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Toyama vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 92-84 (OT)
24-17 17-29 26-15 11-17 14-6
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game79.5
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record4-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.2
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Fukushima
19 Nov 2024
TOYA92
FUKU84
18 Nov 2024
TOYA83
FUKU68
23 Oct 2024
TOYA104
FUKU79
19 Apr 2015
TOYA75
FUKU59
18 Apr 2015
TOYA88
FUKU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
78-107
78
107
-29
75avg 69
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
89avg 69
A20/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
104-79
104
79
+25
100avg 69
H23/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
82avg 69
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 69
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 69
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
94avg 69
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 69
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
58avg 69
H10/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
83avg 69
H18/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-34
24-18
25-26
13-29
23-14
24-21
32-15
9-14
18-24
32-17
29-20
25-18
14-25
25-25
25-25
26-25
24-19
21-19
16-19
13-25
26-24
30-14
20-24
9-20
32-9
22-28
17-14
19-13
16-24
19-19
19-15
26-20
20-13
15-23
11-13
20-25
30-18
17-20
17-13
19-17
163.6Avg total
83.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.579.5165.0+6.064%
Season at home (6)83.380.5163.8+2.867%
Season away (8)87.178.8165.9+8.462%
Last 10 (10)83.879.8163.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.873.2154.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.888.5157.2-19.80%
vs Similar (6)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.079.1168.1+9.975%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
76avg 75
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
58-68
58
68
-10
47avg 75
A20/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
69avg 75
A23/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
74-101
74
101
-27
59avg 75
H26/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 75
H27/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 75
H02/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 75
H03/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 75
A09/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
63avg 75
A10/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 75
A18/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-23
18-16
24-19
20-18
15-9
13-24
10-17
24-18
17-32
20-29
18-25
6-20
22-27
22-25
24-29
22-30
19-19
20-24
19-20
21-21
16-19
22-14
28-21
21-21
17-23
20-14
24-27
18-15
15-16
27-16
16-18
19-21
16-15
17-15
17-27
18-30
20-17
13-17
17-19
158.0Avg total
74.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.383.2159.5-6.929%
Season at home (8)80.286.0166.2-5.838%
Season away (6)71.079.5150.5-8.517%
Last 10 (10)74.983.1158.0-8.220%
Last 5 (5)76.477.2153.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.586.8163.3-10.220%
vs Similar (5)84.682.2166.8+2.440%
vs Weaker (5)87.473.0160.4+14.480%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
ToyamaFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A20/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/11
B2.League
85.6Avg total
44.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.080.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.978.4-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.982.6-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.885.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.643.878.4-9.119%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.578.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.141.987.0+3.262%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A20/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H26/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H27/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H03/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/11
B2.League
77.5Avg total
36.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.581.9-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.145.585.6-5.425%-
Last 30 away (14)38.839.077.8-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.577.5-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.675.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.144.082.1-5.925%-
vs Similar (5)40.040.280.2-0.240%-
vs Weaker (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.2
54.0%
51.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.2
31.2%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
70.7%15.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.517.7
44.8%
51.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
70.7%11.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WLWWWLLWWL
Fukushima
LLWLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#13
+5.1
Net rating
-11.9
109.8
Offensive rating
101.0
104.7
Defensive rating
112.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
38.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.2%
3-point %
36.9%
68.4%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 101.0Defence104.7 · 112.9Shooting51.4% · 48.9%3-point %31.2% · 36.9%Ball care19.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds38.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Toyama   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toyama wins
1
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
18/11/24Toyama v Fukushima83-68
23/10/24Toyama v Fukushima104-79
19/04/15Toyama v Fukushima75-59
18/04/15Toyama v Fukushima88-73
08/02/15Fukushima v Toyama89-87
07/02/15Fukushima v Toyama88-101
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/24HFukushima83-68
10/11/24HShinshu66-74
09/11/24HShinshu80-78
03/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise90-64
02/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise85-82
27/10/24AAltiri Chiba74-82
26/10/24AAltiri Chiba90-100
23/10/24HFukushima104-79
20/10/24AYamagata Wyverns88-64
19/10/24AYamagata Wyverns78-107
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/24AToyama68-83
10/11/24ANara69-78
09/11/24ANara76-65
03/11/24HAomori82-85
02/11/24HAomori87-75
27/10/24HShinshu80-93
26/10/24HShinshu74-101
23/10/24AToyama79-104
20/10/24AFukui58-68
19/10/24AFukui76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game85.583.387.1
Allowed / game79.580.578.8
Point differential+6.0+2.8+8.4
Avg total165.0163.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%38%17%
Points / game76.380.271.0
Allowed / game83.286.079.5
Point differential-6.9-5.8-8.5
Avg total159.5166.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1514193%90.876.7+14.1
2 Shinshu1510567%86.676.9+9.7
3 Fukui1510567%81.178.7+2.3
4 Kagoshima Rebnise1510567%80.078.7+1.3
5 Toyama149564%85.579.5+6.0
6 Fukuoka159660%83.776.1+7.5
7 Kobe159660%85.881.3+4.5
8 Shizuoka158753%77.577.7-0.2
9 Aomori157847%79.585.4-5.9
10 Nara156940%77.579.1-1.6
11 Yamagata Wyverns156940%81.182.9-1.9
12 Fukushima1441029%76.383.2-6.9
13 Kumamoto151147%76.790.1-13.4
14 Ehime Orange Vikings151147%74.690.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toyama241726111492
Fukushima17291517684
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