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Trefl Sopot vs Absheron Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 98-78
25-18 26-21 20-21 27-18
Position#26
Record3-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#27
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Ergo Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Absheron Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
93-81
93
81
+12
95avg 79
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 79
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
92-63
92
63
+29
98avg 79
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Krosno
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
103avg 79
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Absheron Lions
#27
W
99-96
99
96
+3
95avg 79
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 79
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
93-58
93
58
+35
89avg 79
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
97-61
97
61
+36
101avg 79
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 79
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
75avg 79
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-24
28-23
19-16
15-19
31-16
16-18
24-27
27-14
20-20
21-13
24-16
25-20
30-24
31-17
19-24
25-20
23-29
25-27
26-20
19-15
20-14
19-19
26-29
27-14
18-14
20-22
28-8
31-13
24-13
20-22
22-13
26-26
23-21
22-30
16-15
23-22
14-17
20-23
26-23
169.7Avg total
91.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.877.2170.0+15.575%
Season at home (2)92.560.5153.0+32.0100%
Season away (2)93.094.0187.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)91.977.8169.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)88.874.6163.4+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)86.981.7168.6+5.257%
vs Weaker (7)90.673.0163.6+17.686%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
89-73
89
73
+16
85avg 78
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
60-77
60
77
-17
42avg 78
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 78
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
91avg 78
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
73avg 78
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 78
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
29-20
22-15
12-27
17-20
13-19
18-24
12-14
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
24-20
19-27
17-33
26-24
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
172.3Avg total
86.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.286.2172.3+0.033%
Season at home (4)89.092.2181.2-3.225%
Season away (2)80.574.0154.5+6.550%
Last 10 (6)86.286.2172.3+0.033%
Last 5 (5)85.688.8174.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)91.0101.5192.5-10.50%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Trefl SopotAbsheron Lions
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Krosno
#16
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Absheron Lions
#27
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
84.0Avg total
46.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.884.4+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.638.982.5+4.771%-
Last 30 away (13)46.040.986.9+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)46.737.384.0+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.033.878.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)44.141.785.8+2.462%-
vs Weaker (7)45.334.679.9+10.786%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
87.7Avg total
45.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)45.342.387.7+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (4)47.544.291.8+3.250%-
Last 30 away (2)41.038.579.5+2.550%-
Last 10 (6)45.342.387.7+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.688.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)46.047.593.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.3
53.2%
52.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.0
40.9%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.815.5
71.1%
73.4%15.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.5
55.7%
52.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.5
31.5%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
73.4%14.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot
LLWWWWWWWW
Absheron Lions
WLLLLW
#26
League position
#27
+18.8
Net rating
+0.9
118.0
Offensive rating
109.5
99.2
Defensive rating
108.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.9%
3-point %
31.5%
70.0%
Assist %
52.1%
80%
Form (last 10/6)
33%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 109.5Defence99.2 · 108.6Shooting56.5% · 52.7%3-point %40.9% · 31.5%Ball care18.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds36.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/6)80% · 33%
■ Trefl Sopot   ■ Absheron Lions
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trefl Sopot wins
0
Absheron Lions wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Absheron Lions v Trefl Sopot96-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HGdynia83-85
05/11/25ANeftchi IK87-92
02/11/25HGTK Gliwice97-61
29/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo93-58
26/10/25HGornik Walbrzych84-77
22/10/25AAbsheron Lions99-96
19/10/25AKrosno105-85
15/10/25HNeftchi IK92-63
11/10/25ADziki Warszawa86-80
04/10/25HSlask Wroclaw93-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
29/10/25HNeftchi IK86-104
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
01/10/25AAnorthosis60-77
24/09/25HAnorthosis89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game92.892.593.0
Allowed / game77.260.594.0
Point differential+15.5+32.0-1.0
Avg total170.0153.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game86.289.080.5
Allowed / game86.292.274.0
Point differential+0.0-3.2+6.5
Avg total172.3181.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Junior550100%93.477.0+16.4
2 Bilbao54180%100.072.2+27.8
3 Petkim Spor54180%89.072.4+16.6
4 Murcia54180%85.469.8+15.6
5 Sassari54180%92.476.8+15.6
6 Peristeri54180%87.672.4+15.2
7 Rostock54180%87.877.8+10.0
8 CSM Oradea54180%85.679.0+6.6
9 Basketball Braunschweig54180%83.080.0+3.0
10 Basket Zaragoza43175%94.278.2+16.0
11 Trefl Sopot43175%92.877.2+15.5
12 PAOK43175%83.882.5+1.2
13 Vechta64267%89.381.8+7.5
14 Szombathely53260%85.479.6+5.8
15 Dijon53260%83.481.4+2.0
16 Neftchi IK53260%87.287.4-0.2
17 BC Prievidza74357%91.481.7+9.7
18 KK Bosna74357%76.973.4+3.4
19 Cibona74357%83.384.6-1.3
20 Anwil Wloclawek63350%89.882.5+7.3
21 Sporting CP42250%84.081.2+2.8
22 FC Porto42250%79.282.2-3.0
23 Brno73443%78.185.3-7.1
24 Bashkimi73443%76.484.1-7.7
25 Reggiana52340%84.276.8+7.4
26 Bakken Bears52340%87.882.8+5.0
27 Antwerp Giants52340%82.679.0+3.6
28 Lublin52340%80.685.8-5.2
29 AEK Larnaca52340%79.285.0-5.8
30 BC Kalev/Cramo52340%78.891.2-12.4
31 Absheron Lions62433%86.286.2+0.0
32 Anorthosis62433%72.792.2-19.5
33 Corona Brasov72529%77.683.6-6.0
34 Tartu Ulikool41325%81.595.5-14.0
35 Rilski Sportist51420%69.679.8-10.2
36 Pelister51420%81.693.6-12.0
37 Keravnos51420%75.293.4-18.2
38 Valcea51420%72.294.4-22.2
39 Kutaisi51420%65.694.6-29.0
40 Trepca5050%75.284.6-9.4
41 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trefl Sopot2526202798
Absheron Lions1821211878
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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