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Trelleborg vs Djurgarden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game86.0
SwedenSuperettan· Vastervangshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Trelleborg v Djurgarden
16 Jan 2027
TREL v DJUR
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
TREL94
DJUR89
24 Feb 2019
TREL81
DJUR93
30 Dec 2018
TREL84
DJUR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trelleborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrelleborg
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
52avg 76
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
106-91
106
91
+15
102avg 76
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
53avg 76
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 76
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
91avg 76
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 76
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
63-82
63
82
-19
39avg 76
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-23
13-17
19-28
25-24
30-16
16-24
35-27
28-12
21-19
9-28
19-28
30-30
20-15
20-23
16-16
18-10
19-23
34-19
22-15
20-19
27-30
18-16
19-32
23-24
19-22
20-16
26-18
23-21
5-19
11-22
24-20
22-21
24-17
11-10
13-10
25-19
21-19
13-22
19-25
163.9Avg total
81.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.980.0159.9-0.150%
Season at home (4)83.084.0167.0-1.025%
Season away (4)76.876.0152.8+0.875%
Last 10 (10)81.682.3163.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.680.4157.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.286.9170.1-3.744%
vs Similar (16)87.684.6172.2+3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.881.0159.8-2.240%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
53avg 76
H21/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
76-101
76
101
-25
60avg 76
A26/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 76
A04/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
83-71
83
71
+12
71avg 76
H11/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
62avg 76
A21/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 76
H24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H01/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
no box
A08/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H15/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
15-15
9-18
19-31
24-27
18-36
14-21
20-17
19-25
19-24
15-17
25-21
21-15
23-17
17-21
22-18
16-23
25-14
14-26
13-24
28-20
26-23
16-19
20-24
15-13
29-29
22-30
18-28
19-31
13-20
30-23
26-17
13-20
25-20
23-19
13-15
19-18
14-23
20-16
23-10
164.8Avg total
78.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Season at home (5)79.083.4162.4-4.460%
Season away (5)78.688.6167.2-10.020%
Last 10 (10)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)84.284.2168.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.889.0166.8-11.225%
vs Similar (3)92.389.0181.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (19)85.977.3163.2+8.674%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
TrelleborgDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/11
Superettan
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.187.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.286.5+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.146.088.1-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.342.984.2-1.644%-
vs Similar (16)46.543.590.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.242.284.4+0.060%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H21/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A26/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A04/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H15/11
Superettan
84.2Avg total
40.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.782.4-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.780.5+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.784.3-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.284.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.846.286.0-6.538%-
vs Similar (3)40.746.086.7-5.333%-
vs Weaker (19)41.139.280.2+1.947%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
29.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.016.4
65.6%
65.7%16.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.1
48.5%
50.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.3
30.4%
29.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.115.0
62.2%
65.7%15.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trelleborg
LWLWLWWLWL
Djurgarden
WWLLWLWLLL
#10
League position
#11
+0.3
Net rating
-5.1
92.0
Offensive rating
84.5
91.7
Defensive rating
89.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
47.5%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
13.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
30.4%
50.5%
Assist %
50.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 84.5Defence91.7 · 89.6Shooting49.7% · 47.5%3-point %32.2% · 30.4%Ball care13.4% · 16.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Trelleborg   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trelleborg wins
4
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Djurgarden v Trelleborg72-65
25/10/25Trelleborg v Djurgarden94-89
24/02/19Trelleborg v Djurgarden81-93
30/12/18Trelleborg v Djurgarden84-85
01/12/18Djurgarden v Trelleborg106-81
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMalbas78-85
07/11/26AOckelbo70-58
25/10/26ASollentuna63-82
24/10/26ANorrort88-80
17/10/26HAlvik84-97
10/10/26HSollentuna93-67
27/09/26AHuddinge86-84
19/09/26HWetterbygden Stars77-87
11/04/26HAIK Basket106-91
29/03/26AAIK Basket71-92
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HIK Eos76-67
08/11/26AMalbas83-77 OT
07/11/26AIK Eos88-91
01/11/26HSollentuna84-100
24/10/26HFryshuset Basket90-86
21/10/26AAlvik68-87
11/10/26HCross Over83-71
04/10/26ANorrort78-87
26/09/26AEskilstuna76-101
21/09/26HAIK Basket62-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trelleborg
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game79.983.076.8
Allowed / game80.084.076.0
Point differential-0.1-1.0+0.8
Avg total159.9167.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game78.879.078.6
Allowed / game86.083.488.6
Point differential-7.2-4.4-10.0
Avg total164.8162.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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