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Chiba vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Projected 89-88
Projected total 177.2
Final 78-83
19-20 10-26 23-19 26-18
Position#16
Record4-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game98.2
Vs
54%
46%
■ CHIB 54%■ TOYA 46%
Pythia win probability
Toyama 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.3
JapanB League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chiba v Toyama
01 Nov 2026
CHIB78
TOYA83
31 Oct 2026
CHIB93
TOYA100
04 Jan 2026
CHIB88
TOYA73
03 Jan 2026
CHIB79
TOYA72
29 Dec 2021
CHIB105
TOYA64
20 Dec 2020
CHIB130
TOYA129
19 Dec 2020
CHIB98
TOYA82
28 Apr 2019
CHIB96
TOYA85
27 Apr 2019
CHIB102
TOYA73
18 Dec 2016
CHIB90
TOYA65
17 Dec 2016
CHIB91
TOYA87
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Chiba host Toyama in the B League. Pythia makes Chiba the favourite at 54% and projects 89-88, about 177 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Chiba are 4-8 this season (91.6 scored, 98.2 allowed a game), form WLLWL; Toyama are 7-5 this season (83.8 scored, 86.3 allowed a game), form LWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winLost
54.1%fair 1.85
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winWon
45.9%fair 2.18
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
131-138 OT
131
138
-7
108avg 80
H02/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
62avg 80
H04/10
B League
Kobe
#22
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 80
A08/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
109-103
109
103
+6
104avg 80
A10/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
96avg 80
A12/10
B League
Shimane
#17
W
97-78
97
78
+19
97avg 80
H17/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
64-107
64
107
-43
51avg 80
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
79-102
79
102
-23
68avg 80
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
87-65
87
65
+22
87avg 80
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 80
H31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
29-21
18-24
24-26
18-22
21-25
14-27
18-22
22-19
29-24
18-18
17-33
32-23
30-32
27-24
20-24
25-22
18-22
25-18
27-33
23-16
23-30
22-15
29-17
25-26
11-22
12-32
16-27
21-26
19-28
24-28
15-20
23-20
29-15
20-14
15-16
34-27
19-30
11-24
29-19
191.4Avg total
92.3Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.698.2189.8-6.633%
Season at home (6)89.2103.5192.7-14.317%
Season away (6)94.092.8186.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)92.399.1191.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)84.090.4174.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.499.5188.9-10.130%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.089.3174.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (14)90.579.1169.6+11.479%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
W
77-67
77
67
+10
67avg 75
H03/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
L
77-99
77
99
-22
68avg 75
H04/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 75
H07/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
80avg 75
A09/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#20
W
94-74
94
74
+20
92avg 75
A11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
56-99
56
99
-43
39avg 75
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
103avg 75
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 75
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
61-83
61
83
-22
47avg 75
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#16
W
100-93
100
93
+7
95avg 75
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
16-16
23-12
15-13
22-17
16-26
18-37
21-19
20-23
17-18
17-26
23-14
16-27
21-30
17-17
31-11
21-21
28-21
25-18
20-14
18-24
14-19
16-36
8-20
17-17
22-23
36-24
30-23
20-17
29-20
14-16
19-26
19-18
17-25
9-25
16-15
27-34
30-19
24-11
19-29
167.7Avg total
82.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.886.3170.1-2.658%
Season at home (6)71.784.7156.3-13.033%
Season away (6)95.888.0183.8+7.883%
Last 10 (10)82.585.2167.7-2.760%
Last 5 (5)80.888.2169.0-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.786.7167.5-6.042%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.885.7171.4+0.156%
vs Weaker (2)88.074.5162.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163
Over 163
80.5%
Under 163
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
70.7%
Under 168
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173Actual: Under 173
Over 173
59.3%
Under 173
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chiba total 79.5Actual: Chiba under 79.5
Over 79.5
82.4%
Under 79.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chiba total 83.5Actual: Chiba under 83.5
Over 83.5
70.6%
Under 83.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chiba total 87.5Actual: Chiba under 87.5
Over 87.5
56.1%
Under 87.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toyama total 80.5Actual: Toyama over 80.5
Over 80.5
76.4%
Under 80.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toyama total 84.5Actual: Toyama under 84.5
Over 84.5
62.9%
Under 84.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toyama total 88.5Actual: Toyama under 88.5
Over 88.5
47.7%
Under 88.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Chiba -3Actual: Toyama +3
CHIB -3
45.0%
TOYA +3
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
CHIB
No market prices yet.
TOYA
No market prices yet.
Spread Chiba 0Actual: Toyama 0
CHIB 0
54.1%
TOYA 0
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
CHIB
No market prices yet.
TOYA
No market prices yet.
Spread Chiba +3Actual: Toyama -3
CHIB +3
63.1%
TOYA -3
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
CHIB
No market prices yet.
TOYA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
ChibaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H02/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H04/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A10/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A12/10
B League
Shimane
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H17/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H31/10
B League
95.3Avg total
47.7Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.489.8+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.541.788.2+4.859%-
Last 30 away (13)48.643.391.9+5.362%-
Last 10 (10)47.747.695.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.093.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.448.995.3-2.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.546.090.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker (14)49.436.285.6+13.193%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H04/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A09/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#16
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/10
B League
85.4Avg total
41.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.940.780.6-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)45.246.491.6-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.185.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.843.984.8-3.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.842.888.6+3.056%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.3
52.3%
53.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.2
31.2%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
73.8%16.9
They take 75.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.7
48.6%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.8
28.8%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
73.8%17.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
LWLLWLWLLL
Toyama
WLWWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#11
-6.9
Net rating
-2.4
91.4
Offensive rating
90.0
98.3
Defensive rating
92.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.2%
3-point %
28.8%
65.8%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 90.0Defence98.3 · 92.4Shooting49.9% · 46.5%3-point %31.2% · 28.8%Ball care13.6% · 13.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Chiba   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Chiba wins
2
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Chiba v Toyama93-100
04/01/26Chiba v Toyama88-73
03/01/26Chiba v Toyama79-72
28/01/24Toyama v Chiba73-91
27/01/24Toyama v Chiba92-93
27/11/22Toyama v Chiba61-87
26/11/22Toyama v Chiba55-82
29/12/21Chiba v Toyama105-64
07/03/21Toyama v Chiba88-90
06/03/21Toyama v Chiba96-80
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HToyama93-100
25/10/26AOsaka87-65
21/10/26HKyoto79-102
19/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers64-107
17/10/26HShimane97-78
12/10/26AYokohama106-108 OT
10/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido109-103
08/10/26AKobe86-94
04/10/26HAlvark71-96
02/10/26HAlvark131-138 OT
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AChiba100-93
26/10/26HIbaraki Robots61-83
24/10/26HShimane82-79
21/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido105-87
18/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa56-99
11/10/26AAltiri Chiba94-74
09/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers96-90 OT
07/10/26HKyoto77-81
04/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex77-99
03/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%17%50%
Points / game91.689.294.0
Allowed / game98.2103.592.8
Point differential-6.6-14.3+1.2
Avg total189.8192.7186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Toyama
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%33%83%
Points / game83.871.795.8
Allowed / game86.384.788.0
Point differential-2.6-13.0+7.8
Avg total170.1156.3183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa97278%91.278.2+13.0
4 Alvark1310377%94.584.0+10.5
5 NeoPhoenix86275%86.280.0+6.2
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma128467%80.173.9+6.2
10 Ryukyu127558%85.081.1+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Levanga Hokkaido116555%95.294.5+0.6
13 Ibaraki Robots136746%83.378.4+4.9
14 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
15 Yokohama136746%79.284.5-5.2
16 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
17 Utsunomiya Brex125742%82.183.5-1.4
18 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
19 Brave Thunders124833%80.484.8-4.3
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga121118%76.294.8-18.7
26 Osaka121118%68.589.2-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba1910232678
Toyama2026191883
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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