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Toyama vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 104-79
18-24 32-17 29-20 25-18
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game81.0
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game80.2
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Fukushima
19 Nov 2024
TOYA92
FUKU84
18 Nov 2024
TOYA83
FUKU68
23 Oct 2024
TOYA104
FUKU79
19 Apr 2015
TOYA75
FUKU59
18 Apr 2015
TOYA88
FUKU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
64-89
64
89
-25
48avg 66
A27/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
80-103
80
103
-23
75avg 66
A28/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 66
H04/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
59-80
59
80
-21
54avg 66
H05/05
B League
Kobe
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 66
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 66
H06/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 66
A12/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
95-56
95
56
+39
96avg 66
A13/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
78-107
78
107
-29
75avg 66
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
89avg 66
A20/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
16-25
14-18
17-17
22-26
14-23
28-30
16-24
18-19
26-19
11-22
15-17
15-23
24-21
10-17
10-19
22-25
22-22
21-20
21-18
23-19
23-23
13-31
22-26
20-26
22-22
26-10
29-17
26-15
19-17
24-8
26-16
16-34
24-18
25-26
13-29
23-14
24-21
32-15
9-14
163.3Avg total
79.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.581.0168.5+6.567%
Season at home (2)83.592.0175.5-8.550%
Season away (4)89.575.5165.0+14.075%
Last 10 (10)79.883.5163.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)87.880.2168.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.887.6155.4-19.80%
vs Similar (4)76.882.0158.8-5.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.581.0168.5+6.567%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
99avg 75
A13/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
92-57
92
57
+35
95avg 75
A14/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
88-69
88
69
+19
92avg 75
H20/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
84-97
84
97
-13
76avg 75
H21/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
85-70
85
70
+15
85avg 75
H05/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 75
H06/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 75
H12/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 75
H13/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
76avg 75
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
58-68
58
68
-10
47avg 75
A20/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
25-22
25-18
23-17
19-13
26-20
25-16
22-8
27-12
20-21
20-21
21-15
16-25
20-23
25-25
23-24
24-14
23-25
25-17
13-14
21-24
23-25
16-19
17-24
22-24
23-23
20-24
22-15
20-30
15-24
20-16
15-16
16-21
18-23
18-16
24-19
20-18
15-9
13-24
10-17
158.2Avg total
80.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.580.2155.7-4.733%
Season at home (4)79.883.5163.2-3.850%
Season away (2)67.073.5140.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.777.5158.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)73.682.2155.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.586.6164.1-9.121%
vs Similar (11)83.283.9167.1-0.745%
vs Weaker (5)87.473.0160.4+14.480%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
ToyamaFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A27/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A28/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/05
B League
Kobe
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A12/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A13/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A20/10
B2.League
85.7Avg total
41.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.343.179.4-6.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.541.678.1-5.127%-
Last 30 away (15)36.144.780.7-8.613%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.185.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)34.243.577.8-9.210%-
vs Similar (4)35.042.077.0-7.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.042.786.7+1.350%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A14/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H21/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H05/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H12/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A20/10
B2.League
82.0Avg total
41.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.783.5-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.345.786.9-4.433%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.780.0+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.282.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.044.383.3-5.329%-
vs Similar (11)41.542.583.9-1.055%-
vs Weaker (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.6
50.6%
51.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.7
32.8%
32.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.7%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.0
52.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.29.6
67.6%
70.7%9.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WLWWLWLLLL
Fukushima
LLLWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#13
-4.6
Net rating
+5.4
103.6
Offensive rating
108.9
108.1
Defensive rating
103.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.8%
3-point %
35.6%
65.5%
Assist %
70.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 108.9Defence108.1 · 103.5Shooting50.2% · 53.0%3-point %32.8% · 35.6%Ball care21.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds34.0% · 36.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Toyama   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
1
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
19/04/15Toyama v Fukushima75-59
18/04/15Toyama v Fukushima88-73
08/02/15Fukushima v Toyama89-87
07/02/15Fukushima v Toyama88-101
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AYamagata Wyverns88-64
19/10/24AYamagata Wyverns78-107
13/10/24AAomori95-56
12/10/24AAomori97-75
06/10/24HKobe81-99
05/10/24HKobe86-85
05/05/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles59-80
04/05/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles70-77
28/04/24ANeoPhoenix80-103
27/04/24ANeoPhoenix64-89
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AFukui58-68
19/10/24AFukui76-79
13/10/24HYamagata Wyverns70-86
12/10/24HYamagata Wyverns87-86
06/10/24HEhime Orange Vikings77-92
05/10/24HEhime Orange Vikings85-70
21/04/24HYamagata Wyverns84-97
20/04/24HYamagata Wyverns88-69
14/04/24ANiigata92-57
13/04/24ANiigata90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game87.583.589.5
Allowed / game81.092.075.5
Point differential+6.5-8.5+14.0
Avg total168.5175.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.579.867.0
Allowed / game80.283.573.5
Point differential-4.7-3.8-6.5
Avg total155.7163.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba770100%89.773.9+15.9
2 Kobe65183%88.078.3+9.7
3 Kagoshima Rebnise65183%80.579.7+0.8
4 Shinshu64267%84.777.7+7.0
5 Toyama64267%87.581.0+6.5
6 Fukui64267%81.578.0+3.5
7 Shizuoka63350%75.375.2+0.2
8 Fukuoka62433%79.376.2+3.2
9 Nara62433%83.781.7+2.0
10 Fukushima62433%75.580.2-4.7
11 Aomori62433%76.288.3-12.2
12 Yamagata Wyverns72529%80.181.4-1.3
13 Ehime Orange Vikings71614%75.188.9-13.7
14 Kumamoto71614%75.490.0-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama18322925104
Fukushima2417201879
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