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Toyama vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 83-68
30-18 17-20 17-13 19-17
Position#3
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game80.4
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record4-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game83.2
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Fukushima
19 Nov 2024
TOYA92
FUKU84
18 Nov 2024
TOYA83
FUKU68
23 Oct 2024
TOYA104
FUKU79
19 Apr 2015
TOYA75
FUKU59
18 Apr 2015
TOYA88
FUKU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
95-56
95
56
+39
96avg 69
A13/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
78-107
78
107
-29
75avg 69
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
89avg 69
A20/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
104-79
104
79
+25
100avg 69
H23/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
82avg 69
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 69
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 69
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
94avg 69
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 69
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
58avg 69
H10/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
19-17
24-8
26-16
16-34
24-18
25-26
13-29
23-14
24-21
32-15
9-14
18-24
32-17
29-20
25-18
14-25
25-25
25-25
26-25
24-19
21-19
16-19
13-25
26-24
30-14
20-24
9-20
32-9
22-28
17-14
19-13
16-24
19-19
19-15
26-20
20-13
15-23
11-13
20-25
163.6Avg total
85.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.780.4166.1+5.362%
Season at home (5)83.483.0166.4+0.460%
Season away (8)87.178.8165.9+8.462%
Last 10 (10)85.078.6163.6+6.460%
Last 5 (5)79.076.0155.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.888.2157.0-19.50%
vs Similar (6)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.980.7170.6+9.171%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 75
H13/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
76avg 75
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
58-68
58
68
-10
47avg 75
A20/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
69avg 75
A23/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
74-101
74
101
-27
59avg 75
H26/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 75
H27/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 75
H02/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 75
H03/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 75
A09/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
63avg 75
A10/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
15-24
20-16
15-16
16-21
18-23
18-16
24-19
20-18
15-9
13-24
10-17
24-18
17-32
20-29
18-25
6-20
22-27
22-25
24-29
22-30
19-19
20-24
19-20
21-21
16-19
22-14
28-21
21-21
17-23
20-14
24-27
18-15
15-16
27-16
16-18
19-21
16-15
17-15
17-27
158.5Avg total
75.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.983.2160.2-6.331%
Season at home (8)80.286.0166.2-5.838%
Season away (5)71.678.8150.4-7.220%
Last 10 (10)75.183.4158.5-8.320%
Last 5 (5)78.879.2158.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.087.0164.0-10.021%
vs Similar (6)84.583.8168.3+0.733%
vs Weaker (5)87.473.0160.4+14.480%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
ToyamaFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A13/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A20/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/11
B2.League
84.8Avg total
44.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.180.1-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.140.177.2-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.982.6-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.284.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.483.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.143.677.8-9.518%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.578.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.942.487.3+2.457%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A20/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H26/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H27/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H03/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/11
B2.League
77.9Avg total
35.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.682.1-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.145.585.6-5.425%-
Last 30 away (14)39.039.278.2-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.742.277.9-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.076.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.143.881.9-5.726%-
vs Similar (6)40.241.882.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.7
53.9%
51.0%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.2
31.7%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
70.7%15.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.9
45.2%
51.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.6
39.7%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.610.0
68.5%
70.7%10.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWWWLLWWLW
Fukushima
LWLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#13
+8.0
Net rating
-11.2
111.5
Offensive rating
102.2
103.4
Defensive rating
113.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.7%
3-point %
39.7%
68.3%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 102.2Defence103.4 · 113.4Shooting51.7% · 50.6%3-point %31.7% · 39.7%Ball care19.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds38.7% · 33.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Toyama   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toyama wins
1
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Toyama v Fukushima104-79
19/04/15Toyama v Fukushima75-59
18/04/15Toyama v Fukushima88-73
08/02/15Fukushima v Toyama89-87
07/02/15Fukushima v Toyama88-101
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HShinshu66-74
09/11/24HShinshu80-78
03/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise90-64
02/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise85-82
27/10/24AAltiri Chiba74-82
26/10/24AAltiri Chiba90-100
23/10/24HFukushima104-79
20/10/24AYamagata Wyverns88-64
19/10/24AYamagata Wyverns78-107
13/10/24AAomori95-56
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ANara69-78
09/11/24ANara76-65
03/11/24HAomori82-85
02/11/24HAomori87-75
27/10/24HShinshu80-93
26/10/24HShinshu74-101
23/10/24AToyama79-104
20/10/24AFukui58-68
19/10/24AFukui76-79
13/10/24HYamagata Wyverns70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%60%62%
Points / game85.783.487.1
Allowed / game80.483.078.8
Point differential+5.3+0.4+8.4
Avg total166.1166.4165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL31%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%38%20%
Points / game76.980.271.6
Allowed / game83.286.078.8
Point differential-6.3-5.8-7.2
Avg total160.2166.2150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1514193%90.876.7+14.1
2 Shinshu1510567%86.676.9+9.7
3 Fukui1510567%81.178.7+2.3
4 Kagoshima Rebnise1510567%80.078.7+1.3
5 Toyama138562%85.780.4+5.3
6 Fukuoka159660%83.776.1+7.5
7 Kobe159660%85.881.3+4.5
8 Shizuoka158753%77.577.7-0.2
9 Aomori157847%79.585.4-5.9
10 Nara156940%77.579.1-1.6
11 Yamagata Wyverns156940%81.182.9-1.9
12 Fukushima134931%76.983.2-6.3
13 Kumamoto151147%76.790.1-13.4
14 Ehime Orange Vikings151147%74.690.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama3017171983
Fukushima1820131768
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