 82.8 | -1.6 | |
| 21 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 33% | 80.5 | 86.4 | -5.9 | |
| 22 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.0 | 83.9 | -4.9 | |
| 23 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 81.7 | 89.3 | -7.6 | |
| 24 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 23% | 78.9 | 86.1 | -7.2 | |
| 25 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 76.3 | 94.0 | -17.7 | |
| 26 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 67.8 | 90.2 | -22.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 20 | 27 | 18 | 80 | |
| 22 | 23 | 26 | 22 | 93 |
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